基于划分模型贝叶斯比较的相互独立性模式自动提取
Automated extraction of mutual independence patterns using Bayesian comparison of partition models
AI总结:
本文提出一种贝叶斯模型比较方法,将相互独立性检验从假设驱动转变为自动模式搜索,并设计通用MCMC算法近似后验分布,在合成与真实数据上验证了其有效性。
摘要:
相互独立性是统计学中的一个关键概念,用于刻画变量之间的结构关系。现有的相互独立性研究方法依赖于两个竞争模型的定义,其中一个模型嵌套于另一个模型之中,并用于为感兴趣的统计量生成零分布,通常是在大样本的渐近假设下进行。因此,这些方法的应用范围非常受限。在本手稿中,我们提议将相互独立性的研究从一种只能在非常特定情况下应用的假设驱动任务,转变为对相互独立性模式进行盲式和自动化搜索。为此,我们将该问题视为模型比较问题,并在贝叶斯框架下求解。我们展示了这种方法与现有多元正态分布以及交叉分类多项分布情形下方法之间的关系。我们提出了一种通用的马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)算法,用于在全体相互独立性模式空间上数值近似后验分布。该方法的相关性在合成数据以及两个真实数据集上得到了验证,展示了这一方法所提供的独特洞察。
英文摘要:
Mutual independence is a key concept in statistics that characterizes the structural relationships between variables. Existing methods to investigate mutual independence rely on the definition of two competing models, one being nested into the other and used to generate a null distribution for a statistic of interest, usually under the asymptotic assumption of large sample size. As such, these methods have a very restricted scope of application. In the present manuscript, we propose to change the investigation of mutual independence from a hypothesis-driven task that can only be applied in very specific cases to a blind and automated search within patterns of mutual independence. To this end, we treat the issue as one of model comparison that we solve in a Bayesian framework. We show the relationship between such an approach and existing methods in the case of multivariate normal distributions as well as cross-classified multinomial distributions. We propose a general Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to numerically approximate the posterior distribution on the space of all patterns of mutual independence. The relevance of the method is demonstrated on synthetic data as well as two real datasets, showing the unique insight provided by this approach.
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