arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1703.03255cs.AImath.LOmath.PR
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反事实、指示性条件句和不确定条件下的否定:是否存在跨文化差异?

Counterfactuals, indicative conditionals, and negation under uncertainty: Are there cross-cultural differences?

LMU Munich(慕尼黑大学);Osaka City University(大阪市立大学)

Niki Pfeifer, Hiroshi Yama

摘要:

在本文中,我们研究选定的论点形式,涉及反事实和指示条件下的不确定性。我们选择的论点形式,以探讨是否与西方人相比,具有东方文化背景的人对条件句的原因不同,因为在否定的位置的差异。在一个2x2的参与者之间的设计,63名日本大学生被分配到四个组,交叉指示性条件句和反事实,并在两个随机的任务顺序。数据显示,东方人和西方人的反应非常一致。模态反应提供了强有力的支持的假设,条件概率是最好的预测反事实和指示性条件。最后,绝大多数的反应是概率连贯的,这支持了选择基于连贯性的概率逻辑作为心理推理研究的合理性框架的心理合理性。

英文摘要:

In this paper we study selected argument forms involving counterfactuals and indicative conditionals under uncertainty. We selected argument forms to explore whether people with an Eastern cultural background reason differently about conditionals compared to Westerners, because of the differences in the location of negations. In a 2x2 between-participants design, 63 Japanese university students were allocated to four groups, crossing indicative conditionals and counterfactuals, and each presented in two random task orders. The data show close agreement between the responses of Easterners and Westerners. The modal responses provide strong support for the hypothesis that conditional probability is the best predictor for counterfactuals and indicative conditionals. Finally, the grand majority of the responses are probabilistically coherent, which endorses the psychological plausibility of choosing coherence-based probability logic as a rationality framework for psychological reasoning research.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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