arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1902.10067stat.AP
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获胜的球队总是覆盖点差吗?1990年以来职业篮球的研究

Does the winning team always covers the point spread? A study in professional basketball since 1990

Luis A. Mateos

摘要:

在体育博彩中,预测比赛的获胜者比预测下注的球队更容易。因为,获胜的球队可能不会支付赌注。本研究的重点是变量赢的投注变量覆盖点传播的关系。该研究使用来自职业篮球的数据(投注线和分数)进行,并试图回答这个问题:获胜的球队总是覆盖点差吗?为了回答这个问题,进行回归分析,考虑到最多和最少获胜的球队,连同他们的投注变量,自1990-1991年NBA赛季。回归结果被插入SPXS专家系统,揭示了一个间接的因素分析,相关的投注变量与球队获胜的百分比。

英文摘要:

In sports betting it is easier to predict the winner of a game match than the team that covers the bet. Since, a winner team might not cover a bet. This study focuses on the relation of the variable win to the betting variable cover the point spread. The study is performed with data from professional basketball (betting lines and scores) and tries to answer the question: Does the winning team always covers the point spread?. In order to answer this question, a regression analysis is performed taking into account the most and less winning teams, together with their betting variables since the 1990-1991 NBA season. The regression results are inserted in the SPXS expert system revealing an indirect factor analysis that correlates betting variables with teams winning percentages.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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