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arXiv 1803.04077stat.MEphysics.data-anphysics.geo-phstat.AP
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地震预报方法的统计检验

Statistical tests for evaluating an earthquake prediction method

Kurt S. Riedel

摘要:

讨论了在原假设检验中包含后游标的影响。不相等的预测概率可以包括在使用中心极限定理的推广的原假设检验中。给出了随机机会上确定增强因子的一个检验。即使VAN方法无法预测地震,地震信号也可以优先先于地震。我们对这种可能性进行了统计检验。

英文摘要:

The impact of including postcursors in the null hypothesis test is discussed. Unequal prediction probabilities can be included in the null hypothesis test using a generalization of the central limit theorem. A test for determining the enhancement factor over random chance is given. The seismic earthquake signal may preferentially precede earthquakes even if the VAN methodology fails to forecast the earthquakes. We formulate a statistical test for this possibility.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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