死者会接管Facebook吗？大数据方法来预测在线死亡的未来
Are the Dead Taking Over Facebook? A Big Data Approach to the Future of Death Online
摘要：
我们预测未来属于已故Facebook用户的个人资料的积累。我们的分析表明，如果Facebook在2018年停止吸引新用户，至少有14亿用户将在2100年之前去世。然而，如果网络继续以目前的速度扩张，这个数字将超过49亿。在这两种情况下，大多数配置文件将属于非西方用户。在讨论我们的研究结果时，我们借鉴了数字保存的新兴学术，并强调了管理死者档案所带来的挑战。我们认为，完全商业化的数据保存方法会带来重要的道德和政治风险，需要紧急考虑。我们呼吁建立一个可扩展的、可持续的、有尊严的策展模式，将多个利益相关者的利益结合起来。
英文摘要：
We project the future accumulation of profiles belonging to deceased Facebook users. Our analysis suggests that a minimum of 1.4 billion users will pass away before 2100 if Facebook ceases to attract new users as of 2018. If the network continues expanding at current rates, however, this number will exceed 4.9 billion. In both cases, a majority of the profiles will belong to non-Western users. In discussing our findings, we draw on the emerging scholarship on digital preservation and stress the challenges arising from curating the profiles of the deceased. We argue that an exclusively commercial approach to data preservation poses important ethical and political risks that demand urgent consideration. We call for a scalable, sustainable, and dignified curation model that incorporates the interests of multiple stakeholders.
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