意大利新参议院的效率和五星运动的作用：通过虚拟议会模型比较不同的可能方案
On the efficiency of the new Italian Senate and the role of 5 Stars Movement: Comparison among different possible scenarios by means of a virtual Parliament model
摘要：
最近的2013年意大利选举已经结束，纳波利塔诺总统将不得不尽快解决新政府的组建问题，这并不是最简单的一个。经过二十年的两极化（或多或少有效），我们习惯于两个伟大的政治联盟之间的激烈斗争，中间偏右和中间偏左，现在，在新的议会中，我们有四个政治组织。但是，这一结果真的像我们的常识所显示的那样，是一个不可避免的不可治理阶段的前奏吗？一个参议院多数席位不断变化的议会能像一个两院多数席位都占多数的议会那样有效率吗？在这篇短文中，我们将试图回答这些超越常识的问题，并通过一种科学的、原始的和创新的工具，即“基于代理人的模拟”来分析当前的政治局势。我们表明，这种情况并不像听起来那么戏剧性，但它本身就包含着潜在的积极方面，只要人们做出最适当的选择。
英文摘要：
The recent 2013 Italian elections are over and the situation that President Napolitano will have to settle soon for the formation of the new government is not the simplest one. After twenty years of bipolarism (more or less effective), where we were accustomed to a tight battle between two great political coalitions, the center-right and center-left, now, in the new Parliament, we have four political formations. But is it really this result, as it would seem to suggest our common sense, the prelude to an inevitable phase of ungovernability? Can a Parliament with changing majorities in Senate to be as efficient as a Parliament with a large majority in both the Houses? In this short note we will try to answer these questions going beyond common sense and analyzing the current political situation by means of a scientific, original and innovative instrument, i.e. an "agent-based simulation". We show that the situation is not so dramatic as it sounds, but it contains within itself potential positive aspects, as long as one makes the most appropriate choices.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
