arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 1306.3517cs.SIphysics.soc-ph
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博客圈社区演化预测的不同方法

Different Approaches to Community Evolution Prediction in Blogosphere

Bogdan Gliwa, Piotr Bródka, Anna Zygmunt, Stanisław Saganowski, Przemysław Kazienko, Jarosław Koźlak

摘要:

预测社区未来的演化方向是一个具有很高理论和实践意义的问题。它允许确定描述社区的哪些特征从其未来行为的角度来看具有重要性。了解社区未来可能的职业生涯有助于决定投资于与特定社区成员的接触,并采取行动在社区中取得关键地位,还有助于确定形成意见或保护群体参与者免受此类活动影响的有效方法。本文提出了一种新的对未来事件进行群体识别和预测的方法,并与现有的方法进行了比较。实验结果表明,预测结果的质量很高。与以前的研究相比,使用许多措施来描述组配置文件,并因此作为分类器的输入,可以提高预测。

英文摘要:

Predicting the future direction of community evolution is a problem with high theoretical and practical significance. It allows to determine which characteristics describing communities have importance from the point of view of their future behaviour. Knowledge about the probable future career of the community aids in the decision concerning investing in contact with members of a given community and carrying out actions to achieve a key position in it. It also allows to determine effective ways of forming opinions or to protect group participants against such activities. In the paper, a new approach to group identification and prediction of future events is presented together with the comparison to existing method. Performed experiments prove a high quality of prediction results. Comparison to previous studies shows that using many measures to describe the group profile, and in consequence as a classifier input, can improve predictions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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