In this paper we consider long-run risk sensitive average cost impulse control applied to a continuous-time Feller-Markov process. Using the probabilistic approach, we show how to get a solution to a suitable continuous-time Bellman equation and link it with the impulse control problem. The optimal strategy for the underlying problem is constructed as a limit of dyadic impulse strategies by exploiting regularity properties of the linked risk sensitive optimal stopping value functions. In particular, this shows that the discretized setting could be used to approximate near optimal strategies for the underlying continuous time control problem, which facilitates the usage of the standard approximation tools. For completeness, we present examples of processes that could be embedded into our framework.
In this paper long-run risk sensitive optimisation problem is studied with dyadic impulse control applied to continuous-time Feller-Markov process. In contrast to the existing literature, focus is put on unbounded and non-uniformly ergodic case by adapting the weight norm approach. In particular, it is shown how to combine geometric drift with local minorisation property in order to extend local span-contraction approach when the process as well as the linked reward/cost functions are unbounded. For any predefined risk-aversion parameter, the existence of solution to suitable Bellman equation …
ENSAE IP Paris, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics(巴黎高等统计与行政学院,经济与统计研究中心);UC Berkeley, Department of Industrial engineering and Operations Research(加州大学伯克利分校,工业工程与运筹学系);Laboratoire Manceau de Mathématiques, Institut du Risque et de l’Assurance, Le Mans Université(勒芒大学,风险与保险研究所,马恩河数学实验室)
Optimal Reinsurance-Dividend Strategy with Fixed Transaction Costs in a Regime-Switching Brownian Risk Model: A Viscosity Solution to the Impulse Control Problem
Fujian Normal University(福建师范大学);The Hong Kong Polytechnic University(香港理工大学);Xi’an Jiaotong University(西安交通大学)
We consider an investment problem in which an investor performs capital injections to increase the liquidity of a firm for it to maximise profit from market operations. Each time the investor performs an injection, the investor incurs a fixed transaction cost. In addition to maximising their terminal reward, the investor seeks to minimise the risk of loss of their investment (from a possible firm ruin) by exiting the market at some point in time. We show that the problem can be reformulated in terms of a new stochastic differential game of control and stopping in which one of the players modif…
For an insurance company with reserve modeled by the spectrally negative Lévy process, we study the optimal impulse dividend maximizing the expected accumulated net dividend payment subtracted by the accumulated cost of injecting capital. In this setting, the beneficiary of the dividends injects capital to ensure a non-negative risk process so that the insurer never goes bankrupt. The optimal impulse dividend and capital injection strategy together with its value function are obtained.
Long-Term Average Impulse and Singular Control of a Growth Model with Two Revenue Sources
Institute for Operations Research, Humboldt University of Berlin(柏林洪堡大学运筹学研究所);Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee(威斯康星大学密尔沃基分校数学科学系)
We discuss the problem of optimal impulse control representing the preventive maintenance of a simple reparable system. The system model is governed by coupled transport and integro-differential equations in a nonreflexive Banach space. The objective of this paper is to construct nonnegative impulse control inputs at given system running times that minimize the probability of the system in failure mode. To guarantee the nonnegativity of the controlled system, we consider the control inputs to depend on the system state. This essentially leads to a bilinear control problem. We first present a r…
In the paper portfolio optimization over long run risk sensitive criterion is considered. It is assumed that economic factors which stimulate asset prices are ergodic but non necessarily uniformly ergodic. Solution to suitable Bellman equation using local span contraction with weighted norms is shown. The form of optimal strategy is presented and examples of market models satisfying imposed assumptions are shown.
Trading in CEXs and DEXs with Priority Fees and Stochastic Delays
CEREMADE, Université Paris Dauphine-PSL(巴黎第九大学-CEREMADE);CMAP, École Polytechnique(巴黎综合理工学院-CMAP);Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford(牛津大学数学研究所);Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance, University of Oxford(牛津大学牛津曼量化金融研究所)
In this paper, we consider joint drift rate control and impulse control for a stochastic inventory system under long-run average cost criterion. Assuming the inventory level must be nonnegative, we prove that a $\{(0,q^{\star},Q^{\star},S^{\star}),\{μ^{\star}(x): x\in[0, S^{\star}]\}\}$ policy is an optimal joint control policy, where the impulse control follows the control band policy $(0,q^{\star},Q^{\star},S^{\star})$, that brings the inventory level up to $q^{\star}$ once it drops to $0$ and brings it down to $Q^{\star}$ once it rises to $S^{\star}$, and the drift rate only depends on the …
Ergodic Risk Sensitive Control of Diffusions under a General Structural Hypothesis
Institut Für Mathematik, Technische Universität Ilmenau(伊尔梅瑙工业大学);Department of Computational Applied Mathematics and Operations Research, George R. Brown School of Engineering, Rice University(莱斯大学)
We consider an inventory system in which inventory level fluctuates as a Brownian motion in the absence of control. The inventory continuously accumulates cost at a rate that is a general convex function of the inventory level, which can be negative when there is a backlog. At any time, the inventory level can be adjusted by a positive or negative amount, which incurs a fixed cost and a proportional cost. The challenge is to find an adjustment policy that balances the holding cost and adjustment cost to minimize the long-run average cost. When both upward and downward fixed costs are positive,…
In this paper, we investigate the problem of optimal strategies of dividend and reinsurance under the Cramér-Lundberg risk model embedded with the thinning-dependence structure which was firstly introduced by Wang and Yuen (2005), subject to the optimality criteria of maximizing the expected accumulated discounted dividends paid until ruin. To enhance the practical relevance of the optimal dividend and reinsurance problem, non-cheap reinsurance is considered and transaction costs and taxes are imposed on dividends, which converts our optimization problem into a mixed classical-impulse control …
Sun Yat-Sen University(中山大学);Stanford University(斯坦福大学)
CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk) is a risk metric widely used in finance. However, dynamically optimizing CVaR is difficult since it is not a standard Markov decision process (MDP) and the principle of dynamic programming fails. In this paper, we study the infinite-horizon discrete-time MDP with a long-run CVaR criterion, from the view of sensitivity-based optimization. By introducing a pseudo CVaR metric, we derive a CVaR difference formula which quantifies the difference of long-run CVaR under any two policies. The optimality of deterministic policies is derived. We obtain a so-called Bellma…
In this article, we prove the existence of optimal risk-sensitive control with state constraints. We use near monotone assumption on the running cost to prove the existence of optimal risk-sensitive control.
In this article we consider the ergodic risk-sensitive control problem for a large class of multidimensional controlled diffusions on the whole space. We study the minimization and maximization problems under either a blanket stability hypothesis, or a near-monotone assumption on the running cost. We establish the convergence of the policy improvement algorithm for these models. We also present a more general result concerning the region of attraction of the equilibrium of the algorithm.
Intertemporal Hedging Demand under Epstein-Zin Preferences in a Multi-Asset Long-Run Risk Model: Evidence from Projected Pontryagin-Guided Deep Policy Optimization
This article examines arbitrage investment in a mispriced asset when the mispricing follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and a credit-constrained investor maximizes a generalization of the Kelly criterion. The optimal differentiable and threshold policies are derived. The optimal differentiable policy is linear with respect to mispricing and risk-free in the long run. The optimal threshold policy calls for investing immediately when the mispricing is greater than zero with the investment amount inversely proportional to the risk aversion parameter. The investment is risky even in the long ru…
We address the variational formulation of the risk-sensitive reward problem for non-degenerate diffusions on $\mathbb{R}^d$ controlled through the drift. We establish a variational formula on the whole space and also show that the risk-sensitive value equals the generalized principal eigenvalue of the semilinear operator. This can be viewed as a controlled version of the variational formulas for principal eigenvalues of diffusion operators arising in large deviations. We also revisit the average risk-sensitive minimization problem and by employing a gradient estimate developed in this paper, w…
Dual risk models are popular for modeling a venture capital or high tech company, for which the running cost is deterministic and the profits arrive stochastically over time. Most of the existing literature on dual risk models concentrated on the optimal dividend strategies. In this paper, we propose to study the optimal investment strategy on research and development for the dual risk models to minimize the ruin probability of the underlying company. We will also study the optimization problem when in addition the investment in a risky asset is allowed.
Growth-optimal portfolios are guaranteed to accumulate higher wealth than any other investment strategy in the long run. However, they tend to be risky in the short term. For serially uncorrelated markets, similar portfolios with more robust guarantees have been recently proposed. This paper extends these robust portfolios by accommodating non-zero autocorrelations that may reflect investors' beliefs about market movements. Moreover, we prove that the risk incurred by such autocorrelations can be absorbed by modifying the covariance matrix of asset returns.
We consider the constrained optimal control problem for the gradual-impulsive CTMDP model with the performance criteria being the expected total undiscounted costs (from the running cost and the cost from each time an impulse being applied). The discounted model is covered as a special case. We justify fully a reduction method, and close an open issue in the previous literature. The reduction method induces an equivalent but simpler standard CTMDP model with gradual control only, based on which, we establish effectively, under rather natural conditions, a linear programming approach for solvin…
Google Research(谷歌研究院);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
We consider the problem of minimizing a non-convex objective while preserving the privacy of the examples in the training data. Building upon the previous variance-reduced algorithm SpiderBoost, we introduce a new framework that utilizes two different kinds of gradient oracles. The first kind of oracles can estimate the gradient of one point, and the second kind of oracles, less precise and more cost-effective, can estimate the gradient difference between two points. SpiderBoost uses the first kind periodically, once every few steps, while our framework proposes using the first oracle whenever…