arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1905.03353cs.LGmath.STstat.MLstat.TH
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相关观测回归

Regression from Dependent Observations

MIT(麻省理工学院);SUTD(新加坡科技设计大学)

Constantinos Daskalakis, Nishanth Dikkala, Ioannis Panageas

摘要:

标准线性和逻辑回归模型假设响应变量是独立的,但与其对应的协变量向量具有相同的线性关系。然而,假设响应变量是独立的,这太强了。在许多应用中,这些响应是在网络的节点上或某个空间或时间域上收集的,并且是相关的。金融和气象应用中的例子比比皆是,依赖性通过同伴效应自然地出现在社交网络中。因此,具有相关响应的回归在统计学和经济学文献中受到了很多关注,但除非可以从这些模型中收集相关响应向量的多个独立样本,否则没有强一致性结果。当响应变量依赖于网络时,我们提出了线性和逻辑回归模型的计算和统计有效方法。给定一个网络线性或逻辑回归模型的样本,在温和的假设下,我们证明了恢复系数向量和依赖强度的强一致性结果,恢复独立观测下的标准回归率。我们使用投影梯度下降的负对数似然,或负对数伪似然,并建立他们的强凸性和一致性,使用浓度的测量依赖随机变量。

英文摘要:

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are independent is, however, too strong. In many applications, these responses are collected on nodes of a network, or some spatial or temporal domain, and are dependent. Examples abound in financial and meteorological applications, and dependencies naturally arise in social networks through peer effects. Regression with dependent responses has thus received a lot of attention in the Statistics and Economics literature, but there are no strong consistency results unless multiple independent samples of the vectors of dependent responses can be collected from these models. We present computationally and statistically efficient methods for linear and logistic regression models when the response variables are dependent on a network. Given one sample from a networked linear or logistic regression model and under mild assumptions, we prove strong consistency results for recovering the vector of coefficients and the strength of the dependencies, recovering the rates of standard regression under independent observations. We use projected gradient descent on the negative log-likelihood, or negative log-pseudolikelihood, and establish their strong convexity and consistency using concentration of measure for dependent random variables.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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