Self-reinforcing feedback loops in personalization systems are typically caused by users choosing from a limited set of alternatives presented systematically based on previous choices. We propose a Bayesian choice model built on Luce axioms that explicitly accounts for users' limited exposure to alternatives. Our model is fair---it does not impose negative bias towards unpresented alternatives, and practical---preference estimates are accurately inferred upon observing a small number of interactions. It also allows efficient sampling, leading to a straightforward online presentation mechanism based on Thompson sampling. Our approach achieves low regret in learning to present upon exploration of only a small fraction of possible presentations. The proposed structure can be reused as a building block in interactive systems, e.g., recommender systems, free of feedback loops.
This work explores non-negative low-rank matrix factorization based on regularized Poisson models (PF or "Poisson factorization" for short) for recommender systems with implicit-feedback data. The properties of Poisson likelihood allow a shortcut for very fast computations over zero-valued inputs, and oftentimes results in very sparse factors for both users and items. Compared to HPF (a popular Bayesian formulation of the problem with hierarchical priors), the frequentist optimization-based approach presented here tends to produce better top-N recommendations with significantly shorter fitting…
Graduate School of Information Systems, University of Electro-Communications（电气通信大学信息系统研究生院）
Recent reports have described that learning Bayesian networks are highly sensitive to the chosen equivalent sample size (ESS) in the Bayesian Dirichlet equivalence uniform (BDeu). This sensitivity often engenders some unstable or undesirable results. This paper describes some asymptotic analyses of BDeu to explain the reasons for the sensitivity and its effects. Furthermore, this paper presents a proposal for a robust learning score for ESS by eliminating the sensitive factors from the approximation of log-BDeu.
We study pool-based active learning with abstention feedbacks, where a labeler can abstain from labeling a queried example with some unknown abstention rate. This is an important problem with many useful applications. We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and develop two new greedy algorithms that learn both the classification problem and the unknown abstention rate at the same time. These are achieved by simply incorporating the estimated abstention rate into the greedy criteria. We prove that both of our algorithms have near-optimality guarantees: they respectively achieve a ${(1-\frac{…
Aalto University（阿尔托大学）；Technical University of Denmark（丹麦技术大学）；Microsoft Research（微软研究院）
Most research in Bayesian optimization (BO) has focused on \emph{direct feedback} scenarios, where one has access to exact values of some expensive-to-evaluate objective. This direction has been mainly driven by the use of BO in machine learning hyper-parameter configuration problems. However, in domains such as modelling human preferences, A/B tests, or recommender systems, there is a need for methods that can replace direct feedback with \emph{preferential feedback}, obtained via rankings or pairwise comparisons. In this work, we present preferential batch Bayesian optimization (PBBO), a new…
We introduce a Bayesian defect detector to facilitate the defect detection on the motion blurred images on rough texture surfaces. To enhance the accuracy of Bayesian detection on removing non-defect pixels, we develop a class of reflected non-local prior distributions, which is constructed by using the mode of a distribution to subtract its density. The reflected non-local priors forces the Bayesian detector to approach 0 at the non-defect locations. We conduct experiments studies to demonstrate the superior performance of the Bayesian detector in eliminating the non-defect points. We impleme…
Harvard University（哈佛大学）；University of Southern California（南加利福尼亚大学）
There is significant interest in learning and optimizing a complex system composed of multiple sub-components, where these components may be agents or autonomous sensors. Among the rich literature on this topic, agent-based and domain-specific simulations can capture complex dynamics and subgroup interaction, but optimizing over such simulations can be computationally and algorithmically challenging. Bayesian approaches, such as Gaussian processes (GPs), can be used to learn a computationally tractable approximation to the underlying dynamics but typically neglect the detailed information abou…
We present two algorithms for Bayesian optimization in the batch feedback setting, based on Gaussian process upper confidence bound and Thompson sampling approaches, along with frequentist regret guarantees and numerical results.
Item recommendation is the task of predicting a personalized ranking on a set of items (e.g. websites, movies, products). In this paper, we investigate the most common scenario with implicit feedback (e.g. clicks, purchases). There are many methods for item recommendation from implicit feedback like matrix factorization (MF) or adaptive knearest-neighbor (kNN). Even though these methods are designed for the item prediction task of personalized ranking, none of them is directly optimized for ranking. In this paper we present a generic optimization criterion BPR-Opt for personalized ranking that…
Dual-Axis Policy Optimization for LLM Agents: Bayesian Feedback Attribution and Trajectory Mass Normalization
Zhejiang University（浙江大学）；University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学）；University of New South Wales（新南威尔士大学）；Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory（上海人工智能实验室）
We begin by reiterating that common neural network activation functions have simple Bayesian origins. In this spirit, we go on to show that Bayes's theorem also implies a simple recurrence relation; this leads to a Bayesian recurrent unit with a prescribed feedback formulation. We show that introduction of a context indicator leads to a variable feedback that is similar to the forget mechanism in conventional recurrent units. A similar approach leads to a probabilistic input gate. The Bayesian formulation leads naturally to the two pass algorithm of the Kalman smoother or forward-backward algo…
Max Planck Institute（马克斯·普朗克研究所）；Université Laval（拉瓦尔大学）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）；University of Leoben（莱奥本大学）
We present two alternative ways to apply PAC-Bayesian analysis to sequences of dependent random variables. The first is based on a new lemma that enables to bound expectations of convex functions of certain dependent random variables by expectations of the same functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. This lemma provides an alternative tool to Hoeffding-Azuma inequality to bound concentration of martingale values. Our second approach is based on integration of Hoeffding-Azuma inequality with PAC-Bayesian analysis. We also introduce a way to apply PAC-Bayesian analysis in situation …
University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学）；Baidu Talent Intelligence Center, Baidu Inc.（百度人才智能中心（百度公司））；Business Intelligence Lab, Baidu Research（百度研究院商业智能实验室）
The recent development of online recommender systems has a focus on collaborative ranking from implicit feedback, such as user clicks and purchases. Different from explicit ratings, which reflect graded user preferences, the implicit feedback only generates positive and unobserved labels. While considerable efforts have been made in this direction, the well-known pairwise and listwise approaches have still been limited by various challenges. Specifically, for the pairwise approaches, the assumption of independent pairwise preference is not always held in practice. Also, the listwise approaches…
Amazon Web Services（亚马逊云科技）；Dalhousie University（达尔豪斯大学）；Alibaba Inc.（阿里巴巴集团）；University of Delaware（特拉华大学）；AISIA Research Lab（AISIA研究实验室）；University of Science（理学院）；Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh City（胡志明市越南国家大学）
We study pool-based active learning with abstention feedbacks where a labeler can abstain from labeling a queried example with some unknown abstention rate. This is an important problem with many useful applications. We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and develop two new greedy algorithms that learn both the classification problem and the unknown abstention rate at the same time. These are achieved by simply incorporating the estimated average abstention rate into the greedy criteria. We prove that both algorithms have near-optimality guarantees: they respectively achieve a ${(1-\frac{…
Helsinki Institute for Information Technology HIIT（赫尔辛基信息技术研究所）；Aalto University（阿尔托大学）；The University of Manchester（曼彻斯特大学）
Bayesian optimization is an effective method for finding extrema of a black-box function. We propose a new type of Bayesian optimization for learning user preferences in high-dimensional spaces. The central assumption is that the underlying objective function cannot be evaluated directly, but instead a minimizer along a projection can be queried, which we call a projective preferential query. The form of the query allows for feedback that is natural for a human to give, and which enables interaction. This is demonstrated in a user experiment in which the user feedback comes in the form of opti…
Texas A&M University（德克萨斯农工大学）；The University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）
Contrastive learning has become a key component of self-supervised learning approaches for graph-structured data. Despite their success, existing graph contrastive learning methods are incapable of uncertainty quantification for node representations or their downstream tasks, limiting their application in high-stakes domains. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian perspective of graph contrastive learning methods showing random augmentations leads to stochastic encoders. As a result, our proposed method represents each node by a distribution in the latent space in contrast to existing tech…
Matrix factorization (MF) has been widely applied to collaborative filtering in recommendation systems. Its Bayesian variants can derive posterior distributions of user and item embeddings, and are more robust to sparse ratings. However, the Bayesian methods are restricted by their update rules for the posterior parameters due to the conjugacy of the priors and the likelihood. Variational autoencoders (VAE) can address this issue by capturing complex mappings between the posterior parameters and the data. However, current research on VAEs for collaborative filtering only considers the mappings…
Sorbonne Université（索邦大学）；INSERM（法国国家健康与医学研究院）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Institut de la Vision（视觉研究所）
Bayesian optimization (BO) is an efficient method to optimize expensive black-box functions. It has been generalized to scenarios where objective function evaluations return stochastic binary feedback, such as success/failure in a given test, or preference between different parameter settings. In many real-world situations, the objective function can be evaluated in controlled 'contexts' or 'environments' that directly influence the observations. For example, one could directly alter the 'difficulty' of the test that is used to evaluate a system's performance. With binary feedback, the context…
University of Edinburgh（爱丁堡大学）；Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
A good clustering can help a data analyst to explore and understand a data set, but what constitutes a good clustering may depend on domain-specific and application-specific criteria. These criteria can be difficult to formalize, even when it is easy for an analyst to know a good clustering when she sees one. We present a new approach to interactive clustering for data exploration, called \ciif, based on a particularly simple feedback mechanism, in which an analyst can choose to reject individual clusters and request new ones. The new clusters should be different from previously rejected clust…
We present a Bayesian view of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM) for offline learning from logged bandit feedback. Using PAC-Bayesian analysis, we derive a new generalization bound for the truncated inverse propensity score estimator. We apply the bound to a class of Bayesian policies, which motivates a novel, potentially data-dependent, regularization technique for CRM. Experimental results indicate that this technique outperforms standard $L_2$ regularization, and that it is competitive with variance regularization while being both simpler to implement and more computationally efficient.
A Bayesian latent class reinforcement learning framework to capture adaptive, feedback-driven travel behaviour
Choice Modelling Centre & Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds（选择建模中心及交通研究学院，利兹大学）；DTU Management, Technical University of Denmark（技术大学丹麦管理学院）；Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, University of Sydney（交通与物流研究学院，悉尼大学）；College of Business, Al Yamamah University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia（商学院，阿尔亚玛马大学，利雅得，沙特阿拉伯）
Enforcing safety is a key aspect of many problems pertaining to sequential decision making under uncertainty, which require the decisions made at every step to be both informative of the optimal decision and also safe. For example, we value both efficacy and comfort in medical therapy, and efficiency and safety in robotic control. We consider this problem of optimizing an unknown utility function with absolute feedback or preference feedback subject to unknown safety constraints. We develop an efficient safe Bayesian optimization algorithm, StageOpt, that separates safe region expansion and ut…
There has been much recent interest in modifying Bayesian inference for misspecified models so that it is useful for specific purposes. One popular modified Bayesian inference method is "cutting feedback" which can be used when the model consists of a number of coupled modules, with only some of the modules being misspecified. Cutting feedback methods represent the full posterior distribution in terms of conditional and sequential components, and then modify some terms in such a representation based on the modular structure for specification or computation of a modified posterior distribution.…
California Institute of Technology（加州理工学院）；NVIDIA（英伟达）；Rice University（莱斯大学）
Neural networks are vulnerable to input perturbations such as additive noise and adversarial attacks. In contrast, human perception is much more robust to such perturbations. The Bayesian brain hypothesis states that human brains use an internal generative model to update the posterior beliefs of the sensory input. This mechanism can be interpreted as a form of self-consistency between the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation of an internal generative model and the external environment. Inspired by such hypothesis, we enforce self-consistency in neural networks by incorporating generative rec…
Institute for Data Science in Mechanical Engineering, RWTH Aachen University（机械工程数据科学研究所，亚琛工业大学）；Department of Clinical Research, University of Bern（伯尔尼大学临床研究系）；Center for Reproducible Science and Research Synthesis, University of Zurich（苏黎世大学可重复科学与研究综合中心）；aiXopt GmbH（aiXopt公司）
National Institute of Standards and Technology（美国国家标准与技术研究院）
Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these scenarios must consider this stochasticity to properly guide the design of future experiments. Here, we adapt Bayesian optimization to handle uncertain outcomes, proposing a new framework called stochastic sampling Bayesian optimization (SSBO). We show that the bounds on expected regret for an upper confidence bound search in SSBO resemble those of earlier Bayesian…
Syracuse University（雪城大学）；University of Southern California（南加利福尼亚大学）
Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have been proposed to address the problem of model uncertainty in training and inference. By introducing weights associated with conditioned probability distributions, BNNs are capable of resolving the overfitting issue commonly seen in conventional neural networks and allow for small-data training, through the variational inference process. Frequent usage of Gaussian random variables in this process requires a properly optimized Gaussian Random Number Generator (GRNG). The high hardware cost of conventional GRNG makes the hardware implementation of BNNs challen…
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Argonne National Laboratory（阿贡国家实验室）
If edge devices are to be deployed to critical applications where their decisions could have serious financial, political, or public-health consequences, they will need a way to signal when they are not sure how to react to their environment. For instance, a lost delivery drone could make its way back to a distribution center or contact the client if it is confused about how exactly to make its delivery, rather than taking the action which is "most likely" correct. This issue is compounded for health care or military applications. However, the brain-realistic temporal credit assignment problem…
Sungkyunkwan University（成均馆大学）；Google Research（谷歌研究院）；Seoul National University（首尔国立大学）
Implicit feedback has been widely used to build commercial recommender systems. Because observed feedback represents users' click logs, there is a semantic gap between true relevance and observed feedback. More importantly, observed feedback is usually biased towards popular items, thereby overestimating the actual relevance of popular items. Although existing studies have developed unbiased learning methods using inverse propensity weighting (IPW) or causal reasoning, they solely focus on eliminating the popularity bias of items. In this paper, we propose a novel unbiased recommender learning…
Record linkage (de-duplication or entity resolution) is the process of merging noisy databases to remove duplicate entities. While record linkage removes duplicate entities from such databases, the downstream task is any inferential, predictive, or post-linkage task on the linked data. One goal of the downstream task is obtaining a larger reference data set, allowing one to perform more accurate statistical analyses. In addition, there is inherent record linkage uncertainty passed to the downstream task. Motivated by the above, we propose a generalized Bayesian record linkage method and consid…
Despite the increasing popularity of quantile regression models for continuous responses, models for count data have so far received little attention. The main quantile regression technique for count data involves adding uniform random noise or "jittering", thus overcoming the problem that the conditional quantile function is not a continuous function of the parameters of interest. Although jittering allows estimating the conditional quantiles, it has the drawback that, for small values of the response variable $Y,$ the added noise can have a large influence on the estimated quantiles. In addi…
Structural damage due to excessive loading or environmental degradation typically occurs in localized areas in the absence of collapse. This prior information about the spatial sparseness of structural damage is exploited here by a hierarchical sparse Bayesian learning framework with the goal of reducing the source of ill-conditioning in the stiffness loss inversion problem for damage detection. Sparse Bayesian learning methodologies automatically prune away irrelevant or inactive features from a set of potential candidates, and so they are effective probabilistic tools for producing sparse ex…
Background. Conventional phylogenetic clustering approaches rely on arbitrary cutpoints applied a posteriori to phylogenetic estimates. Although in practice, Bayesian and bootstrap-based clustering tend to lead to similar estimates, they often produce conflicting measures of confidence in clusters. The current study proposes a new Bayesian phylogenetic clustering algorithm, which we refer to as DM-PhyClus, that identifies sets of sequences resulting from quick transmission chains, thus yielding easily-interpretable clusters, without using any ad hoc distance or confidence requirement. Results.…
A common divide-and-conquer approach for Bayesian computation with big data is to partition the data, perform local inference for each piece separately, and combine the results to obtain a global posterior approximation. While being conceptually and computationally appealing, this method involves the problematic need to also split the prior for the local inferences; these weakened priors may not provide enough regularization for each separate computation, thus eliminating one of the key advantages of Bayesian methods. To resolve this dilemma while still retaining the generalizability of the un…
We propose a novel use of a recent new computational tool for Bayesian inference, namely the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methodology. ABC is a way to handle models for which the likelihood function may be intractable or even unavailable and/or too costly to evaluate; in particular, we consider the problem of eliminating the nuisance parameters from a complex statistical model in order to produce a likelihood function depending on the quantity of interest only. Given a proper prior for the entire vector parameter, we propose to approximate the integrated likelihood by the ratio of ke…
Implicit feedback data is extensively explored in recommendation as it is easy to collect and generally applicable. However, predicting users' preference on implicit feedback data is a challenging task since we can only observe positive (voted) samples and unvoted samples. It is difficult to distinguish between the negative samples and unlabeled positive samples from the unvoted ones. Existing works, such as Bayesian Personalized Ranking (BPR), sample unvoted items as negative samples uniformly, therefore suffer from a critical noisy-label issue. To address this gap, we design an adaptive samp…
