We aim at developing and improving the imbalanced business risk modeling via jointly using proper evaluation criteria, resampling, cross-validation, classifier regularization, and ensembling techniques. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC of ROC) is used for model comparison based on 10-fold cross validation. Two undersampling strategies including random undersampling (RUS) and cluster centroid undersampling (CCUS), as well as two oversampling methods including random oversampling (ROS) and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), are applied. Three highly interpretable classifiers, including logistic regression without regularization (LR), L1-regularized LR (L1LR), and decision tree (DT) are implemented. Two ensembling techniques, including Bagging and Boosting, are applied on the DT classifier for further model improvement. The results show that, Boosting on DT by using the oversampled data containing 50% positives via SMOTE is the optimal model and it can achieve AUC, recall, and F1 score valued 0.8633, 0.9260, and 0.8907, respectively.
Institute for Information Transmission Problems (Kharkevich Institute) RAS（俄罗斯科学院信息传输问题研究所（哈尔克维奇研究所））
In many real-world binary classification tasks (e.g. detection of certain objects from images), an available dataset is imbalanced, i.e., it has much less representatives of a one class (a minor class), than of another. Generally, accurate prediction of the minor class is crucial but it's hard to achieve since there is not much information about the minor class. One approach to deal with this problem is to preliminarily resample the dataset, i.e., add new elements to the dataset or remove existing ones. Resampling can be done in various ways which raises the problem of choosing the most approp…
AGH University of Science and Technology（AGH科技大学）；Wrocław University of Science and Technology（弗罗茨瓦夫理工大学）；Virginia Commonwealth University（弗吉尼亚联邦大学）
The imbalanced data classification is one of the most crucial tasks facing modern data analysis. Especially when combined with other difficulty factors, such as the presence of noise, overlapping class distributions, and small disjuncts, data imbalance can significantly impact the classification performance. Furthermore, some of the data difficulty factors are known to affect the performance of the existing oversampling strategies, in particular SMOTE and its derivatives. This effect is especially pronounced in the multi-class setting, in which the mutual imbalance relationships between the cl…
Data imbalance remains one of the open challenges in the contemporary machine learning. It is especially prevalent in case of medical data, such as histopathological images. Traditional data-level approaches for dealing with data imbalance are ill-suited for image data: oversampling methods such as SMOTE and its derivatives lead to creation of unrealistic synthetic observations, whereas undersampling reduces the amount of available data, critical for successful training of convolutional neural networks. To alleviate the problems associated with over- and undersampling we propose a novel two-st…
This study uses stacked generalization, which is a two-step process of combining machine learning methods, called meta or super learners, for improving the performance of algorithms in step one (by minimizing the error rate of each individual algorithm to reduce its bias in the learning set) and then in step two inputting the results into the meta learner with its stacked blended output (demonstrating improved performance with the weakest algorithms learning better). The method is essentially an enhanced cross-validation strategy. Although the process uses great computational resources, the re…
University of New South Wales（新南威尔士大学）；University of Technology Sydney（悉尼科技大学）
Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for social lending consider imbalanced data and, further, the best resampling technique to use with imbalanced data is still controversial. In an attempt to address these problems, this paper presents an empirical comparison of various combinations of classifiers and resampling techniques within a novel risk assessment methodology that incorporates imbalanced data. T…
University of L’Aquila（拉奎拉大学）；School Of AI（人工智能学院）
Despite the enormous amount of data, particular events of interest can still be quite rare. Classification of rare events is a common problem in many domains, such as fraudulent transactions, malware traffic analysis and network intrusion detection. Many studies have been developed for malware detection using machine learning approaches on various datasets, but as far as we know only the MTA-KDD'19 dataset has the peculiarity of updating the representative set of malicious traffic on a daily basis. This daily updating is the added value of the dataset, but it translates into a potential due to…
A learning classifier must outperform a trivial solution, in case of imbalanced data, this condition usually does not hold true. To overcome this problem, we propose a novel data level resampling method - Clustering Based Oversampling for improved learning from class imbalanced datasets. The essential idea behind the proposed method is to use the distance between a minority class sample and its respective cluster centroid to infer the number of new sample points to be generated for that minority class sample. The proposed algorithm has very less dependence on the technique used for finding clu…
Data imbalance remains one of the factors negatively affecting the performance of contemporary machine learning algorithms. One of the most common approaches to reducing the negative impact of data imbalance is preprocessing the original dataset with data-level strategies. In this paper we propose a unified framework for imbalanced data over- and undersampling. The proposed approach utilizes radial basis functions to preserve the original shape of the underlying class distributions during the resampling process. This is done by optimizing the positions of generated synthetic observations with …
A common issue for classification in scientific research and industry is the existence of imbalanced classes. When sample sizes of different classes are imbalanced in training data, naively implementing a classification method often leads to unsatisfactory prediction results on test data. Multiple resampling techniques have been proposed to address the class imbalance issues. Yet, there is no general guidance on when to use each technique. In this article, we provide a paradigm-based review of the common resampling techniques for binary classification under imbalanced class sizes. The paradigm…
Dalhousie University（达尔豪斯大学）；University of Ottawa（渥太华大学）；National Research Council of Canada（加拿大国家研究委员会）
In this paper we address imbalanced binary classification (IBC) tasks. Applying resampling strategies to balance the class distribution of training instances is a common approach to tackle these problems. Many state-of-the-art methods find instances of interest close to the decision boundary to drive the resampling process. However, under-sampling the majority class may potentially lead to important information loss. Over-sampling also may increase the chance of overfitting by propagating the information contained in instances from the minority class. The main contribution of our work is a new…
Swinburne University of Technology（斯威本科技大学）；Deakin University（迪肯大学）；Harvard Medical School（哈佛医学院）
Biomedical data are widely accepted in developing prediction models for identifying a specific tumor, drug discovery and classification of human cancers. However, previous studies usually focused on different classifiers, and overlook the class imbalance problem in real-world biomedical datasets. There are a lack of studies on evaluation of data pre-processing techniques, such as resampling and feature selection, on imbalanced biomedical data learning. The relationship between data pre-processing techniques and the data distributions has never been analysed in previous studies. This article ma…
This study is motivated by the magnitude of the problem of Louisiana high school dropout and its negative impacts on individual and public well-being. Our goal is to predict students who are at risk of high school dropout, by examining Louisiana administrative dataset. Due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset, imbalanced learning techniques including resampling, case weighting, and cost-sensitive learning have been applied to enhance the prediction performance on the rare class. Performance metrics used in this study are F-measure, recall and precision of the rare class. We compare the perf…
United International University（联合国际大学）；Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology（孟加拉国工程技术大学）
Class imbalance problem is commonly faced while developing machine learning models for real-life issues. Due to this problem, the fitted model tends to be biased towards the majority class data, which leads to lower precision, recall, AUC, F1, G-mean score. Several researches have been done to tackle this problem, most of which employed resampling, i.e. oversampling and undersampling techniques to bring the required balance in the data. In this paper, we propose neural network based algorithms for undersampling. Then we resampled several class imbalanced data using our algorithms and also some…
National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）；University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）
Supervised learning from training data with imbalanced class sizes, a commonly encountered scenario in real applications such as anomaly/fraud detection, has long been considered a significant challenge in machine learning. Motivated by recent progress in curriculum and self-paced learning, we propose to adopt a semi-supervised learning paradigm by training a deep neural network, referred to as SelectNet, to selectively add unlabelled data together with their predicted labels to the training dataset. Unlike existing techniques designed to tackle the difficulty in dealing with class imbalanced …
Imbalanced class distribution is a common problem in a number of fields including medical diagnostics, fraud detection, and others. It causes bias in classification algorithms leading to poor performance on the minority class data. In this paper, we propose a novel method for balancing the class distribution in data through intelligent resampling of the minority class instances. The proposed method is based on generating new minority instances in the neighborhood of the existing minority points via a gamma distribution. Our method offers a natural and coherent approach to balancing the data. W…
Imbalanced response variable distribution is a common occurrence in data science. In fields such as fraud detection, medical diagnostics, system intrusion detection and many others where abnormal behavior is rarely observed the data under study often features disproportionate target class distribution. One common way to combat class imbalance is through resampling the minority class to achieve a more balanced distribution. In this paper, we investigate the performance of the sampling method based on kernel density estimation (KDE). We believe that KDE offers a more natural way of generating ne…
Faculty of Nursing and Physiotherapy, University of Salamanca（萨拉曼卡大学护理与物理治疗学院）；University Hospital of Salamanca（萨拉曼卡大学医院）；Department of Computing and Automation, University of Salamanca（萨拉曼卡大学计算与自动化系）；Department of Statistics, University of Salamanca（萨拉曼卡大学统计系）
Early detection of patients vulnerable to infections acquired in the hospital environment is a challenge in current health systems given the impact that such infections have on patient mortality and healthcare costs. This work is focused on both the identification of risk factors and the prediction of healthcare-associated infections in intensive-care units by means of machine-learning methods. The aim is to support decision making addressed at reducing the incidence rate of infections. In this field, it is necessary to deal with the problem of building reliable classifiers from imbalanced dat…
Purpose: Malicious web domain identification is of significant importance to the security protection of Internet users. With online credibility and performance data, this paper aims to investigate the use of machine learning tech-niques for malicious web domain identification by considering the class imbalance issue (i.e., there are more benign web domains than malicious ones). Design/methodology/approach: We propose an integrated resampling approach to handle class imbalance by combining the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique (SMOTE) and Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO), a population…
KU Leuven（鲁汶大学）；MIT Sloan Neuroeconomics Lab（麻省理工学院斯隆神经经济学实验室）；Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）
Class imbalance presents a major hurdle in the application of data mining methods. A common practice to deal with it is to create ensembles of classifiers that learn from resampled balanced data. For example, bagged decision trees combined with random undersampling (RUS) or the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). However, most of the resampling methods entail asymmetric changes to the examples of different classes, which in turn can introduce its own biases in the model. Furthermore, those methods require a performance measure to be specified a priori before learning. An alterna…
CopulaSMOTE: A Copula-Based Oversampling Approach for Imbalanced Classification in Diabetes Prediction
Stanford University School of Medicine（斯坦福大学医学院）；Minnesota State University（明尼苏达州立大学）；University of Louisiana at Lafayette（路易斯安那大学拉斐特分校）；Southern Utah University（犹他州南方大学）
