arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1911.09045cs.LGq-bio.QMstat.ML
收藏

A CNN-RNN Framework for Crop Yield Prediction

Iowa State University(爱荷华州立大学);University of Hyderabad(海得拉巴大学);University of Georgia(佐治亚大学)

Saeed Khaki, Lizhi Wang, Sotirios V. Archontoulis

英文摘要:

Crop yield prediction is extremely challenging due to its dependence on multiple factors such as crop genotype, environmental factors, management practices, and their interactions. This paper presents a deep learning framework using convolutional neural networks (CNN) and recurrent neural networks (RNN) for crop yield prediction based on environmental data and management practices. The proposed CNN-RNN model, along with other popular methods such as random forest (RF), deep fully-connected neural networks (DFNN), and LASSO, was used to forecast corn and soybean yield across the entire Corn Belt (including 13 states) in the United States for years 2016, 2017, and 2018 using historical data. The new model achieved a root-mean-square-error (RMSE) 9% and 8% of their respective average yields, substantially outperforming all other methods that were tested. The CNN-RNN have three salient features that make it a potentially useful method for other crop yield prediction studies. (1) The CNN-RNN model was designed to capture the time dependencies of environmental factors and the genetic improvement of seeds over time without having their genotype information. (2) The model demonstrated the capability to generalize the yield prediction to untested environments without significant drop in the prediction accuracy. (3) Coupled with the backpropagation method, the model could reveal the extent to which weather conditions, accuracy of weather predictions, soil conditions, and management practices were able to explain the variation in the crop yields.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑