大气CO2的地面响应分析和置信区域的确定:美国资料的全球变暖研究
Surface response analysis and determination of confidence regions for atmospheric CO2: a global warming study for U.S.A. data
摘要:
从1959年至2008年在夏威夷进行的大气CO2测量开始,使用5个可归因变量拟合了一个具有相互作用的二次模型。表面响应分析返回的特征值和特征向量的临界点,原来是混合型,有两个正的特征值,一个零,和其余的负。从这些数据,它是派生的置信区域在两个变量是各种类型(椭圆,双曲线,和退化)。基于这些结果,我们指出如何确定二维置信区域的显著变量,这是相关的贡献者的大气CO2排放量。
英文摘要:
Starting from the atmospheric CO2 measurements taken in Hawaii between 1959 and 2008, a quadratic model with interactions was fitted, using 5 attributable variables. Surface response analysis returned the eigenvalues and eigenvectors at the critical point, which turns out to be of mixed type, with two positive eigenvalues, one null, and the rest negative. From these data, it is derived that the confidence regions in two variables are of various types (elliptic, hyperbolic, and degenerate). Based on these results we indicate how to determine two-dimensional confidence regions for statistically-significant variables which are relevant contributors to the atmospheric CO2 emissions.
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