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arXiv 1707.03388astro-ph.CO
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在再电离时期是否还有另一个巧合问题?

Is there another coincidence problem at the reionization epoch?

Lucas Lombriser, Vanessa Smer-Barreto

摘要:

复合时物质密度与辐射能量密度之间以及物质密度与宇宙学常数之间的宇宙学符合是众所周知的。此外,我们指出,辐射的能量密度和宇宙学常数之间的第三个交叉点与再电离时代相吻合。为了量化这种并发的统计相关性,我们计算贝叶斯因子之间的和谐宇宙学与自由汤姆逊散射光学深度和一个模型,这个参数是推断从施加的时间之间的匹配的密度平等和时代的再电离。这是为了表征潜在的解释增益,如果一个人要找到一个无参数的物理连接。我们发现一个非常强烈的偏好,从目前的宇宙学观测的杰弗里斯规模这样的并发。我们还讨论了先验的选择,再电离历史的变化,和中微子质量的自由和的影响。我们还估计了从普朗克高频仪器和未来的21厘米调查的前景增加中间偏振数据的影响。在第一种情况下,对相关性的偏好仍然很大,而未来的数据可能会给出更具决定性的正面或负面结果。最后,我们提供了对这些发现的不同解释的讨论。特别是,我们展示了如何恒星形成的历史和宇宙学背景动力学之间的连接可以引起这种并发。

英文摘要:

The cosmological coincidences between the matter and radiation energy densities at recombination as well as between the densities of matter and the cosmological constant at present time are well known. We point out that moreover the third intersection between the energy densities of radiation and the cosmological constant coincides with the reionization epoch. To quantify the statistical relevance of this concurrence, we compute the Bayes factor between the concordance cosmology with free Thomson scattering optical depth and a model for which this parameter is inferred from imposing a match between the time of density equality and the epoch of reionization. This is to characterize the potential explanatory gain if one were to find a parameter-free physical connection. We find a very strong preference for such a concurrence on the Jeffreys scale from current cosmological observations. We furthermore discuss the effect of choice of priors, changes in reionization history, and free sum of neutrino masses. We also estimate the impact of adding intermediate polarization data from the Planck High Frequency Instrument and prospects for future 21 cm surveys. In the first case, preference for the correlation remains substantial, whereas future data may give results more decisive in pro or substantial in contra. Finally, we provide a discussion on different interpretations of these findings. In particular, we show how a connection between the star-formation history and the cosmological background dynamics can give rise to this concurrence.

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