Deep learning (DL) research yields accuracy and product improvements from both model architecture changes and scale: larger data sets and models, and more computation. For hardware design, it is difficult to predict DL model changes. However, recent prior work shows that as dataset sizes grow, DL model accuracy and model size grow predictably. This paper leverages the prior work to project the dataset and model size growth required to advance DL accuracy beyond human-level, to frontier targets defined by machine learning experts. Datasets will need to grow $33$--$971 \times$, while models will need to grow $6.6$--$456\times$ to achieve target accuracies.
We further characterize and project the computational requirements to train these applications at scale. Our characterization reveals an important segmentation of DL training challenges for recurrent neural networks (RNNs) that contrasts with prior studies of deep convolutional networks. RNNs will have comparatively moderate operational intensities and very large memory footprint requirements. In contrast to emerging accelerator designs, large-scale RNN training characteristics suggest designs with significantly larger memory capacity and on-chip caches.
Multi-Agent, Human-Agent and Beyond: A Survey on Cooperation in Social Dilemmas
Northwestern Polytechnical University(西北工业大学);Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of Auckland(奥克兰大学);Kyushu University(九州大学);The Hong Kong Polytechnic University(香港理工大学);Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory(上海人工智能实验室)
Easy-to-Hard Generalization: Scalable Alignment Beyond Human Supervision
Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Peking University(北京大学);MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab(麻省理工学院-IBM沃森人工智能实验室);University of Cambridge(剑桥大学);Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems(马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所);UMass Amherst(马萨诸塞大学阿默斯特分校)
Alien Recombination: Exploring Concept Blends Beyond Human Cognitive Availability in Visual Art
Max Planck Institute for Human Development(马克斯·普朗克人类发展研究所);Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems(马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所);NVIDIA(英伟达公司);Tallinn University(塔林大学)