On estimation of expectation of simultaneous renewal time of time-inhomogeneous Markov chains using dominating sequence

An estimate for an expectation of the simultaneous renewal for time-inhomogeneous Markov chains

In this paper, we consider two time-inhomogeneous Markov chains $X^{(l)}_t$, $l\in\{1,2\}$, with discrete time on a general state space. We assume the existence of some renewal set $C$ and investigate the time of simultaneous renewal, that is, the first positive time when the chains hit the set $C$ simultaneously. The initial distributions for both chains may be arbitrary. Under the condition of stochastic domination and nonlattice condition for both renewal processes, we derive an upper bound for the expectation of the simultaneous renewal time. Such a bound was calculated for two time-inhomo…

A Lundberg-type inequality for an inhomogeneous renewal risk model

We obtain a Lundberg-type inequality in the case of an inhomogeneous renewal risk model. We consider the model with independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, claim sizes and the interoccurrence times. In order to prove the main theorem, we first formulate and prove an auxiliary lemma on large values of a sum of random variables asymptotically drifted in the negative direction.

不均匀随机游走的分析：具有空间衰减的转移概率和每次游走参数重置

Analysis of an Inhomogeneous Random Walk with Spatial Decay of Transition Probabilities and Parameter Renewal per Excursion

本文提出并分析了一种新的二维不均匀随机游走模型，结合空间衰减的转移概率与每次游走的时序重置结构，研究了空间不均匀性对返回原点的影响以及随机环境对转移概率参数的影响。

Diffusion Models for Double-ended Queues with Renewal Arrival Processes

We study a double-ended queue where buyers and sellers arrive to conduct trades. When there is a pair of buyer and seller in the system, they immediately transact a trade and leave. Thus there cannot be non-zero number of buyers and sellers simultaneously in the system. We assume that sellers and buyers arrive at the system according to independent renewal processes, and they would leave the system after independent exponential patience times. We establish fluid and diffusion approximations for the queue length process under a suitable asymptotic regime. The fluid limit is the solution of an o…

Exponential bounds for the tail probability of the supremum of an inhomogeneous random walk

Let $\{ξ_1,ξ_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability $\mathbb{P}(\sup_{n\geqslant0}\sum_{i=1}^nξ_i>x)$ can be bounded above by $\varrho_1\exp\{-\varrho_2x\}$ with some positive constants $\varrho_1$ and $\varrho_2$. A way to calculate these two constants is presented. The application of the derived bound is discussed and a Lundberg-type inequality is obtained for the ultimate ruin probability in the inhomogeneous renewal risk model satisfying the ne…

Unifying incidence and prevalence under a time-varying general branching process

Renewal equations are a popular approach used in modelling the number of new infections, i.e., incidence, in an outbreak. We develop a stochastic model of an outbreak based on a time-varying variant of the Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process. This model accommodates a time-varying reproduction number and a time-varying distribution for the generation interval. We then derive renewal-like integral equations for incidence, cumulative incidence and prevalence under this model. We show that the equations for incidence and prevalence are consistent with the so-called back-calculation relationship. …