A new test of independence between random elements is presented in this article. The test is based on a functional of the Cramér-von Mises type, which is applied to a $U$-process that is defined from the recurrence rates. Theorems of asymptotic distribution under $H_{0},$ and consistency under a wide class of alternatives are obtained. The results under contiguous alternatives are also shown. The test has a very good behaviour under several alternatives, which shows that in many cases there is clearly larger power when compared to other tests that are widely used in literature. In addition, the new test could be used for discrete or continuous time series.
We propose an estimator of the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion obtained from an appropriate modification of the usual estimator. We then get asymptotic normality of this estimator both under independence hypothesis and under the alternative hypothesis. A new test for independence of random variables valued into metric spaces is then introduced, and a simulation study that allows to compare the proposed test to an existing one is provided
We propose an independence test for random variables valued into metric spaces by using a test statistic obtained from appropriately centering and rescaling the squared Hilbert-Schmidt norm of the usual empirical estimator of normalized cross-covariance operator. We then get asymptotic normality of this statistic under independence hypothesis, so leading to a new test for independence of functional random variables. A simulation study that allows to compare the proposed test to existing ones is provided.
Model selection for Gaussian concentration graph is based on multiple testing of pairwise conditional independence. In practical applications partial correlation tests are widely used. However it is not known whether partial correlation test is uniformly most powerful for pairwise conditional independence testing. This question is answered in the paper. Uniformly most powerful unbiased test of Neymann structure is obtained. It turns out, that this test can be reduced to usual partial correlation test. It implies that partial correlation test is uniformly most powerful unbiased one.
We introduce new test statistic to test the independence of two multi-dimensional random variables. Based on the $L_1$-distance and the historgram density estimation method, the test is compared via Bahadur relative efficiency to several tests available in the literature. It arises that our test reaches better performances than a number of usual tests among whom we cite the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Beforehand, large deviation result is stated for the associated statistic. The local asymptotic optimality relative to the test is also studied.
We derive independence tests by means of dependence measures thresholding in a semiparametric context. Precisely, estimates of phi-mutual informations, associated to phi-divergences between a joint distribution and the product distribution of its margins, are derived through the dual representation of phi-divergences. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimates are established, including consistency, asymptotic distributions and large deviations principle. The obtained tests of independence are compared via their relative asymptotic Bahadur efficiency and numerical simulations. It foll…
The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric test for conditional independence by combining the partial copula with a quantile regression based method for estimating the nonparametric residuals. We consider a test statistic based on generalized correlation between $U_1$ and $U_2$ and derive its large sample properties under consistency assumptions on the quantile regression procedure. We demonstrate thro…
We consider the problem of conditional independence testing of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$ where $X,Y$ and $Z$ are three real random variables and $Z$ is continuous. We focus on two main cases - when $X$ and $Y$ are both discrete, and when $X$ and $Y$ are both continuous. In view of recent results on conditional independence testing (Shah and Peters, 2018), one cannot hope to design non-trivial tests, which control the type I error for all absolutely continuous conditionally independent distributions, while still ensuring power against interesting alternatives. Consequently, we identify various, nat…
In this paper the nonparametric quantile regression model is considered in a location-scale context. The asymptotic properties of the empirical independence process based on covariates and estimated residuals are investigated. In particular an asymptotic expansion and weak convergence to a Gaussian process are proved. The results can, on the one hand, be applied to test for validity of the location-scale model. On the other hand, they allow to derive various specification tests in conditional quantile location-scale models. In detail a test for monotonicity of the conditional quantile curve is…
This paper investigates the problem of testing independence of two random vectors of general dimensions. For this, we give for the first time a distribution-free consistent test. Our approach combines distance covariance with the center-outward ranks and signs developed in Hallin (2017). In technical terms, the proposed test is consistent and distribution-free in the family of multivariate distributions with nonvanishing (Lebesgue) probability densities. Exploiting the (degenerate) U-statistic structure of the distance covariance and the combinatorial nature of Hallin's center-outward ranks an…
Testing (conditional) independence of multivariate random variables is a task central to statistical inference and modelling in general - though unfortunately one for which to date there does not exist a practicable workflow. State-of-art workflows suffer from the need for heuristic or subjective manual choices, high computational complexity, or strong parametric assumptions. We address these problems by establishing a theoretical link between multivariate/conditional independence testing, and model comparison in the multivariate predictive modelling aka supervised learning task. This link all…
Hypothesis testing is a useful statistical tool in determining whether a given model should be rejected based on a sample from the population. Sample data may contain sensitive information about individuals, such as medical information. Thus it is important to design statistical tests that guarantee the privacy of subjects in the data. In this work, we study hypothesis testing subject to differential privacy, specifically chi-squared tests for goodness of fit for multinomial data and independence between two categorical variables. We propose new tests for goodness of fit and independence testi…
In this paper, we investigate local permutation tests for testing conditional independence between two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$. The local permutation test determines the significance of a test statistic by locally shuffling samples which share similar values of the conditioning variables $Z$, and it forms a natural extension of the usual permutation approach for unconditional independence testing. Despite its simplicity and empirical support, the theoretical underpinnings of the local permutation test remain unclear. Motivated by this gap, this paper aims to establish theoretical …
In this work we define log-linear models to compare several square contingency tables under the quasi-independence or the quasi-symmetry model, and the relevant Markov bases are theoretically characterized. Through Markov bases, an exact test to evaluate if two or more tables fit a common model is introduced. Two real-data examples illustrate the use of these models in different fields of applications.
We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such models, one from each type of independence, that are closest to each other in the Kullback-Leibler sense as they approach the intersection. They become indistinguishable if the signal strength, as measured by the product of two correlation parameters, decreases faster than the standard parametric rate. Under local alternatives at such rate, we show that the asy…
We study a class of distributed hypothesis testing against conditional independence problems. Under the criterion that stipulates minimization of the Type II error rate subject to a (constant) upper bound $ε$ on the Type I error rate, we characterize the set of encoding rates and exponent for both discrete memoryless and memoryless vector Gaussian settings.
We study the problem of independence testing given independent and identically distributed pairs taking values in a $σ$-finite, separable measure space. Defining a natural measure of dependence $D(f)$ as the squared $L^2$-distance between a joint density $f$ and the product of its marginals, we first show that there is no valid test of independence that is uniformly consistent against alternatives of the form $\{f: D(f) \geq ρ^2 \}$. We therefore restrict attention to alternatives that impose additional Sobolev-type smoothness constraints, and define a permutation test based on a basis expansi…
We present the $U$-Statistic Permutation (USP) test of independence in the context of discrete data displayed in a contingency table. Either Pearson's chi-squared test of independence, or the $G$-test, are typically used for this task, but we argue that these tests have serious deficiencies, both in terms of their inability to control the size of the test, and their power properties. By contrast, the USP test is guaranteed to control the size of the test at the nominal level for all sample sizes, has no issues with small (or zero) cell counts, and is able to detect distributions that violate i…
A distributed binary hypothesis testing (HT) problem over a noisy (discrete and memoryless) channel studied previously by the authors is investigated from the perspective of the strong converse property. It was shown by Ahlswede and Csiszár that a strong converse holds in the above setting when the channel is rate-limited and noiseless. Motivated by this observation, we show that the strong converse continues to hold in the noisy channel setting for a special case of HT known as testing against independence (TAI). The proof utilizes the blowing up lemma and the recent change of measure techniq…
As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known effect Z, i.e., E(Y|X, Z) = E(Y|Z). Assuming that E(Y|Z) and Z are linearly related, we reformulate an equivalent notion of conditional mean independence through transformation, which is approximated in practice. We apply the martingale difference divergence (Shao and Zhang, 2014) to measure conditional mean dependence, and show that the estimation error from app…
We propose a test of independence of two multivariate random vectors, given a sample from the underlying population. Our approach, which we call MINT, is based on the estimation of mutual information, whose decomposition into joint and marginal entropies facilitates the use of recently-developed efficient entropy estimators derived from nearest neighbour distances. The proposed critical values, which may be obtained from simulation (in the case where one marginal is known) or resampling, guarantee that the test has nominal size, and we provide local power analyses, uniformly over classes of de…
This paper is an extension of the work about the exponential increase of the power of two non-parametric tests: the $ Z $-test and the chi-square goodness-of-fit test. Subject to having auxiliary information, it is possible to improve exponentially relative to the size of the sample the power of the famous chi-square tests of independence and homogeneity. Improving the power of these statistical tests by using auxiliary information makes it possible either to reduce the probability of accepting the null hypothesis under the alternative hypothesis, or to reduce the size of the sample necessary …
For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we combine the sum-type and max-type tests and propose a novel test procedure for the one-sample mean test, the two-sample mean test and the regression coefficient test in high-dimensional setting. Based on the asymptotic independence between sums and maxima, the asymptotic distributions of test statistics are established. Simulation studies show that our proposed …
CREST（法国 Crest 研究中心）；ENSAE（法国国家统计与经济管理学院）；Facebook AI Research（脸书人工智能研究院）；Université Paris-Dauphine（巴黎多芬大学）；Technion（以色列理工学院）
We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of locations. We obtain its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of conditional independence and design a consistent statistical test from it. We conduct a series of experiments showing that our new test outperforms state-of-the-art methods both in terms of type-I and type-II errors even in the high dimensional setting.
One of the most popular class of tests for independence between two random variables is the general class of rank statistics which are invariant under permutations. This class contains Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation statistic, Fisher-Yates statistic, weighted Mann statistic and others. Under the null hypothesis of independence these test statistics have a permutation distribution that usually the normal asymptotic theory used to approximate the p-values for these tests. In this note we suggest using a saddlepoint approach that almost exact and need no extensive simulation calculati…
In the present article, we propose jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) ratio test for testing the independence of time to failure and cause of failure in competing risks data. We use U-statistic theory to derive the JEL ratio test. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is shown to be chi-square distribution with one degree of freedom. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to assess the finite sample behaviour of the proposed test. The performance of proposed JEL test is compared with the test given in Dewan et al. (2004). Finally we illustrate our test procedure using vari…
Competing risks data with discrete lifetime comes up in practice. However, only limited literature exists for such data. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric test based on U-statistics for testing independence of time to failure and cause of failure of competing risks data when the lifetime is a discrete random variable. Asymptotic distribution of the proposed test statistic is derived. An extensive Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to assess the finite sample performance of the proposed test. The flexibility of the testing procedure is illustrated using real data sets on oral ca…
This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is conditionally associated with the response under study. We allow the processing of data points online, as soon as they arrive, and stop data acquisition once significant results are detected, rigorously controlling the type-I error rate. Our test can work with any sophisticated machine learning algorithm to enhance data efficiency to the extent possible. The…
Mutual information is a well-known tool to measure the mutual dependence between variables. In this paper, a Bayesian nonparametric estimation of mutual information is established by means of the Dirichlet process and the $k$-nearest neighbor distance. As a direct outcome of the estimation, an easy-to-implement test of independence is introduced through the relative belief ratio. Several theoretical properties of the approach are presented. The procedure is investigated through various examples where the results are compared to its frequentist counterpart and demonstrate a good performance.
We present two algorithms for learning the structure of a Markov network from data: GSMN* and GSIMN. Both algorithms use statistical independence tests to infer the structure by successively constraining the set of structures consistent with the results of these tests. Until very recently, algorithms for structure learning were based on maximum likelihood estimation, which has been proved to be NP-hard for Markov networks due to the difficulty of estimating the parameters of the network, needed for the computation of the data likelihood. The independence-based approach does not require the com…
Robust Independence Tests with Finite Sample Guarantees for Synchronous Stochastic Linear Systems
SZTAKI: Institute for Computer Science and Control, Eötvös Loránd Research Network（厄特沃什·罗兰研究网络SZTAKI：计算机科学与控制研究所）；Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE)（厄特沃什·罗兰大学（ELTE））
This paper revisits the Pearson Chi-squared independence test. After presenting the underlying theory with modern notations and showing new way of deriving the proof, we describe an innovative and intuitive graphical presentation of this test. This enables not only interpreting visually the test but also measuring how close or far we are from accepting or rejecting the null hypothesis of non independence
We propose generalized portmanteau-type test statistics in the frequency domain to test independence between two stationary time series. The test statistics are formed analogous to the one in Chen and Deo (2004, Econometric Theory 20, 382-416), who extended the applicability of portmanteau goodness-of-fit test to the long memory case. Under the null hypothesis of independence, the asymptotic standard normal distributions of the proposed statistics are derived under fairly mild conditions. In particular, each time series is allowed to possess short memory, long memory or anti-persistence. A sim…
We introduce new estimates and tests of independence in copula models with unknown margins using $ϕ$-divergences and the duality technique. The asymptotic laws of the estimates and the test statistics are established both when the parameter is an interior or a boundary value of the parameter space. Simulation results show that the choice of $χ^2$-divergence has good properties in terms of efficiency-robustness.
This paper proposes new tests of conditional independence of two random variables given a single-index involving an unknown finite-dimensional parameter. The tests employ Rosenblatt transforms and are shown to be distribution-free while retaining computational convenience. Some results from Monte Carlo simulations are presented and discussed.
We propose a new method to test conditional independence of two real random variables $Y$ and $Z$ conditionally on an arbitrary third random variable $X$. %with $F_{.|.}$ representing conditional distribution functions, The partial copula is introduced, defined as the joint distribution of $U=F_{Y|X}(Y|X)$ and $V=F_{Z|X}(Z|X)$. We call this transformation of $(Y,Z)$ into $(U,V)$ the partial copula transform. It is easy to show that if $Y$ and $Z$ are continuous for any given value of $X$, then $Y\ind Z|X$ implies $U\ind V$. Conditional independence can then be tested by (i) applying the partia…
We extend to rank-based tests of multivariate independence the Chernoff-Savage and Hodges-Lehmann classical univariate results. More precisely, we show that the Taskinen, Kankainen and Oja (2004) normal-score rank test for multivariate independence uniformly dominates -- in the Pitman sense -- the classical Wilks (1935) test, which establishes the Pitman non-admissibility of the latter, and provide, for any fixed space dimensions $p,q$ of the marginals, the lower bound for the asymptotic relative efficiency, still with respect to Wilks' test, of the Wilcoxon version of the same.
We introduce a new test procedure of independence in the framework of parametric copulas with unknown marginals. The method is based essentially on the dual representation of $χ^2$-divergence on signed finite measures. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimate and the test statistic are studied under the null and alternative hypotheses, with simple and standard limit distributions both when the parameter is an interior point or not.
We consider the testing of mutual independence among all entries in a $d$-dimensional random vector based on $n$ independent observations. We study two families of distribution-free test statistics, which include Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho as important examples. We show that under the null hypothesis the test statistics of these two families converge weakly to Gumbel distributions, and propose tests that control the type I error in the high-dimensional setting where $d>n$. We further show that the two tests are rate-optimal in terms of power against sparse alternatives, and outperform co…
Consider a random sample of $n$ independently and identically distributed $p$-dimensional normal random vectors. A test statistic for complete independence of high-dimensional normal distributions, proposed by Schott (2005), is defined as the sum of squared Pearson's correlation coefficients. A modified test statistic has been proposed by Mao (2014). Under the assumption of complete independence, both test statistics are asymptotically normal if the limit $\lim_{n\to\infty}p/n$ exists and is finite. In this paper, we investigate the limiting distributions for both Schott's and Mao's test stati…
Motivated by a neuroscience question about synchrony detection in spike train analysis, we deal with the independence testing problem for point processes. We introduce non-parametric test statistics, which are rescaled general $U$-statistics, whose corresponding critical values are constructed from bootstrap and randomization/permutation approaches, making as few assumptions as possible on the underlying distribution of the point processes. We derive general consistency results for the bootstrap and for the permutation w.r.t. to Wasserstein's metric, which induce weak convergence as well as co…
In this paper, the maximal nonlinear conditional correlation of two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given another random vector $Z$, denoted by $ρ_1(X,Y|Z)$, is defined as a measure of conditional association, which satisfies certain desirable properties. When $Z$ is continuous, a test for testing the conditional independence of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$ is constructed based on the estimator of a weighted average of the form $\sum_{k=1}^{n_Z}f_Z(z_k)ρ^2_1(X,Y|Z=z_k)$, where $f_Z$ is the probability density function of $Z$ and the $z_k$'s are some points in the range of $Z$. Under some conditions, it is…
Let ${\bf R}$ be the Pearson correlation matrix of $m$ normal random variables. The Rao's score test for the independence hypothesis $H_0 : {\bf R} = {\bf I}_m$, where ${\bf I}_m$ is the identity matrix of dimension $m$, was first considered by Schott (2005) in the high dimensional setting. In this paper, we study the asymptotic minimax power function of this test, under an asymptotic regime in which both $m$ and the sample size $n$ tend to infinity with the ratio $m/n$ upper bounded by a constant. In particular, our result implies that the Rao's score test is rate-optimal for detecting the de…
