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arXiv 1701.08421cs.CR
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没有仲裁者的去中心化预测市场

Decentralized Prediction Market without Arbiters

Iddo Bentov, Alex Mizrahi, Meni Rosenfeld

摘要:

我们考虑一个预测市场,其中所有方面都由市场力量控制,特别是事件的正确结果由市场本身决定,而不是由可信赖的仲裁者决定。这种去中心化的预测市场可以维持对结果可能在很长甚至无限的时间段内仍未解决的事件的投注,并且可以促进分布在不同地理位置的参与者之间的交易,可能希望保持匿名和/或避免繁琐的识别程序,并且彼此不信任。我们描述了如何通过采用彩色硬币概念的创新变体来增强比特币等加密货币,以适应真正分散的预测市场。我们研究我们的设计的博弈论属性,并提供扩展,使其他金融工具以及实时交换。

英文摘要:

We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction market can sustain betting on events whose outcome may remain unresolved for a long or even unlimited time period, and can facilitate trades among participants who are spread across diverse geographical locations, may wish to remain anonymous and/or avoid burdensome identification procedures, and are distrustful of each other. We describe how a cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin can be enhanced to accommodate a truly decentralized prediction market, by employing an innovative variant of the Colored Coins concept. We examine the game-theoretic properties of our design, and offer extensions that enable other financial instruments as well as real-time exchange.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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