使用复杂网络动态识别全球恐怖中心和易受攻击的图案
Identifying the global terror hubs and vulnerable motifs using complex network dynamics
摘要：
恐怖主义在人们心中灌输恐惧，剥夺个人随心所欲的自由。恐怖主义已成为当今的国际威胁。在这里，我们研究的恐怖袭击事件发生在过去的半个世纪在全球范围内从开源，全球恐怖主义数据库，并开发其时空动态的视图。我们构建了一个复杂的全球恐怖主义网络，并研究其增长动力学，以及反社会网络的统计特性，这是相当有趣的。通常，每个国家都根据其任务规定和特定的政治概念及其应对恐怖主义威胁的政策，追求自己的国际安全愿景，其中自然包括使用战术措施和战略谈判，甚至是武力。我们研究了网络对有针对性的攻击和随机故障的恢复能力，这可以指导反恐机构设计打击恐怖主义的战略。然后，我们使用差异过滤器的方法来隔离网络的骨干，并确定全球恐怖主义的恐怖枢纽和脆弱的图案。我们还研究了在一些典型的情况下，如阿富汗，哥伦比亚，印度，以色列，巴基斯坦和英国的枢纽和图案的演变。我们在网络骨干中发现的恐怖枢纽和脆弱图案的动态非常重要，可以提供对其形成和传播的深刻见解，从而有助于对抗恐怖主义或制定可以阻止其传播的公共政策。
英文摘要：
Terrorism instills fear in the minds of people and takes away the freedom of individuals to act as they will. Terrorism has turned out to be an international menace today. Here, we study the terrorist attack incidents which occurred in the last half-century across the globe from the open source, Global Terrorism Database, and develop a view on their spatio-temporal dynamics. We construct a complex network of global terrorism and study its growth dynamics, along with the statistical properties of the anti-social network, which are quite intriguing. Normally, each nation pursues its own vision of international security based upon its mandate and particular notions of politics and its policies to counter the threat of terrorism that could naturally include the use of tactical measures and strategic negotiations, or even physical power. We study the network resilience against targeted attacks and random failures, which could guide the counterterrorist outfits in designing strategies to fight terrorism. We then use a disparity filter method to isolate backbone of the network, and identify the terror hubs and vulnerable motifs of global terrorism. We also examine evolution of the hubs and motifs in a few exemplary cases like Afghanistan, Colombia, India, Israel, Pakistan and the United Kingdom. The dynamics of the terror hubs and the vulnerable motifs that we discover in the network backbone turn out to be very significant, and may provide deep insight on their formations and spreading, and thereby help in contending terrorism or framing public policies that can check their spread.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
