arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1908.03771physics.comp-phmath.DSstat.ML
收藏

Predicting Critical Transitions in Multiscale Dynamical Systems Using Reservoir Computing

Soon Hoe Lim, Ludovico Theo Giorgini, Woosok Moon, J. S. Wettlaufer

英文摘要:

We study the problem of predicting rare critical transition events for a class of slow-fast nonlinear dynamical systems. The state of the system of interest is described by a slow process, whereas a faster process drives its evolution and induces critical transitions. By taking advantage of recent advances in reservoir computing, we present a data-driven method to predict the future evolution of the state. We show that our method is capable of predicting a critical transition event at least several numerical time steps in advance. We demonstrate the success as well as the limitations of our method using numerical experiments on three examples of systems, ranging from low dimensional to high dimensional. We discuss the mathematical and broader implications of our results.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑