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arXiv 2001.09233cs.CYcs.LG

Case Study: Predictive Fairness to Reduce Misdemeanor Recidivism Through Social Service Interventions

Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Ctr for Data Science & Public Policy , University of Chicago(芝加哥大学数据科学与公共政策中心);Los Angeles City Attorney’s Office(洛杉矶市检察官办公室);Heinz College of Information Systems & Public Policy , Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学海因茨信息系统与公共政策学院);Machine Learning Department , Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学机器学习系);Director, Recidivism Reduction and Drug Diversion Unit (R2D2) , Los Angeles City Attorney’s Office(洛杉矶市检察官办公室再犯率降低和药物分流部门主任(R2D2))

Kit T. Rodolfa, Erika Salomon, Lauren Haynes, Ivan Higuera Mendieta, Jamie Larson, Rayid Ghani

英文摘要:

The criminal justice system is currently ill-equipped to improve outcomes of individuals who cycle in and out of the system with a series of misdemeanor offenses. Often due to constraints of caseload and poor record linkage, prior interactions with an individual may not be considered when an individual comes back into the system, let alone in a proactive manner through the application of diversion programs. The Los Angeles City Attorney's Office recently created a new Recidivism Reduction and Drug Diversion unit (R2D2) tasked with reducing recidivism in this population. Here we describe a collaboration with this new unit as a case study for the incorporation of predictive equity into machine learning based decision making in a resource-constrained setting. The program seeks to improve outcomes by developing individually-tailored social service interventions (i.e., diversions, conditional plea agreements, stayed sentencing, or other favorable case disposition based on appropriate social service linkage rather than traditional sentencing methods) for individuals likely to experience subsequent interactions with the criminal justice system, a time and resource-intensive undertaking that necessitates an ability to focus resources on individuals most likely to be involved in a future case. Seeking to achieve both efficiency (through predictive accuracy) and equity (improving outcomes in traditionally under-served communities and working to mitigate existing disparities in criminal justice outcomes), we discuss the equity outcomes we seek to achieve, describe the corresponding choice of a metric for measuring predictive fairness in this context, and explore a set of options for balancing equity and efficiency when building and selecting machine learning models in an operational public policy setting.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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