下议院中的异议与反叛：对57个$^{ th}$议会中与英国脱欧有关的分歧的社会网络分析
Dissent and Rebellion in the House of Commons: A Social Network Analysis of Brexit-Related Divisions in the 57$^{ th}$ Parliament
摘要：
英国的政党制度以其纪律性和凝聚力而闻名，但它在一个问题上仍然停滞不前：欧洲一体化。我们提供了一种方法，使用社会网络分析，认为议员在投票过程中的个人互动。使用公开的议会记录，我们在第57届议会（2017年6月至2019年4月）中刮取了个别议员的选票，计算了成对相似性得分，并基于特征向量中心计算了叛乱度量。比较英国脱欧和非英国脱欧部门的网络，我们的方法能够检测到前者的欧洲怀疑行为的显着差异，并使用反叛指标，我们预测国会议员将如何在即将到来的英国脱欧协议中投票，准确率超过90%。
英文摘要：
The British party system is known for its discipline and cohesion, but it remains wedged on one issue: European integration. We offer a methodology using social network analysis that considers the individual interactions of MPs in the voting process. Using public Parliamentary records, we scraped votes of individual MPs in the 57th parliament (June 2017 to April 2019), computed pairwise similarity scores and calculated rebellion metrics based on eigenvector centralities. Comparing the networks of Brexit- and non-Brexit divisions, our methodology was able to detect a significant difference in eurosceptic behaviour for the former, and using a rebellion metric we predicted how MPs would vote in a forthcoming Brexit deal with over 90% accuracy.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
