Large-scale empirical data, the sample size and the dimension are high, often exhibit various characteristics. For example, the noise term follows unknown distributions or the model is very sparse that the number of critical variables is fixed while dimensionality grows with $n$. We consider the model selection problem of lasso for this kind of data. We investigate both theoretical guarantees and simulations, and show that the lasso is robust for various kinds of data.
The Lasso is a popular statistical tool invented by Robert Tibshirani for linear regression when the number of covariates is greater than or comparable to the number of observations. The purpose of this note is to highlight the simple fact (noted in a number of earlier papers in various guises) that for the loss function considered in Tibshirani's original paper, the Lasso is consistent under almost no assumptions at all.
The lasso procedure is ubiquitous in the statistical and signal processing literature, and as such, is the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. While much of this research focuses on the desirable properties that lasso possesses---predictive risk consistency, sign consistency, correct model selection---all of it has assumes that the tuning parameter is chosen in an oracle fashion. Yet, this is impossible in practice. Instead, data analysts must use the data twice, once to choose the tuning parameter and again to estimate the model. But only heuristics have ever justified suc…
Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator or the Lasso, introduced by Tibshirani (1996), is a popular estimation procedure in multiple linear regression when underlying design has a sparse structure, because of its property that it sets some regression coefficients exactly equal to 0. In this article, we develop a perturbation bootstrap method and establish its validity in approximating the distribution of the Lasso in heteroscedastic linear regression. We allow the underlying covariates to be either random or non-random. We show that the proposed bootstrap method works irrespective of t…
We consider the linear regression problem. We propose the S-Lasso procedure to estimate the unknown regression parameters. This estimator enjoys sparsity of the representation while taking into account correlation between successive covariates (or predictors). The study covers the case when $p\gg n$, i.e. the number of covariates is much larger than the number of observations. In the theoretical point of view, for fixed $p$, we establish asymptotic normality and consistency in variable selection results for our procedure. When $p\geq n$, we provide variable selection consistency results and sh…
The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified up to unknown constants. In practice, however, this oracle tuning parameter is inaccessible so one must use the data to select one. Common statistical practice is to use a variant of cross-validation for this task. However, little is known about the theoretical properties of the resulting predictions with such data-dependent methods. We consider the high-di…
The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double asymptotic framework where the maximal lag may increase with the sample size. We derive theoretical results establishing various types of consistency. In particular, we derive conditions under which the Lasso estimator for the autoregressive coefficients is model selection consistent, estimation consistent and prediction consistent. Simulation study results are repo…
The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；Kyoto University（京都大学）
We theoretically analyze the model selection consistency of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso), both with and without post-thresholding, for high-dimensional Ising models. For random regular (RR) graphs of size $p$ with regular node degree $d$ and uniform couplings $θ_0$, it is rigorously proved that Lasso \textit{without post-thresholding} is model selection consistent in the whole paramagnetic phase with the same order of sample complexity $n=Ω{(d^3\log{p})}$ as that of $\ell_1$-regularized logistic regression ($\ell_1$-LogR). This result is consistent with the conjectur…
Consider the case that we observe $n$ independent and identically distributed copies of a random variable with a probability distribution known to be an element of a specified statistical model. We are interested in estimating an infinite dimensional target parameter that minimizes the expectation of a specified loss function. In \cite{generally_efficient_TMLE} we defined an estimator that minimizes the empirical risk over all multivariate real valued cadlag functions with variation norm bounded by some constant $M$ in the parameter space, and selects $M$ with cross-validation. We referred to …
Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Sciences（波兰科学院计算机科学研究所）；Warsaw University of Technology（华沙理工大学）
We consider selection of random predictors for high-dimensional regression problem with binary response for a general loss function. Important special case is when the binary model is semiparametric and the response function is misspecified under parametric model fit. Selection for such a scenario aims at recovering the support of the minimizer of the associated risk with large probability. We propose a two-step selection procedure which consists of screening and ordering predictors by Lasso method and then selecting a subset of predictors which minimizes Generalized Information Criterion on t…
UC Berkeley Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research（伯克利大学工业工程与运筹学系）；Peking University School of Mathematical Sciences and Laboratory for Mathematical Economics and Quantitative Finance（北京大学数学科学学院及数学经济学与量化金融实验室）；Peking University School of Mathematical Sciences, Center for Statistical Science, National Engineering Laboratory for Big Data Analysis and Applications, and Laboratory for Mathematical Economics and Quantitative Finance（北京大学数学科学学院、统计科学中心、大数据分析与应用国家工程实验室及数学经济学与量化金融实验室）；MIT Sloan School of Management and Laboratory for Financial Engineering（麻省理工学院斯隆管理学院及金融工程实验室）
We show that the two-stage adaptive Lasso procedure (Zou, 2006) is consistent for high-dimensional model selection in linear and Gaussian graphical models. Our conditions for consistency cover more general situations than those accomplished in previous work: we prove that restricted eigenvalue conditions (Bickel et al., 2008) are also sufficient for sparse structure estimation.
For regularized estimation, the upper tail behavior of the random Lipschitz coefficient associated with empirical loss functions is known to play an important role in the error bound of Lasso for high dimensional generalized linear models. The upper tail behavior is known for linear models but much less so for nonlinear models. We establish exponential type inequalities for the upper tail of the coefficient and illustrate an application of the results to Lasso likelihood estimation for high dimensional generalized linear models.
In a general counting process setting, we consider the problem of obtaining a prognostic on the survival time adjusted on covariates in high-dimension. Towards this end, we construct an estimator of the whole conditional intensity. We estimate it by the best Cox proportional hazards model given two dictionaries of functions. The first dictionary is used to construct an approximation of the logarithm of the baseline hazard function and the second to approximate the relative risk. We introduce a new data-driven weighted Lasso procedure to estimate the unknown parameters of the best Cox model app…
We consider a joint processing of $n$ independent sparse regression problems. Each is based on a sample $(y_{i1},x_{i1})...,(y_{im},x_{im})$ of $m$ \iid observations from $y_{i1}=x_{i1}\tβ_i+\eps_{i1}$, $y_{i1}\in \R$, $x_{i 1}\in\R^p$, $i=1,...,n$, and $\eps_{i1}\dist N(0,\sig^2)$, say. $p$ is large enough so that the empirical risk minimizer is not consistent. We consider three possible extensions of the lasso estimator to deal with this problem, the lassoes, the group lasso and the RING lasso, each utilizing a different assumption how these problems are related. For each estimator we give a…
In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the process has a sparse representation in a large dictionary of basis functions. Using a matrix regression model, we propose a new methodology for high-dimensional covariance matrix estimation based on empirical contrast regularization by a group Lasso penalty. Using such a penalty, the method selects a sparse set of basis functions in the dictionary used to app…
In this paper we study the properties of the Lasso estimator of the drift component in the diffusion setting. More specifically, we consider a multivariate parametric diffusion model $X$ observed continuously over the interval $[0,T]$ and investigate drift estimation under sparsity constraints. We allow the dimensions of the model and the parameter space to be large. We obtain an oracle inequality for the Lasso estimator and derive an error bound for the $L^2$-distance using concentration inequalities for linear functionals of diffusion processes. The probabilistic part is based upon elements …
The purpose of the present paper is to investigate on a class of spherical functional autoregressive processes in order to introduce and study LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) type estimators for the corresponding autoregressive kernels, defined in the harmonic domain by means of their spectral decompositions. Some crucial properties for these estimators are proved, in particular, consistency and oracle inequalities.
Upper and lower bounds are derived for the Gaussian mean width of the intersection of a convex hull of $M$ points with an Euclidean ball of a given radius. The upper bound holds for any collection of extreme point bounded in Euclidean norm. The upper bound and the lower bound match up to a multiplicative constant whenever the extreme points satisfy a one sided Restricted Isometry Property. This bound is then applied to study the Lasso estimator in fixed-design regression, the Empirical Risk Minimizer in the anisotropic persistence problem, and the convex aggregation problem in density estimati…
The paper revisits the Bayesian group lasso and uses spike and slab priors for group variable selection. In the process, the connection of our model with penalized regression is demonstrated, and the role of posterior median for thresholding is pointed out. We show that the posterior median estimator has the oracle property for group variable selection and estimation under orthogonal designs, while the group lasso has suboptimal asymptotic estimation rate when variable selection consistency is achieved. Next we consider bi-level selection problem and propose the Bayesian sparse group selection…
In this article we investigate consistency of selection in regression models via the popular Lasso method. Here we depart from the traditional linear regression assumption and consider approximations of the regression function $f$ with elements of a given dictionary of $M$ functions. The target for consistency is the index set of those functions from this dictionary that realize the most parsimonious approximation to $f$ among all linear combinations belonging to an $L_2$ ball centered at $f$ and of radius $r_{n,M}^2$. In this framework we show that a consistent estimate of this index set can …
We study the finite sample behavior of Lasso-based inference methods such as post double Lasso and debiased Lasso. We show that these methods can exhibit substantial omitted variable biases (OVBs) due to Lasso not selecting relevant controls. This phenomenon can occur even when the coefficients are sparse and the sample size is large and larger than the number of controls. Therefore, relying on the existing asymptotic inference theory can be problematic in empirical applications. We compare the Lasso-based inference methods to modern high-dimensional OLS-based methods and provide practical gui…
This paper proposes a general framework for penalized convex empirical criteria and a new version of the Sparse-Group LASSO (SGL, Simon and al., 2013), called the adaptive SGL, where both penalties of the SGL are weighted by preliminary random coefficients. We explore extensively its asymptotic properties and prove that this estimator satisfies the so-called oracle property (Fan and Li, 2001), that is the sparsity based estimator recovers the true underlying sparse model and is asymptotically normally distributed. Then we study its asymptotic properties in a double-asymptotic framework, where …
High dimensional Poisson regression has become a standard framework for the analysis of massive counts datasets. In this work we estimate the intensity function of the Poisson regression model by using a dictionary approach, which generalizes the classical basis approach, combined with a Lasso or a group-Lasso procedure. Selection depends on penalty weights that need to be calibrated. Standard methodologies developed in the Gaussian framework can not be directly applied to Poisson models due to heteroscedasticity. Here we provide data-driven weights for the Lasso and the group-Lasso derived fr…
In this paper, we propose a novel method to select significant variables and estimate the corresponding coefficients in multiple-index models with a group structure. All existing approaches for single-index models cannot be extended directly to handle this issue with several indices. This method integrates a popularly used shrinkage penalty such as LASSO with the group-wise minimum average variance estimation. It is capable of simultaneous dimension reduction and variable selection, while incorporating the group structure in predictors. Interestingly, the proposed estimator with the LASSO pena…
The performance of the Lasso is well understood under the assumptions of the standard linear model with homoscedastic noise. However, in several applications, the standard model does not describe the important features of the data. This paper examines how the Lasso performs on a non-standard model that is motivated by medical imaging applications. In these applications, the variance of the noise scales linearly with the expectation of the observation. Like all heteroscedastic models, the noise terms in this Poisson-like model are \textit{not} independent of the design matrix. More specifically…
We consider a linear regression problem in a high dimensional setting where the number of covariates $p$ can be much larger than the sample size $n$. In such a situation, one often assumes sparsity of the regression vector, \textit i.e., the regression vector contains many zero components. We propose a Lasso-type estimator $\hatβ^{Quad}$ (where '$Quad$' stands for quadratic) which is based on two penalty terms. The first one is the $\ell_1$ norm of the regression coefficients used to exploit the sparsity of the regression as done by the Lasso estimator, whereas the second is a quadratic penalt…
For multiple index models, it has recently been shown that the sliced inverse regression (SIR) is consistent for estimating the sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) space if and only if $ρ=\lim\frac{p}{n}=0$, where $p$ is the dimension and $n$ is the sample size. Thus, when $p$ is of the same or a higher order of $n$, additional assumptions such as sparsity must be imposed in order to ensure consistency for SIR. By constructing artificial response variables made up from top eigenvectors of the estimated conditional covariance matrix, we introduce a simple Lasso regression method to obtain an e…
We consider the finite sample properties of the regularized high-dimensional Cox regression via lasso. Existing literature focuses on linear models or generalized linear models with Lipschitz loss functions, where the empirical risk functions are the summations of independent and identically distributed (iid) losses. The summands in the negative log partial likelihood function for censored survival data, however, are neither iid nor Lipschitz. We first approximate the negative log partial likelihood function by a sum of iid non-Lipschitz terms, then derive the non-asymptotic oracle inequalitie…
We analyze the statistical consistency of robust estimators for precision matrices in high dimensions. We focus on a contamination mechanism acting cellwise on the data matrix. The estimators we analyze are formed by plugging appropriately chosen robust covariance matrix estimators into the graphical Lasso and CLIME. Such estimators were recently proposed in the robust statistics literature, but only analyzed mathematically from the point of view of the breakdown point. This paper provides complementary high-dimensional error bounds for the precision matrix estimators that reveal the interplay…
INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；Laboratoire d’Informatique de l’Ecole Normale Supérieure（巴黎高等师范学院信息学实验室）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；ENS（巴黎高等师范学院）
We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the l1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso. For various decays of the regularization parameter, we compute asymptotic equivalents of the probability of correct model selection (i.e., variable selection). For a specific rate decay, we show that the Lasso selects all the variables that should enter the model with probability tending to one exponentially fast, while it selects all other variables with strictly positi…
We propose a novel approach, Sequential Lasso, for feature selection in linear regression models with ultra-high dimensional feature spaces. We investigate in this article the asymptotic properties of Sequential Lasso and establish its selection consistency. Like other sequential methods, the implementation of Sequential Lasso is not limited by the dimensionality of the feature space. It has advantages over other sequential methods. The simulation studies comparing Sequential Lasso with other sequential methods are reported.
The pattern of zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix of a multivariate normal distribution corresponds to conditional independence restrictions between variables. Covariance selection aims at estimating those structural zeros from data. We show that neighborhood selection with the Lasso is a computationally attractive alternative to standard covariance selection for sparse high-dimensional graphs. Neighborhood selection estimates the conditional independence restrictions separately for each node in the graph and is hence equivalent to variable selection for Gaussian linear models. We s…
We consider the estimation of regression models on strata defined using a categorical covariate, in order to identify interactions between this categorical covariate and the other predictors. A basic approach requires the choice of a reference stratum. We show that the performance of a penalized version of this approach depends on this arbitrary choice. We propose a refined approach that bypasses this arbitrary choice, at almost no additional computational cost. Regarding model selection consistency, our proposal mimics the strategy based on an optimal and covariate-specific choice for the ref…
We apply network Lasso to semi-supervised regression problems involving network structured data. This approach lends quite naturally to highly scalable learning algorithms in the form of message passing over an empirical graph which represents the network structure of the data. By using a simple non-parametric regression model, which is motivated by a clustering hypothesis, we provide an analysis of the estimation error incurred by network Lasso. This analysis reveals conditions on the the network structure and the available training data which guarantee network Lasso to be accurate. Remarkabl…
Meinshausen and Buhlmann [Ann. Statist. 34 (2006) 1436--1462] showed that, for neighborhood selection in Gaussian graphical models, under a neighborhood stability condition, the LASSO is consistent, even when the number of variables is of greater order than the sample size. Zhao and Yu [(2006) J. Machine Learning Research 7 2541--2567] formalized the neighborhood stability condition in the context of linear regression as a strong irrepresentable condition. That paper showed that under this condition, the LASSO selects exactly the set of nonzero regression coefficients, provided that these coef…
The Lasso is a popular regression method for high-dimensional problems in which the number of parameters $θ_1,\dots,θ_N$, is larger than the number $n$ of samples: $N>n$. A useful heuristics relates the statistical properties of the Lasso estimator to that of a simple soft-thresholding denoiser,in a denoising problem in which the parameters $(θ_i)_{i\le N}$ are observed in Gaussian noise, with a carefully tuned variance. Earlier work confirmed this picture in the limit $n,N\to\infty$, pointwise in the parameters $θ$, and in the value of the regularization parameter. Here, we consider a standar…
Selection of important covariates and to drop the unimportant ones from a high-dimensional regression model is a long standing problem and hence have received lots of attention in the last two decades. After selecting the correct model, it is also important to properly estimate the existing parameters corresponding to important covariates. In this spirit, Fan and Li (2001) proposed Oracle property as a desired feature of a variable selection method. Oracle property has two parts; one is the variable selection consistency (VSC) and the other one is the asymptotic normality. Keeping VSC fixed an…
This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore what conclusions are still valid when going beyond. While many statistical features remain unaffected (e.g., consistency and error decay rates), the key difference becomes manifested in how the complexity of the hypothesis set is measured. It turns out that the estimation error can be controlled by means of two complexity parameters that arise naturally from …
We establish statistical properties of random-weighting methods in LASSO regression under different regularization parameters $λ_n$ and suitable regularity conditions. The random-weighting methods in view concern repeated optimization of a randomized objective function, motivated by the need for computational approximations to Bayesian posterior sampling. In the context of LASSO regression, we repeatedly assign analyst-drawn random weights to terms in the objective function (including the penalty terms), and optimize to obtain a sample of random-weighting estimators. We show that existing appr…
The $\ell_1$-penalized method, or the Lasso, has emerged as an important tool for the analysis of large data sets. Many important results have been obtained for the Lasso in linear regression which have led to a deeper understanding of high-dimensional statistical problems. In this article, we consider a class of weighted $\ell_1$-penalized estimators for convex loss functions of a general form, including the generalized linear models. We study the estimation, prediction, selection and sparsity properties of the weighted $\ell_1$-penalized estimator in sparse, high-dimensional settings where t…
Feature selection is an important problem studied in data analytics seeking to identify a minimal-size feature subset that is optimally predictive for an outcome of interest. It is also a powerful tool in Knowledge Discovery as a means for gaining domain insight, e.g., identifying which medical quantities carry unique information for the disease status. It is arguably less recognized however, that the problem may have multiple, equivalent solutions. In that case, it is misleading to domain experts to report only one of them and ignore all other equivalent solutions. In this paper, we extend a …
This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number of parameters is of a much larger order of magnitude than the sample size. We also give conditions under which no relevant variables are excluded. Next, non-asymptotic probabilities are given for the Adaptive LASSO to select the correct sparsity pattern. We then give conditions under which the Adaptive LASSO reveals the correct sparsity pattern as…
In this work, we consider to improve the model estimation efficiency by aggregating the neighbors' information as well as identify the subgroup membership for each node in the network. A tree-based $l_1$ penalty is proposed to save the computation and communication cost. We design a decentralized generalized alternating direction method of multiplier algorithm for solving the objective function in parallel. The theoretical properties are derived to guarantee both the model consistency and the algorithm convergence. Thorough numerical experiments are also conducted to back up our theory, which …
The L1 regularization (Lasso) has proven to be a versatile tool to select relevant features and estimate the model coefficients simultaneously and has been widely used in many research areas such as genomes studies, finance, and biomedical imaging. Despite its popularity, it is very challenging to guarantee the feature selection consistency of Lasso especially when the dimension of the data is huge. One way to improve the feature selection consistency is to select an ideal tuning parameter. Traditional tuning criteria mainly focus on minimizing the estimated prediction error or maximizing the …
The Adaptive Lasso(Alasso) was proposed by Zou [\textit{J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \textbf{101} (2006) 1418-1429}] as a modification of the Lasso for the purpose of simultaneous variable selection and estimation of the parameters in a linear regression model. Zou (2006) established that the Alasso estimator is variable-selection consistent as well as asymptotically Normal in the indices corresponding to the nonzero regression coefficients in certain fixed-dimensional settings. In an influential paper, Minnier, Tian and Cai [\textit{J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. \textbf{106} (2011) 1371-1382}] propose…
