In a polynomial regression model, the divisibility conditions implicit in polynomial hierarchy give way to a natural construction of constraints for the model parameters. We use this principle to derive versions of strong and weak hierarchy and to extend existing work in the literature, which at the moment is only concerned with models of degree two. We discuss how to estimate parameters in lasso using standard quadratic programming techniques and apply our proposal to both simulated data and examples from the literature. The proposed methodology compares favorably with existing techniques in terms of low validation error and model size.
We describe a regularized regression model for the selection of gene-environment (GxE) interactions. The model focuses on a single environmental exposure and induces a main-effect-before-interaction hierarchical structure. We propose an efficient fitting algorithm and screening rules that can discard large numbers of irrelevant predictors with high accuracy. We present simulation results showing that the model outperforms existing joint selection methods for (GxE) interactions in terms of selection performance, scalability and speed, and provide a real data application. Our implementation is a…
We consider the task of estimating a Gaussian graphical model in the high-dimensional setting. The graphical lasso, which involves maximizing the Gaussian log likelihood subject to an l1 penalty, is a well-studied approach for this task. We begin by introducing a surprising connection between the graphical lasso and hierarchical clustering: the graphical lasso in effect performs a two-step procedure, in which (1) single linkage hierarchical clustering is performed on the variables in order to identify connected components, and then (2) an l1-penalized log likelihood is maximized on the subset …
We introduce a method for learning pairwise interactions in a manner that satisfies strong hierarchy: whenever an interaction is estimated to be nonzero, both its associated main effects are also included in the model. We motivate our approach by modeling pairwise interactions for categorical variables with arbitrary numbers of levels, and then show how we can accommodate continuous variables and mixtures thereof. Our approach allows us to dispense with explicitly applying constraints on the main effects and interactions for identifiability, which results in interpretable interaction models. W…
Demanding sparsity in estimated models has become a routine practice in statistics. In many situations, we wish to require that the sparsity patterns attained honor certain problem-specific constraints. Hierarchical sparse modeling (HSM) refers to situations in which these constraints specify that one set of parameters be set to zero whenever another is set to zero. In recent years, numerous papers have developed convex regularizers for this form of sparsity structure, which arises in many areas of statistics including interaction modeling, time series analysis, and covariance estimation. In t…
Environmental health studies are increasingly measuring multiple pollutants to characterize the joint health effects attributable to exposure mixtures. However, the underlying dose-response relationship between toxicants and health outcomes of interest may be highly nonlinear, with possible nonlinear interaction effects. Existing penalized regression methods that account for exposure interactions either cannot accommodate nonlinear interactions while maintaining strong heredity or are computationally unstable in applications with limited sample size. In this paper, we propose a general shrinka…
We add a set of convex constraints to the lasso to produce sparse interaction models that honor the hierarchy restriction that an interaction only be included in a model if one or both variables are marginally important. We give a precise characterization of the effect of this hierarchy constraint, prove that hierarchy holds with probability one and derive an unbiased estimate for the degrees of freedom of our estimator. A bound on this estimate reveals the amount of fitting "saved" by the hierarchy constraint. We distinguish between parameter sparsity - the number of nonzero coefficients - an…
We propose the Bayesian adaptive Lasso (BaLasso) for variable selection and coefficient estimation in linear regression. The BaLasso is adaptive to the signal level by adopting different shrinkage for different coefficients. Furthermore, we provide a model selection machinery for the BaLasso by assessing the posterior conditional mode estimates, motivated by the hierarchical Bayesian interpretation of the Lasso. Our formulation also permits prediction using a model averaging strategy. We discuss other variants of this new approach and provide a unified framework for variable selection using fl…
Sparse modeling is a powerful framework for data analysis and processing. Traditionally, encoding in this framework is performed by solving an L1-regularized linear regression problem, commonly referred to as Lasso or Basis Pursuit. In this work we combine the sparsity-inducing property of the Lasso model at the individual feature level, with the block-sparsity property of the Group Lasso model, where sparse groups of features are jointly encoded, obtaining a sparsity pattern hierarchically structured. This results in the Hierarchical Lasso (HiLasso), which shows important practical modeling a…
In many engineering and scientific applications, prediction variables are grouped, for example, in biological applications where assayed genes or proteins can be grouped by biological roles or biological pathways. Common statistical analysis methods such as ANOVA, factor analysis, and functional modeling with basis sets also exhibit natural variable groupings. Existing successful group variable selection methods such as Antoniadis and Fan (2001), Yuan and Lin (2006) and Zhao, Rocha and Yu (2009) have the limitation of selecting variables in an "all-in-all-out" fashion, i.e., when one variable …
We consider the problem of estimating a sparse multi-response regression function, with an application to expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) mapping, where the goal is to discover genetic variations that influence gene-expression levels. In particular, we investigate a shrinkage technique capable of capturing a given hierarchical structure over the responses, such as a hierarchical clustering tree with leaf nodes for responses and internal nodes for clusters of related responses at multiple granularity, and we seek to leverage this structure to recover covariates relevant to each hiera…
We study the complexity of the entire regularization path for least squares regression with 1-norm penalty, known as the Lasso. Every regression parameter in the Lasso changes linearly as a function of the regularization value. The number of changes is regarded as the Lasso's complexity. Experimental results using exact path following exhibit polynomial complexity of the Lasso in the problem size. Alas, the path complexity of the Lasso on artificially designed regression problems is exponential. We use smoothed analysis as a mechanism for bridging the gap between worst case settings and the de…
We propose a generalization of the lasso that allows the model coefficients to vary as a function of a general set of modifying variables. These modifiers might be variables such as gender, age or time. The paradigm is quite general, with each lasso coefficient modified by a sparse linear function of the modifying variables $Z$. The model is estimated in a hierarchical fashion to control the degrees of freedom and avoid overfitting. The modifying variables may be observed, observed only in the training set, or unobserved overall. There are connections of our proposal to varying coefficient mod…
PliableBVS: A flexible Bayesian variable selection method for modeling interactions with mandatory modifying variables
University of Oslo（奥斯陆大学）；Oslo University Hospital Rikshospitalet（奥斯陆大学医院里克斯霍斯皮塔勒分院）；Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo（奥斯陆大学医学院临床医学科）
Contextual multi-armed bandit algorithms are widely used in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health. Most of the existing algorithms have regret proportional to a polynomial function of the context dimension, $d$. In many applications however, it is often the case that contexts are high-dimensional with only a sparse subset of size $s_0 (\ll d)$ being correlated with the reward. We consider the stochastic linear contextual bandit problem and propose a novel algorithm, namely the Doubly-Robust Lasso Bandit algori…
We introduce a pliable lasso method for estimation of interaction effects in the Cox proportional hazards model framework. The pliable lasso is a linear model that includes interactions between covariates X and a set of modifying variables Z and assumes sparsity of the main effects and interaction effects. The hierarchical penalty excludes interaction effects when the corresponding main effects are zero: this avoids overfitting and an explosion of model complexity. We extend this method to the Cox model for survival data, incorporating modifiers that are either fixed or varying in time into th…
Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by incorporating regularized approaches, such as the lasso in VAR estimation. Traditional approaches address overparameterization by selecting a low lag order, based on the assumption of short range dependence, assuming that a universal lag order applies to all components. Such an approach constrains the relationship between the components and impedes forecast performa…
Biological networks often change under different environmental and genetic conditions. Understanding how these networks change becomes an important problem in biological studies. In this paper, we model the network change as the difference of two precision matrices and propose a novel loss function for estimating the precision matrix difference. Under a new irrepresentability condition, we show that the new loss function with the lasso penalty can give consistent estimates in high-dimensional setting for sub-Gaussian and polynomial-tailed distributions. An efficient algorithm is developed base…
The new class of Markov processes is proposed to realize the flexible shrinkage effects for the dynamic models. The transition density of the new process consists of two penalty functions, similarly to Bayesian fused LASSO in its functional form, that shrink the current state variable to its previous value and zero. The normalizing constant of the density, which is not ignorable in the posterior computation, is shown to be essentially the log-geometric mixture of double-exponential densities. This process comprises the state equation of the dynamic regression models, which is shown to be condi…
There are proposals that extend the classical generalized additive models (GAMs) to accommodate high-dimensional data ($p>>n$) using group sparse regularization. However, the sparse regularization may induce excess shrinkage when estimating smooth functions, damaging predictive performance. Moreover, most of these GAMs consider an "all-in-all-out" approach for functional selection, rendering them difficult to answer if nonlinear effects are necessary. While some Bayesian models can address these shortcomings, using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for model fitting creates a new challenge, …
Topic modeling is widely studied for the dimension reduction and analysis of documents. However, it is formulated as a difficult optimization problem. Current approximate solutions also suffer from inaccurate model- or data-assumptions. To deal with the above problems, we propose a polynomial-time deep topic model with no model and data assumptions. Specifically, we first apply multilayer bootstrap network (MBN), which is an unsupervised deep model, to reduce the dimension of documents, and then use the low-dimensional data representations or their clustering results as the target of supervise…
We define the group-lasso estimator for the natural parameters of the exponential families of distributions representing hierarchical log-linear models under multinomial sampling scheme. Such estimator arises as the solution of a convex penalized likelihood optimization problem based on the group-lasso penalty. We illustrate how it is possible to construct an estimator of the underlying log-linear model using the blocks of nonzero coefficients recovered by the group-lasso procedure. We investigate the asymptotic properties of the group-lasso estimator as a model selection method in a double-as…
We investigate the high-dimensional regression problem using adjacency matrices of unbalanced expander graphs. In this frame, we prove that the $\ell_{2}$-prediction error and the $\ell_{1}$-risk of the lasso and the Dantzig selector are optimal up to an explicit multiplicative constant. Thus we can estimate a high-dimensional target vector with an error term similar to the one obtained in a situation where one knows the support of the largest coordinates in advance. Moreover, we show that these design matrices have an explicit restricted eigenvalue. Precisely, they satisfy the restricted eige…
We present a new approach to solve the sparse approximation or best subset selection problem, namely find a $k$-sparse vector ${\bf x}\in\mathbb{R}^d$ that minimizes the $\ell_2$ residual $\lVert A{\bf x}-{\bf y} \rVert_2$. We consider a regularized approach, whereby this residual is penalized by the non-convex $\textit{trimmed lasso}$, defined as the $\ell_1$-norm of ${\bf x}$ excluding its $k$ largest-magnitude entries. We prove that the trimmed lasso has several appealing theoretical properties, and in particular derive sparse recovery guarantees assuming successful optimization of the pena…
Recently, considerable interest has focused on variable selection methods in regression situations where the number of predictors, $p$, is large relative to the number of observations, $n$. Two commonly applied variable selection approaches are the Lasso, which computes highly shrunk regression coefficients, and Forward Selection, which uses no shrinkage. We propose a new approach, "Forward-Lasso Adaptive SHrinkage" (FLASH), which includes the Lasso and Forward Selection as special cases, and can be used in both the linear regression and the Generalized Linear Model domains. As with the Lasso …
We consider the problem of learning a high-dimensional multi-task regression model, under sparsity constraints induced by presence of grouping structures on the input covariates and on the output predictors. This problem is primarily motivated by expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) mapping, of which the goal is to discover genetic variations in the genome (inputs) that influence the expression levels of multiple co-expressed genes (outputs), either epistatically, or pleiotropically, or both. A structured input-output lasso (SIOL) model based on an intricate l1/l2-norm penalty over the r…
Variable selection is an old and pervasive problem in regression analysis. One solution is to impose a lasso penalty to shrink parameter estimates toward zero and perform continuous model selection. The lasso-penalized mixture of linear regressions model (L-MLR) is a class of regularization methods for the model selection problem in the fixed number of variables setting. In this article, we propose a new algorithm for the maximum penalized-likelihood estimation of the L-MLR model. This algorithm is constructed via the minorization--maximization algorithm paradigm. Such a construction allows fo…
We show that two polynomial time methods, a Lasso estimator with adaptively chosen tuning parameter and a Slope estimator, adaptively achieve the exact minimax prediction and $\ell_2$ estimation rate $(s/n)\log (p/s)$ in high-dimensional linear regression on the class of $s$-sparse target vectors in $\mathbb R^p$. This is done under the Restricted Eigenvalue (RE) condition for the Lasso and under a slightly more constraining assumption on the design for the Slope. The main results have the form of sharp oracle inequalities accounting for the model misspecification error. The minimax optimal bo…
Extracting useful information from high-dimensional data is an important focus of today's statistical research and practice. Penalized loss function minimization has been shown to be effective for this task both theoretically and empirically. With the virtues of both regularization and sparsity, the $L_1$-penalized squared error minimization method Lasso has been popular in regression models and beyond. In this paper, we combine different norms including $L_1$ to form an intelligent penalty in order to add side information to the fitting of a regression or classification model to obtain reason…
In many statistical learning problems, it is desired that the optimal solution conforms to an a priori known sparsity structure represented by a directed acyclic graph. Inducing such structures by means of convex regularizers requires nonsmooth penalty functions that exploit group overlapping. Our study focuses on evaluating the proximal operator of the Latent Overlapping Group lasso developed by Jacob et al. (2009). We implemented an Alternating Direction Method of Multiplier with a sharing scheme to solve large-scale instances of the underlying optimization problem efficiently. In the absenc…
Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院运筹学中心）
We present a novel method for exact hierarchical sparse polynomial regression. Our regressor is that degree $r$ polynomial which depends on at most $k$ inputs, counting at most $\ell$ monomial terms, which minimizes the sum of the squares of its prediction errors. The previous hierarchical sparse specification aligns well with modern big data settings where many inputs are not relevant for prediction purposes and the functional complexity of the regressor needs to be controlled as to avoid overfitting. We present a two-step approach to this hierarchical sparse regression problem. First, we dis…
University of Salerno（萨勒诺大学）；IMT School for Advanced Studies（IMT高等研究院）
World Input-Output (I/O) matrices provide the networks of within- and cross-country economic relations. In the context of I/O analysis, the methodology adopted by national statistical offices in data collection raises the issue of obtaining reliable data in a timely fashion and it makes the reconstruction of (part of) the I/O matrices of particular interest. In this work, we propose a method combining hierarchical clustering and Matrix Completion (MC) with a LASSO-like nuclear norm penalty, to impute missing entries of a partially unknown I/O matrix. Through simulations based on synthetic matr…
Objective: Social-environmental data obtained from the U.S. Census is an important resource for understanding health disparities, but rarely is the full dataset utilized for analysis. A barrier to incorporating the full data is a lack of solid recommendations for variable selection, with researchers often hand-selecting a few variables. Thus, we evaluated the ability of empirical machine learning approaches to identify social-environmental factors having a true association with a health outcome. Materials and Methods: We compared several popular machine learning methods, including penalized re…
We study the performance of sparse regression methods and propose new techniques to distill the governing equations of dynamical systems from data. We first look at the generic methodology of learning interpretable equation forms from data, proposed by Brunton et al., followed by performance of LASSO for this purpose. We then propose a new algorithm that uses the dual of LASSO optimization for higher accuracy and stability. In the second part, we propose a novel algorithm that learns the candidate function library in a completely data-driven manner to distill the governing equations of the dyn…
DeepMind（深度思考）；Princeton University（普林斯顿大学）；University of Alberta（阿尔伯塔大学）
This paper provides a statistical analysis of high-dimensional batch Reinforcement Learning (RL) using sparse linear function approximation. When there is a large number of candidate features, our result sheds light on the fact that sparsity-aware methods can make batch RL more sample efficient. We first consider the off-policy policy evaluation problem. To evaluate a new target policy, we analyze a Lasso fitted Q-evaluation method and establish a finite-sample error bound that has no polynomial dependence on the ambient dimension. To reduce the Lasso bias, we further propose a post model-sele…
University of Campinas（坎皮纳斯州立大学）；University of Minnesota, Twin Cities（明尼苏达大学双城分校）
Future projection of climate is typically obtained by combining outputs from multiple Earth System Models (ESMs) for several climate variables such as temperature and precipitation. While IPCC has traditionally used a simple model output average, recent work has illustrated potential advantages of using a multitask learning (MTL) framework for projections of individual climate variables. In this paper we introduce a framework for hierarchical multitask learning (HMTL) with two levels of tasks such that each super-task, i.e., task at the top level, is itself a multitask learning problem over su…
In this paper we consider solving \emph{noisy} under-determined systems of linear equations with sparse solutions. A noiseless equivalent attracted enormous attention in recent years, above all, due to work of \cite{CRT,CanRomTao06,DonohoPol} where it was shown in a statistical and large dimensional context that a sparse unknown vector (of sparsity proportional to the length of the vector) can be recovered from an under-determined system via a simple polynomial $\ell_1$-optimization algorithm. \cite{CanRomTao06} further established that even when the equations are \emph{noisy}, one can, throug…
Volterra and polynomial regression models play a major role in nonlinear system identification and inference tasks. Exciting applications ranging from neuroscience to genome-wide association analysis build on these models with the additional requirement of parsimony. This requirement has high interpretative value, but unfortunately cannot be met by least-squares based or kernel regression methods. To this end, compressed sampling (CS) approaches, already successful in linear regression settings, can offer a viable alternative. The viability of CS for sparse Volterra and polynomial models is th…
High-dimensional data analysis has motivated a spectrum of regularization methods for variable selection and sparse modeling, with two popular classes of convex ones and concave ones. A long debate has been on whether one class dominates the other, an important question both in theory and to practitioners. In this paper, we characterize the asymptotic equivalence of regularization methods, with general penalty functions, in a thresholded parameter space under the generalized linear model setting, where the dimensionality can grow up to exponentially with the sample size. To assess their perfor…
In many problem settings, parameter vectors are not merely sparse but dependent in such a way that non-zero coefficients tend to cluster together. We refer to this form of dependency as "region sparsity." Classical sparse regression methods, such as the lasso and automatic relevance determination (ARD), which model parameters as independent a priori, and therefore do not exploit such dependencies. Here we introduce a hierarchical model for smooth, region-sparse weight vectors and tensors in a linear regression setting. Our approach represents a hierarchical extension of the relevance determina…
We investigate the choice of tuning parameters for a Bayesian multi-level group lasso model developed for the joint analysis of neuroimaging and genetic data. The regression model we consider relates multivariate phenotypes consisting of brain summary measures (volumetric and cortical thickness values) to single nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) data and imposes penalization at two nested levels, the first corresponding to genes and the second corresponding to SNPs. Associated with each level in the penalty is a tuning parameter which corresponds to a hyperparameter in the hierarchical Bayesian f…
Quadratic regression (QR) models naturally extend linear models by considering interaction effects between the covariates. To conduct model selection in QR, it is important to maintain the hierarchical model structure between main effects and interaction effects. Existing regularization methods generally achieve this goal by solving complex optimization problems, which usually demands high computational cost and hence are not feasible for high dimensional data. This paper focuses on scalable regularization methods for model selection in high dimensional QR. We first consider two-stage regulari…
Compressive sensing is a powerful technique for recovering sparse solutions of underdetermined linear systems, which is often encountered in uncertainty quantification analysis of expensive and high-dimensional physical models. We perform numerical investigations employing several compressive sensing solvers that target the unconstrained LASSO formulation, with a focus on linear systems that arise in the construction of polynomial chaos expansions. With core solvers of l1_ls, SpaRSA, CGIST, FPC_AS, and ADMM, we develop techniques to mitigate overfitting through an automated selection of regula…
