Flu Detector: Estimating influenza-like illness rates from online user-generated content

End-to-End AI-Based Point-of-Care Diagnosis System for Classifying Respiratory Illnesses and Early Detection of COVID-19

Respiratory symptoms can be a caused by different underlying conditions, and are often caused by viral infections, such as Influenza-like illnesses or other emerging viruses like the Coronavirus. These respiratory viruses, often, have common symptoms, including coughing, high temperature, congested nose, and difficulty breathing. However, early diagnosis of the type of the virus, can be crucial, especially in cases such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic. One of the factors that contributed to the spread of the pandemic, was the late diagnosis or confusing it with regular flu-like symptoms. Scien…

Single Model for Influenza Forecasting of Multiple Countries by Multi-task Learning

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online user-generated contents have been proposed in previous studies, no flu forecasting model targeting multiple countries using two types of data exists at present. Our paper leverages multi-task learning to tackle the challenge of building one flu forecasting model targeting multiple countries; each country as each task. Also, to develop the flu prediction model …

Predicting seasonal influenza using supermarket retail records

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose the use of a novel data source, namely retail market data to improve seasonal influenza forecasting. Specifically, we consider supermarket retail data as a proxy signal for influenza, through the identification of sentinel baskets, i.e., products bought together by a population of selected customers. We develop a nowcasting and forecasting framework that prov…

Spatio-Temporal Multi-step Prediction of Influenza Outbreaks

Flu circulates all over the world. The worldwide infection places a substantial burden on people's health every year. Regardless of the characteristic of the worldwide circulation of flu, most previous studies focused on regional prediction of flu outbreaks. The methodology of considering the spatio-temporal correlation could help forecast flu outbreaks more precisely. Furthermore, forecasting a long-term flu outbreak, and understanding flu infection trends more accurately could help hospitals, clinics, and pharmaceutical companies to better prepare for annual flu outbreaks. Predicting a seque…

Artificial Prediction Markets for Online Prediction of Continuous Variables-A Preliminary Report

We propose the Artificial Continuous Prediction Market (ACPM) as a means to predict a continuous real value, by integrating a range of data sources and aggregating the results of different machine learning (ML) algorithms. ACPM adapts the concept of the (physical) prediction market to address the prediction of real values instead of discrete events. Each ACPM participant has a data source, a ML algorithm and a local decision-making procedure that determines what to bid on what value. The contributions of ACPM are: (i) adaptation to changes in data quality by the use of learning in: (a) the mar…

COVID-19与MPox相关推特公共话语的情感分析与文本分析

Sentiment Analysis and Text Analysis of the Public Discourse on Twitter about COVID-19 and MPox

针对现有研究未同时分析COVID-19与MPox相关推文的空白，本研究对6万余条同时涉及二者的推特开展情感与文本分析，得出情感分布、热门话题标签与高频词等结果，并验证了研究的创新性。