Fault-zone fluids control effective normal stress and fault strength. While most earthquake models assume a fixed pore fluid pressure distribution, geologists have documented fault valving behavior, that is, cyclic changes in pressure and unsteady fluid migration along faults. Here we quantify fault valving through 2-D antiplane shear simulations of earthquake sequences on a strike-slip fault with rate-and-state friction, upward Darcy flow along a permeable fault zone, and permeability evolution. Fluid overpressure develops during the interseismic period, when healing/sealing reduces fault permeability, and is released after earthquakes enhance permeability. Coupling between fluid flow, permeability and pressure evolution, and slip produces fluid-driven aseismic slip near the base of the seismogenic zone and earthquake swarms within the seismogenic zone, as ascending fluids pressurize and weaken the fault. This model might help explain observations of late interseismic fault unlocking, slow slip and creep transients, swarm seismicity, and rapid pressure/stress transmission in induced seismicity sequences.
Today, observations of earthquake precursors remain widely debated. While precursory slow slip is an important feature of earthquake nucleation, foreshock sequences are not always observed and their temporal evolution remains unconstrained. Here, we report on stick-slip experiments (laboratory earthquakes) conducted under seismogenic stresses in dry and fluid pressure conditions. We show that the precursory moment release scales with mainshock magnitude irrespective of the slip behavior (seismic or aseismic), the presence of fluid and the fault's slip history. Importantly, this observation is …
Crustal deformation due to the 2016 earthquake sequence in Kumamoto, Japan, that culminated in a preceding earthquake of magnitude M6.5 and a subsequent M7.3 earthquake 28 hours later, caused stress perturbation on and around the causative Futagawa-Hinagu fault zone. Monitoring changes in seismicity pattern along this zone plays a role in understanding the process before and after major earthquakes. For this purpose, stress-dependent laws in statistical seismology can be used: the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size law and the Omori-Utsu aftershock-decay law. We review the results obtained by us…
Seismotectonics and Slip Behavior of a Submarine Plate Boundary Fault from Seismicity Repeaters and Tomography using a high-resolution earthquake catalog from machine learning
A general-purpose model combining concepts from rational continuum mechanics, fracture and damage mechanics, plasticity, and poromechanics is devised in Eulerian coordinates, involving objective time derivatives. The model complies with mass, momentum, and energy conservation as well as entropy inequality and objectivity. It is devised to cover many diverse phenomena, specifically rupture of existing lithospheric faults, tectonic earthquakes, generation and propagation of seismic waves, birth of new tectonic faults, or volcanic activity, aseismic creep, folding of rocks, aging of rocks, long-d…
Decades of seismological observations have highlighted the variability of foreshock occurrence prior to natural earthquakes, making thus difficult to track how earthquakes start. Here, we report on three stick-slip experiments performed on cylindrical samples of Indian metagabbro under upper crustal stress conditions (30-60 $MPa$). Acoustic emissions (AEs) were continuously recorded by 8 calibrated acoustic sensors during the experiments. Seismological parameters (moment magnitude, corner frequency and stress-drop) of the detected AEs ($-8.8 \leq Mw \leq -7 $) follow the scaling law between mo…
Coupled Transient Processes Govern Intraplate Earthquake Swarm Evolution: Insights from the 2019-2020 Palghar Sequence
National Institute of Science Education and Research（国家科学教育与研究中心）；Homi Bhabha National Institute（霍米·巴巴国立研究所）；Geosciences Division, Space Applications Centre, Indian Space Research Organisation（印度空间研究组织太空应用中心地球科学部）；Laboratoire de Géologie, École Normale Supérieure, CNRS UMR 8538, PSL Research University（法国国家科研中心8538联合实验室，巴黎高等师范学院，PSL研究大学地质实验室）；Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology（瓦迪亚喜马拉雅地质研究所）；CSIR–National Geophysical Research Institute（印度科学工业研究理事会国家地球物理研究所）
Earthquakes induced during hydraulic fracturing operations have occurred in a number of locales. However, in-situ studies aimed to discern the triggering mechanism remains exclusively statistical in their nature. Here, we calculate the fault slip-tendencies of eleven hydraulic fracturing induced earthquakes in a historically aseismic area using a recently constructed quantitative model for in-situ stresses. It is shown that the ambient pore pressures of the nearby Duvernay unconventional reservoirs can provide enough Pf triggering fault movement. The local fluid pressures acting on the fault c…
Active faults release elastic strain energy via a whole continuum of modes of slip, ranging from devastating earthquakes to Slow Slip Events and persistent creep. Understanding the mechanisms controlling the occurrence of rapid, dynamic slip radiating seismic waves (i.e. earthquakes) or slow, silent slip (i.e. SSEs) is a fundamental point in the estimation of seismic hazard along subduction zones. On top of showing slower rupture propagation velocity than earthquakes, SSEs exhibit different scaling relationships, which could reflect either different physical mechanisms or an intriguing lack of…
Tectonic faults slip in various manners, ranging from ordinary earthquakes to slow slip events to aseismic fault creep. The frequent occurrence of slow earthquakes and their sensitivity to stress make them a promising probe of the neighboring locked zone where megaquakes take place. This relationship, however, remains poorly understood. We show that the Cascadia megathrust is continuously broadcasting a tremor-like signal that precisely informs of fault displacement rate throughout the slow slip cycle. We posit that this signal provides indirect, real-time access to physical properties of the …
A major goal in earthquake physics is to derive a constitutive framework for fault slip that captures the dependence of shear strength on fault rheology, sliding velocity, and pore-fluid pressure. In this study, we present H-MEC (Hydro-Mechanical Earthquake Cycles), a newly-developed two-phase flow numerical code - which couples solid rock deformation and pervasive fluid flow - to simulate how crustal stress and fluid pressure evolve during the earthquake cycle on a fluid-bearing fault structure. This unified, continuum-based model, incorporates a staggered finite difference-marker-in-cell (SF…
There is evidence of triggering of tremor by seismic waves emanating from distant large earthquakes. The frequency contents of triggered and ambient tremor are largely identical, suggesting that tremor does not depend directly on the nature of the source. We show here that the model of plate dynamics developed earlier by us is an appropriate tool for describing the onset of tremor. In the framework of this model, tremor is an internal response of a fault to a failure triggered by external disturbances. The model predicts generation of radiation in a frequency range defined by the fault paramet…
Evaluating the performance of machine-learning-based phase pickers when applied to ocean bottom seismic data: Blanco oceanic transform fault as a case study
TRACE: A Multi-Agent System for Autonomous Physical Reasoning for Seismology
School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学电子信息与电气工程学院）；Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory（上海人工智能实验室）；School of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学地球和空间科学学院）；Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University（哈佛大学地球与行星科学系）；Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration（中国地震局地震预报研究所）
Capable of reaching similar magnitudes to large megathrust earthquakes ($M_w>7$), slow slip events play a major role in accommodating tectonic motion on plate boundaries. These slip transients are the slow release of built-up tectonic stress that are geodetically imaged as a predominantly aseismic rupture, which is smooth in both time and space. We demonstrate here that large slow slip events are in fact a cluster of short-duration slow transients. Using a dense catalog of low-frequency earthquakes as a guide, we investigate the $M_w7.5$ slow slip event that occurred in 2006 along the subducti…
