In this paper we consider the basic version of Reinforcement Learning (RL) that involves computing optimal data driven (adaptive) policies for Markovian decision process with unknown transition probabilities. We provide a brief survey of the state of the art of the area and we compare the performance of the classic UCB policy of \cc{bkmdp97} with a new policy developed herein which we call MDP-Deterministic Minimum Empirical Divergence (MDP-DMED), and a method based on Posterior sampling (MDP-PS).
The multi-armed bandit problem has been extensively studied under the stationary assumption. However in reality, this assumption often does not hold because the distributions of rewards themselves may change over time. In this paper, we propose a change-detection (CD) based framework for multi-armed bandit problems under the piecewise-stationary setting, and study a class of change-detection based UCB (Upper Confidence Bound) policies, CD-UCB, that actively detects change points and restarts the UCB indices. We then develop CUSUM-UCB and PHT-UCB, that belong to the CD-UCB class and use cumulat…
A classic setting of the stochastic K-armed bandit problem is considered in this note. In this problem it has been known that KL-UCB policy achieves the asymptotically optimal regret bound and KL-UCB+ policy empirically performs better than the KL-UCB policy although the regret bound for the original form of the KL-UCB+ policy has been unknown. This note demonstrates that a simple proof of the asymptotic optimality of the KL-UCB+ policy can be given by the same technique as those used for analyses of other known policies.
We study the nonstationary stochastic Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problem in which the distribution of rewards associated with each arm are assumed to be time-varying and the total variation in the expected rewards is subject to a variation budget. The regret of a policy is defined by the difference in the expected cumulative rewards obtained using the policy and using an oracle that selects the arm with the maximum mean reward at each time. We characterize the performance of the proposed policies in terms of the worst-case regret, which is the supremum of the regret over the set of reward distri…
Extended UCB Policies for Multi-armed Bandit Problems
School of Mathematics and Physics（数学与物理学院）；Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University（西安交通大学利物浦大学）；School of Mathematics（数学学院）；Nanjing University（南京大学）；National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology（新型软件技术国家实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence（人工智能学院）
UC San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校）；West Virginia University（西弗吉尼亚大学）
We propose a novel modification of the standard upper confidence bound (UCB) method for the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem which tunes the confidence bound of a given bandit based on its distance to others. Our UCB distance tuning (UCB-DT) formulation enables improved performance as measured by expected regret by preventing the MAB algorithm from focusing on non-optimal bandits which is a well-known deficiency of standard UCB. "Distance tuning" of the standard UCB is done using a proposed distance measure, which we call bandit distance, that is parameterizable and which therefore …
Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）；Data61, CSIRO（联邦科学与工业研究组织Data61）；Deakin University（迪肯大学）；Microsoft Research Asia（微软亚洲研究院）
We consider the problem of personalised news recommendation where each user consumes news in a sequential fashion. Existing personalised news recommendation methods focus on exploiting user interests and ignores exploration in recommendation, which leads to biased feedback loops and hurt recommendation quality in the long term. We build on contextual bandits recommendation strategies which naturally address the exploitation-exploration trade-off. The main challenges are the computational efficiency for exploring the large-scale item space and utilising the deep representations with uncertainty…
Efficient exploration is one of the main challenges in reinforcement learning (RL). Most existing sample-efficient algorithms assume the existence of a single reward function during exploration. In many practical scenarios, however, there is not a single underlying reward function to guide the exploration, for instance, when an agent needs to learn many skills simultaneously, or multiple conflicting objectives need to be balanced. To address these challenges, we propose the \textit{task-agnostic RL} framework: In the exploration phase, the agent first collects trajectories by exploring the MDP…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）
It has been recently shown in the literature that the sample averages from online learning experiments are biased when used to estimate the mean reward. To correct the bias, off-policy evaluation methods, including importance sampling and doubly robust estimators, typically calculate the conditional propensity score, which is ill-defined for non-randomized policies such as UCB. This paper provides a procedure to debias the samples using bootstrap, which doesn't require the knowledge of the reward distribution and can be applied to any adaptive policies. Numerical experiments demonstrate the ef…
Learning in Markovian bandits with non-observable states and constrained decision epochs
IRIT, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, Toulouse INP（图卢兹大学IRIT实验室，法国国家科学研究中心，图卢兹国立理工学院）；Ikerbasque-UPV/EHU, University of the Basque Country（巴斯克科学与技术联盟-巴斯克大学）
Design Experiments to Compare Multi-armed Bandit Algorithms
Department of Systems Engineering and Engineering Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学系统工程与工程管理系）；Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto（多伦多大学罗特曼管理学院）
Dipartimento di Informatica Università degli Studi di Milano（米兰大学信息系）
Motivated by recommendation problems in music streaming platforms, we propose a nonstationary stochastic bandit model in which the expected reward of an arm depends on the number of rounds that have passed since the arm was last pulled. After proving that finding an optimal policy is NP-hard even when all model parameters are known, we introduce a class of ranking policies provably approximating, to within a constant factor, the expected reward of the optimal policy. We show an algorithm whose regret with respect to the best ranking policy is bounded by $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}\big(\!\sqrt{kT}…
We study the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem in the presence of side-observations across actions that occur as a result of an underlying network structure. In our model, a bipartite graph captures the relationship between actions and a common set of unknowns such that choosing an action reveals observations for the unknowns that it is connected to. This models a common scenario in online social networks where users respond to their friends' activity, thus providing side information about each other's preferences. Our contributions are as follows: 1) We derive an asymptotic lower bo…
Sequential Hiring of Contingent Workers Through Learning-Based Optimization
Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan（工业与运营工程系，密歇根大学）；Ross School of Business, University of Michigan（罗斯商学院，密歇根大学）
Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）；University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；University of California, San Francisco（加州大学旧金山分校）
Many settings involve sequential decision-making where a set of actions can be chosen at each time step, each action provides a stochastic reward, and the distribution for the reward of each action is initially unknown. However, frequent selection of a specific action may reduce its expected reward, while abstaining from choosing an action may cause its expected reward to increase. Such non-stationary phenomena are observed in many real world settings such as personalized healthcare-adherence improving interventions and targeted online advertising. Though finding an optimal policy for general …
In this paper, we investigate a new multi-armed bandit (MAB) online learning model that considers real-world phenomena in many recommender systems: (i) the learning agent cannot pull the arms by itself and thus has to offer rewards to users to incentivize arm-pulling indirectly; and (ii) if users with specific arm preferences are well rewarded, they induce a "self-reinforcing" effect in the sense that they will attract more users of similar arm preferences. Besides addressing the tradeoff of exploration and exploitation, another key feature of this new MAB model is to balance reward and incent…
We consider the classical multi-armed bandit problem with Markovian rewards. When played an arm changes its state in a Markovian fashion while it remains frozen when not played. The player receives a state-dependent reward each time it plays an arm. The number of states and the state transition probabilities of an arm are unknown to the player. The player's objective is to maximize its long-term total reward by learning the best arm over time. We show that under certain conditions on the state transition probabilities of the arms, a sample mean based index policy achieves logarithmic regret un…
SUNY-Binghamton University（纽约州立大学宾汉姆顿分校）；Indian Institute of Science（印度科学学院）
We consider the problem of service placement at the network edge, in which a decision maker has to choose between $N$ services to host at the edge to satisfy the demands of customers. Our goal is to design adaptive algorithms to minimize the average service delivery latency for customers. We pose the problem as a Markov decision process (MDP) in which the system state is given by describing, for each service, the number of customers that are currently waiting at the edge to obtain the service. However, solving this $N$-services MDP is computationally expensive due to the curse of dimensionalit…
We consider the problem of finding optimal energy sharing policies that maximize the network performance of a system comprising of multiple sensor nodes and a single energy harvesting (EH) source. Sensor nodes periodically sense the random field and generate data, which is stored in the corresponding data queues. The EH source harnesses energy from ambient energy sources and the generated energy is stored in an energy buffer. Sensor nodes receive energy for data transmission from the EH source. The EH source has to efficiently share the stored energy among the nodes in order to minimize the lo…
Recently deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved outstanding success on solving many difficult and large-scale RL problems. However the high sample cost required for effective learning often makes DRL unaffordable in resource-limited applications. With the aim of improving sample efficiency and learning performance, we will develop a new DRL algorithm in this paper that seamless integrates entropy-induced and bootstrap-induced techniques for efficient and deep exploration of the learning environment. Specifically, a general form of Tsallis entropy regularizer will be utilized to drive e…
Sri Lanka Technological Campus（斯里兰卡科技园区）；University of Peradeniya（佩拉德尼亚大学）
This paper considers a multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem in which multiple mobile agents receive rewards by sampling from a collection of spatially dispersed stochastic processes, called bandits. The goal is to formulate a decentralized policy for each agent, in order to maximize the total cumulative reward over all agents, subject to option availability and inter-agent communication constraints. The problem formulation is motivated by applications in which a team of autonomous mobile robots cooperates to accomplish an exploration and exploitation task in an uncertain environment. Bandit locati…
Artificially intelligent agents equipped with strategic skills that can negotiate during their interactions with other natural or artificial agents are still underdeveloped. This paper describes a successful application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for training intelligent agents with strategic conversational skills, in a situated dialogue setting. Previous studies have modelled the behaviour of strategic agents using supervised learning and traditional reinforcement learning techniques, the latter using tabular representations or learning with linear function approximation. In this st…
Comparing Socially-Equitable Renewable Energy Budget Allocation MDP Policies in Mature and Emerging Economies
Management \& Technology University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA, USA；Systems Engineering Institute Technology of Sepuluh Nopember (ITS) Surabaya, Indonesia；Systems Engineering King Fahd University of Petroleum
Our aim is to establish a framework where reinforcement learning (RL) of optimizing interventions retrospectively allows us a regulatory compliant pathway to prospective clinical testing of the learned policies in a clinical deployment. We focus on infections in intensive care units which are one of the major causes of death and difficult to treat because of the complex and opaque patient dynamics, and the clinically debated, highly-divergent set of intervention policies required by each individual patient, yet intensive care units are naturally data rich. In our work, we build on RL approache…
Ensemble Value Functions for Efficient Exploration in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning
University of Edinburgh（爱丁堡大学）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；King’s College London（伦敦国王学院）；Queen Mary University London（伦敦玛丽女王大学）；Microsoft Research Cambridge（微软研究院剑桥分部）
We consider a multi-agent episodic MDP setup where an agent (leader) takes action at each step of the episode followed by another agent (follower). The state evolution and rewards depend on the joint action pair of the leader and the follower. Such type of interactions can find applications in many domains such as smart grids, mechanism design, security, and policymaking. We are interested in how to learn policies for both the players with provable performance guarantee under a bandit feedback setting. We focus on a setup where both the leader and followers are {\em non-myopic}, i.e., they bot…
Internet Based Communication Networks and Services (IBCN)（基于互联网的通信网络与服务）
A novel efficient method for computing the Knowledge-Gradient policy for Continuous Parameters (KGCP) for deterministic optimization is derived. The differences with Expected Improvement (EI), a popular choice for Bayesian optimization of deterministic engineering simulations, are explored. Both policies and the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) policy are compared on a number of benchmark functions including a problem from structural dynamics. It is empirically shown that KGCP has similar performance as the EI policy for many problems, but has better convergence properties for complex (multi-modal…
Oregon State University（俄勒冈州立大学）；Intel Labs（英特尔研究院）
Decision makers often wish to use offline historical data to compare sequential-action policies at various world states. Importantly, computational tools should produce confidence values for such offline policy comparison (OPC) to account for statistical variance and limited data coverage. Nevertheless, there is little work that directly evaluates the quality of confidence values for OPC. In this work, we address this issue by creating benchmarks for OPC with Confidence (OPCC), derived by adding sets of policy comparison queries to datasets from offline reinforcement learning. In addition, we …
