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arXiv 1404.6993physics.soc-phcond-mat.stat-mechcs.SIq-bio.PE
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第一个应该是最后一个:选择驱动的少数成为多数

The first shall be last: selection-driven minority becomes majority

Nuno Crokidakis, Paulo Murilo Castro de Oliveira

摘要:

世界各地都有街头示威。在里约热内卢,2013年6月/7月,他们的覆盖面超过100万人。同一城市的主要报纸\textit{O Globo}的一位愤怒的读者发表了一封信\cite{OGlobo},信中陈述了许多社会问题,并回答了是或否。这百万街头示威者对一系列类似的社会问题有着共同的看法。但他们并没有在如此众多的会议中达成这一共识。早些时候,他们在不同的小团体中会面,其中一些人可能会被其他几个研究员说服改变主意。突然,一个宏观的共识出现了。许多其他的大的显化在最近的时代在世界各地广泛传播,并且应该在未来继续存在。有趣的问题是:(1)通过小群体会议中发生的局部变化,分布在某些群体中的二元选项意见如何随时间演变?(2)是否存在某种自然选择法则?在这里,我们通过基于代理的模型来解决这些问题。

英文摘要:

Street demonstrations occur across the world. In Rio de Janeiro, June/July 2013, they reach beyond one million people. A wrathful reader of \textit{O Globo}, leading newspaper in the same city, published a letter \cite{OGlobo} where many social questions are stated and answered Yes or No. These million people of street demonstrations share opinion consensus about a similar set of social issues. But they did not reach this consensus within such a huge numbered meetings. Earlier, they have met in diverse small groups where some of them could be convinced to change mind by other few fellows. Suddenly, a macroscopic consensus emerges. Many other big manifestations are widespread all over the world in recent times, and are supposed to remain in the future. The interesting questions are: 1) How a binary-option opinion distributed among some population evolves in time, through local changes occurred within small-group meetings? and 2) Is there some natural selection rule acting upon? Here, we address these questions through an agent-based model.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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