One of the main strengths of online algorithms is their ability to adapt to arbitrary data sequences. This is especially important in nonparametric settings, where performance is measured against rich classes of comparator functions that are able to fit complex environments. Although such hard comparators and complex environments may exhibit local regularities, efficient algorithms, which can provably take advantage of these local patterns, are hardly known. We fill this gap by introducing efficient online algorithms (based on a single versatile master algorithm) each adapting to one of the following regularities: (i) local Lipschitzness of the competitor function, (ii) local metric dimension of the instance sequence, (iii) local performance of the predictor across different regions of the instance space. Extending previous approaches, we design algorithms that dynamically grow hierarchical $ε$-nets on the instance space whose prunings correspond to different "locality profiles" for the problem at hand. Using a technique based on tree experts, we simultaneously and efficiently compete against all such prunings, and prove regret bounds each scaling with a quantity associated with a different type of local regularity. When competing against "simple" locality profiles, our technique delivers regret bounds that are significantly better than those proven using the previous approach. On the other hand, the time dependence of our bounds is not worse than that obtained by ignoring any local regularities.
EDF R&D（法国电力研发中心）；HEC Paris（巴黎高等商学院）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse, Université Paul Sabatier（保罗·萨巴捷大学图卢兹数学研究所）
We consider the problem of online nonparametric regression with arbitrary deterministic sequences. Using ideas from the chaining technique, we design an algorithm that achieves a Dudley-type regret bound similar to the one obtained in a non-constructive fashion by Rakhlin and Sridharan (2014). Our regret bound is expressed in terms of the metric entropy in the sup norm, which yields optimal guarantees when the metric and sequential entropies are of the same order of magnitude. In particular our algorithm is the first one that achieves optimal rates for online regression over H{ö}lder balls. In…
Università degli Studi di Milano（米兰大学）；INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；École Normale Supérieure（巴黎高等师范学院）；Università degli Studi dell’Insubria（因苏布里亚大学）；Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier（图卢兹第三大学（保罗·萨巴蒂埃大学））
We investigate contextual online learning with nonparametric (Lipschitz) comparison classes under different assumptions on losses and feedback information. For full information feedback and Lipschitz losses, we design the first explicit algorithm achieving the minimax regret rate (up to log factors). In a partial feedback model motivated by second-price auctions, we obtain algorithms for Lipschitz and semi-Lipschitz losses with regret bounds improving on the known bounds for standard bandit feedback. Our analysis combines novel results for contextual second-price auctions with a novel algorith…
University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）；U.S. Army Research Laboratory（美国陆军研究实验室）
Despite their attractiveness, popular perception is that techniques for nonparametric function approximation do not scale to streaming data due to an intractable growth in the amount of storage they require. To solve this problem in a memory-affordable way, we propose an online technique based on functional stochastic gradient descent in tandem with supervised sparsification based on greedy function subspace projections. The method, called parsimonious online learning with kernels (POLK), provides a controllable tradeoff? between its solution accuracy and the amount of memory it requires. We d…
U.S. Army Research Laboratory（美国陆军研究实验室）；Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur（印度理工学院坎普尔分校）
An open challenge in supervised learning is \emph{conceptual drift}: a data point begins as classified according to one label, but over time the notion of that label changes. Beyond linear autoregressive models, transfer and meta learning address drift, but require data that is representative of disparate domains at the outset of training. To relax this requirement, we propose a memory-efficient \emph{online} universal function approximator based on compressed kernel methods. Our approach hinges upon viewing non-stationary learning as online convex optimization with dynamic comparators, for wh…
Berlin Institute of Technology（柏林工业大学）；BIFOLD-Berlin Institute for the Foundations of Learning and Data（BIFOLD-柏林学习与数据基础研究所）；Korea University（高丽大学）；Max Planck Institute for Informatics（马克斯·普朗克信息学研究所）；RIKEN AIP（理化学研究所人工智能研究中心）
We propose a novel active learning strategy for regression, which is model-agnostic, robust against model mismatch, and interpretable. Assuming that a small number of initial samples are available, we derive the optimal training density that minimizes the generalization error of local polynomial smoothing (LPS) with its kernel bandwidth tuned locally: We adopt the mean integrated squared error (MISE) as a generalization criterion, and use the asymptotic behavior of the MISE as well as the locally optimal bandwidths (LOB) - the bandwidth function that minimizes MISE in the asymptotic limit. The…
Technion - Israel Institute of Technology（以色列理工学院）
Deep neural networks are considered to be state of the art models in many offline machine learning tasks. However, their performance and generalization abilities in online learning tasks are much less understood. Therefore, we focus on online learning and tackle the challenging problem where the underlying process is stationary and ergodic and thus removing the i.i.d. assumption and allowing observations to depend on each other arbitrarily. We prove the generalization abilities of Lipschitz regularized deep neural networks and show that by using those networks, a convergence to the best possib…
INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；Ecole Normale Supérieure（高等师范学校）；PSL Research University（巴黎文理研究大学）
In the context of statistical supervised learning, the noiseless linear model assumes that there exists a deterministic linear relation $Y = \langle θ_*, X \rangle$ between the random output $Y$ and the random feature vector $Φ(U)$, a potentially non-linear transformation of the inputs $U$. We analyze the convergence of single-pass, fixed step-size stochastic gradient descent on the least-square risk under this model. The convergence of the iterates to the optimum $θ_*$ and the decay of the generalization error follow polynomial convergence rates with exponents that both depend on the regulari…
EPFL（洛桑联邦理工学院）；Universitá degli Studi di Milano（米兰大学）
We study algorithms for online nonparametric regression that learn the directions along which the regression function is smoother. Our algorithm learns the Mahalanobis metric based on the gradient outer product matrix $\boldsymbol{G}$ of the regression function (automatically adapting to the effective rank of this matrix), while simultaneously bounding the regret ---on the same data sequence--- in terms of the spectrum of $\boldsymbol{G}$. As a preliminary step in our analysis, we extend a nonparametric online learning algorithm by Hazan and Megiddo enabling it to compete against functions who…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Fudan University（复旦大学）
We consider a contextual online learning (multi-armed bandit) problem with high-dimensional covariate $\mathbf{x}$ and decision $\mathbf{y}$. The reward function to learn, $f(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, does not have a particular parametric form. The literature has shown that the optimal regret is $\tilde{O}(T^{(d_x+d_y+1)/(d_x+d_y+2)})$, where $d_x$ and $d_y$ are the dimensions of $\mathbf x$ and $\mathbf y$, and thus it suffers from the curse of dimensionality. In many applications, only a small subset of variables in the covariate affect the value of $f$, which is referred to as \textit{sparsi…
We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition analogous to the i.i.d./statistical learning case, studied in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tsybakov 2013). In the frequently encountered situation when sequential entropy and i.i.d. empirical entropy match, our results point to the interesting phenomenon that the rates for statistical learning with squared loss and online nonparametric regression are the same. In addi…
University of Potsdam（波茨坦大学）；Centre de Recherche INRIA de Paris（法国国家信息与自动化研究所巴黎研究中心）；IRT Saint Exupéry（圣埃克苏佩里技术研究院）；Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse（图卢兹数学研究所）
In this work we investigate the variation of the online kernelized ridge regression algorithm in the setting of $d-$dimensional adversarial nonparametric regression. We derive the regret upper bounds on the classes of Sobolev spaces $W_{p}^β(\mathcal{X})$, $p\geq 2, β>\frac{d}{p}$. The upper bounds are supported by the minimax regret analysis, which reveals that in the cases $β> \frac{d}{2}$ or $p=\infty$ these rates are (essentially) optimal. Finally, we compare the performance of the kernelized ridge regression forecaster to the known non-parametric forecasters in terms of the regret rates a…
We propose a novel nonparametric online predictor for discrete labels conditioned on multivariate continuous features. The predictor is based on a feature space discretization induced by a full-fledged k-d tree with randomly picked directions and a recursive Bayesian distribution, which allows to automatically learn the most relevant feature scales characterizing the conditional distribution. We prove its pointwise universality, i.e., it achieves a normalized log loss performance asymptotically as good as the true conditional entropy of the labels given the features. The time complexity to pro…
U.S. Army Research Laboratory（美国陆军研究实验室）；Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur（印度理工学院坎普尔分校）
Batch training of machine learning models based on neural networks is now well established, whereas to date streaming methods are largely based on linear models. To go beyond linear in the online setting, nonparametric methods are of interest due to their universality and ability to stably incorporate new information via convexity or Bayes' Rule. Unfortunately, when used online, nonparametric methods suffer a "curse of dimensionality" which precludes their use: their complexity scales at least with the time index. We survey online compression tools which bring their memory under control and at…
School of Statistics, Renmin University of China（中国人民大学统计学院）；School of Management, Fudan University（复旦大学管理学院）；Mendoza College of Business, University of Notre Dame（圣母大学门多萨商学院）；Center for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China（中国人民大学应用统计中心）；Department of Statistics, University of Warwick（华威大学统计系）
We address the problem of online change detection in multivariate datastreams, and we introduce QuantTree Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (QT-EWMA), a nonparametric change-detection algorithm that can control the expected time before a false alarm, yielding a desired Average Run Length (ARL$_0$). Controlling false alarms is crucial in many applications and is rarely guaranteed by online change-detection algorithms that can monitor multivariate datastreams without knowing the data distribution. Like many change-detection algorithms, QT-EWMA builds a model of the data distribution, in our …
We study fast rates of convergence in the setting of nonparametric online regression, namely where regret is defined with respect to an arbitrary function class which has bounded complexity. Our contributions are two-fold: - In the realizable setting of nonparametric online regression with the absolute loss, we propose a randomized proper learning algorithm which gets a near-optimal cumulative loss in terms of the sequential fat-shattering dimension of the hypothesis class. In the setting of online classification with a class of Littlestone dimension $d$, our bound reduces to $d \cdot {\rm pol…
University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
This paper establishes minimax rates for online regression with arbitrary classes of functions and general losses. We show that below a certain threshold for the complexity of the function class, the minimax rates depend on both the curvature of the loss function and the sequential complexities of the class. Above this threshold, the curvature of the loss does not affect the rates. Furthermore, for the case of square loss, our results point to the interesting phenomenon: whenever sequential and i.i.d. empirical entropies match, the rates for statistical and online learning are the same. In add…
SPARKLE: A Nonparametric Approach for Online Decision-Making with High-Dimensional Covariates
Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学工业系统工程与管理系）；Division of Emerging Interdisciplinary Areas, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科学与技术大学新兴跨学科领域分校）；Department of Industrial Engineering and Decision Analytics, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科学与技术大学工业工程与决策分析系）
Given a real-valued hypothesis class $\mathcal{H}$, we investigate under what conditions there is a differentially private algorithm which learns an optimal hypothesis from $\mathcal{H}$ given i.i.d. data. Inspired by recent results for the related setting of binary classification (Alon et al., 2019; Bun et al., 2020), where it was shown that online learnability of a binary class is necessary and sufficient for its private learnability, Jung et al. (2020) showed that in the setting of regression, online learnability of $\mathcal{H}$ is necessary for private learnability. Here online learnabili…
Fairness-aware Online Price Discrimination with Nonparametric Demand Models
Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University（纽约大学莱昂纳德·N·斯特恩商学院）；Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University（清华大学数学科学系）；Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校工业与企业系统工程系）
We develop a data driven approach to perform clustering and end-to-end feature learning simultaneously for streaming data that can adaptively detect novel clusters in emerging data. Our approach, Adaptive Nonparametric Variational Autoencoder (AdapVAE), learns the cluster membership through a Bayesian Nonparametric (BNP) modeling framework with Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) for feature learning. We develop a joint online variational inference algorithm to learn feature representations and clustering assignments simultaneously via iteratively optimizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO). We resolve…
Super-resolution methods form high-resolution images from low-resolution images. In this paper, we develop a new Bayesian nonparametric model for super-resolution. Our method uses a beta-Bernoulli process to learn a set of recurring visual patterns, called dictionary elements, from the data. Because it is nonparametric, the number of elements found is also determined from the data. We test the results on both benchmark and natural images, comparing with several other models from the research literature. We perform large-scale human evaluation experiments to assess the visual quality of the res…
Nonparametric Sparse Online Learning of the Koopman Operator
Coordinated Science Laboratory, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校协调科学实验室）；Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Royal Military College of Canada（加拿大皇家军事学院数学与计算机科学系）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University at Albany, SUNY（纽约州立大学水牛城大学电气与计算机工程系）；Applied Physics Labs, Johns Hopkins University（约翰霍普金斯大学应用物理实验室）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Coordinated Science Laboratory, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校电气与计算机工程系，协调科学实验室）
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens（雅典国立卡波季斯特里安大学）；Cyprus University of Technology（塞浦路斯理工大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）
The aim of this work is to enable inference of deep networks that retain high accuracy for the least possible model complexity, with the latter deduced from the data during inference. To this end, we revisit deep networks that comprise competing linear units, as opposed to nonlinear units that do not entail any form of (local) competition. In this context, our main technical innovation consists in an inferential setup that leverages solid arguments from Bayesian nonparametrics. We infer both the needed set of connections or locally competing sets of units, as well as the required floating-poin…
We consider the problem of online adaptation of a neural network designed to represent vehicle dynamics. The neural network model is intended to be used by an MPC control law to autonomously control the vehicle. This problem is challenging because both the input and target distributions are non-stationary, and naive approaches to online adaptation result in catastrophic forgetting, which can in turn lead to controller failures. We present a novel online learning method, which combines the pseudo-rehearsal method with locally weighted projection regression. We demonstrate the effectiveness of t…
Nonparametric Filtering, Estimation and Classification using Neural Jump ODEs
Department of Mathematics ETH Zurich（数学系，苏黎世联邦理工学院）；Department of Statistics UC Berkeley（统计系，伯克利大学）；Department of Mathematics Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg（数学系，弗赖堡阿尔伯特-路易斯大学）
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）
We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is dynamically changing. We propose a linear time algorithm that adjusts the bandwidth for each new data point, and show that the estimator achieves the optimal minimax rate of convergence. We also propose the use of online expert mixing algorithms to adapt to unknown smoothness of the regression function. We provide simulations that confirm the theoretical results,…
We consider online learning for minimizing regret in unknown, episodic Markov decision processes (MDPs) with continuous states and actions. We develop variants of the UCRL and posterior sampling algorithms that employ nonparametric Gaussian process priors to generalize across the state and action spaces. When the transition and reward functions of the true MDP are members of the associated Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces of functions induced by symmetric psd kernels (frequentist setting), we show that the algorithms enjoy sublinear regret bounds. The bounds are in terms of explicit structura…
Centre for Translational Data Science（转化数据科学中心）；University of Sydney（悉尼大学）；University of Sydney Business School（悉尼大学商学院）
Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and dependency of financial time series in a non-parametric fashion assuming that the time series consists of a finite, but unknown number, of locally stationary processes, the locations of which are also unknown. The model allows a non-parametric estimate of the dependency structure by modelling the auto-covariance function in the spectral domain. All our estimates a…
Aston University（阿斯顿大学）；Radboud University（拉德堡德大学）；Massachussetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）
Using the linear Gaussian latent variable model as a starting point we relax some of the constraints it imposes by deriving a nonparametric latent feature Gaussian variable model. This model introduces additional discrete latent variables to the original structure. The Bayesian nonparametric nature of this new model allows it to adapt complexity as more data is observed and project each data point onto a varying number of subspaces. The linear relationship between the continuous latent and observed variables make the proposed model straightforward to interpret, resembling a locally adaptive pr…
Coactive learning is an online problem solving setting where the solutions provided by a solver are interactively improved by a domain expert, which in turn drives learning. In this paper we extend the study of coactive learning to problems where obtaining a globally optimal or near-optimal solution may be intractable or where an expert can only be expected to make small, local improvements to a candidate solution. The goal of learning in this new setting is to minimize the cost as measured by the expert effort over time. We first establish theoretical bounds on the average cost of the existin…
This paper studies two important signal processing aspects of equilibrium behavior in non-cooperative games arising in social networks, namely, reinforcement learning and detection of equilibrium play. The first part of the paper presents a reinforcement learning (adaptive filtering) algorithm that facilitates learning an equilibrium by resorting to diffusion cooperation strategies in a social network. Agents form homophilic social groups, within which they exchange past experiences over an undirected graph. It is shown that, if all agents follow the proposed algorithm, their global behavior i…
A general framework for adaptive nonparametric dimensionality reduction
Seminar for Statistics, Department of Mathematics, ETH Zurich（苏黎世联邦理工学院统计研究所，数学系）；Faculty of Economics, Euler Institute, Università della Svizzera italiana（瑞士意大利大学经济学院，欧拉研究所）；Faculty of Informatics, Università della Svizzera italiana（瑞士意大利大学信息学院）；Department of Science and High Technology, University of Insubria（意大利因布里亚大学科学与高科技系）
University of Southern California（南加州大学）；Max-Planck-Institute for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）
Locally weighted regression was created as a nonparametric learning method that is computationally efficient, can learn from very large amounts of data and add data incrementally. An interesting feature of locally weighted regression is that it can work with spatially varying length scales, a beneficial property, for instance, in control problems. However, it does not provide a generative model for function values and requires training and test data to be generated identically, independently. Gaussian (process) regression, on the other hand, provides a fully generative model without significan…
Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University（纽约大学柯朗数学科学研究所）；Google Brain Robotics（谷歌大脑机器人部门）；Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）
A key assumption in the theory of nonlinear adaptive control is that the uncertainty of the system can be expressed in the linear span of a set of known basis functions. While this assumption leads to efficient algorithms, it limits applications to very specific classes of systems. We introduce a novel nonparametric adaptive algorithm that estimates an infinite-dimensional density over parameters online to learn an unknown dynamics in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Surprisingly, the resulting control input admits an analytical expression that enables its implementation despite its underly…
Tencent Hippocrates Research Lab（腾讯希波克拉底研究实验室）；University of California at Irvine（加州大学欧文分校）
Hand pose estimation is more challenging than body pose estimation due to severe articulation, self-occlusion and high dexterity of the hand. Current approaches often rely on a popular body pose algorithm, such as the Convolutional Pose Machine (CPM), to learn 2D keypoint features. These algorithms cannot adequately address the unique challenges of hand pose estimation, because they are trained solely based on keypoint positions without seeking to explicitly model structural relationship between them. We propose a novel Nonparametric Structure Regularization Machine (NSRM) for 2D hand pose est…
