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arXiv 1901.01604math.NAcs.NAstat.ML
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多孔介质多尺度表征的因果性与贝叶斯网络偏微分方程

Causality and Bayesian network PDEs for multiscale representations of porous media

Kimoon Um, Eric Joseph Hall, Markos A. Katsoulakis, Daniel M. Tartakovsky

AI总结:

提出基于贝叶斯网络将因果关系构建到随机多尺度模型中,通过微分互信息的全局敏感性分析量化微观参数对宏观特性的影响,为多孔材料设计提供新方法。

摘要:

多孔介质的微观(孔隙尺度)特性会影响并通常决定其宏观(连续体或 Darcy 尺度)的对应属性。理解这两个尺度上过程之间的关系,对于推导宏观模型(例如天然多孔介质中的输运现象)以及设计新型材料(例如用于储能的材料)至关重要。大多数微观特性表现出复杂的统计相关性和几何约束,这给估计宏观感兴趣量带来了挑战,例如在宏观 QoIs 相对于微观材料特性的全局敏感性分析(GSA)的语境中。我们提出了一种通过贝叶斯网络将相关性构建到随机多尺度模型中的系统方法。这使我们能够通过模拟工程过程(例如分层纳米多孔材料的设计)的因果关系来构建模型参数的联合概率密度函数(PDF)。这些 PDF 也用作参数不确定性正向传播的输入;我们的研究结果表明,包含因果关系会影响对宏观 QoIs 的预测。为了评估微观参数之间的相关性和因果关系对宏观材料特性的影响,我们使用基于微分互信息的矩独立 GSA。我们的 GSA 考虑了相关输入和复杂的非高斯 QoIs。全局敏感性指数用于对微观参数不确定性对宏观 QoIs 的影响进行排序,以量化因果性对多尺度模型预测的影响,并为分层纳米多孔材料提供这些结果的物理解释。

英文摘要:

Microscopic (pore-scale) properties of porous media affect and often determine their macroscopic (continuum- or Darcy-scale) counterparts. Understanding the relationship between processes on these two scales is essential to both the derivation of macroscopic models of, e.g., transport phenomena in natural porous media, and the design of novel materials, e.g., for energy storage. Most microscopic properties exhibit complex statistical correlations and geometric constraints, which presents challenges for the estimation of macroscopic quantities of interest (QoIs), e.g., in the context of global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of macroscopic QoIs with respect to microscopic material properties. We present a systematic way of building correlations into stochastic multiscale models through Bayesian networks. This allows us to construct the joint probability density function (PDF) of model parameters through causal relationships that emulate engineering processes, e.g., the design of hierarchical nanoporous materials. Such PDFs also serve as input for the forward propagation of parametric uncertainty; our findings indicate that the inclusion of causal relationships impacts predictions of macroscopic QoIs. To assess the impact of correlations and causal relationships between microscopic parameters on macroscopic material properties, we use a moment-independent GSA based on the differential mutual information. Our GSA accounts for the correlated inputs and complex non-Gaussian QoIs. The global sensitivity indices are used to rank the effect of uncertainty in microscopic parameters on macroscopic QoIs, to quantify the impact of causality on the multiscale model's predictions, and to provide physical interpretations of these results for hierarchical nanoporous materials.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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