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arXiv 1204.0146physics.ao-phphysics.geo-ph
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Christine C.对“评估未来风险:量化sea level上升对纽约长岛南部海岸风暴潮风险的影响”的评论。Shepard等人(自然灾害,第60卷,第2期,第727-745页)

Comments on "Assessing future risk: quantifying the effects of sea level rise on storm surge risk for the southern shores of Long Island, New York," by Christine C. Shepard, et al (Natural Hazards, Vol. 60, No. 2, 727-745)

David A. Burton

摘要:

验潮仪和卫星数据表明,海平面上升的速度并没有因过去3/4世纪的二氧化碳排放而显著增加,因此没有理由期望它会因未来3/4世纪的二氧化碳排放而显著增加。对未来海平面的最佳预测是对过去同一地点海平面历史的线性投影。对于长岛来说,到2080年大约是7-8英寸。

英文摘要:

Tide gauge and satellite data indicate that the rate of sea level rise has not increased significantly in response to the last 3/4 century of CO2 emissions, so there is no reason to expect that it will do so in response to the next 3/4 century of CO2 emissions. The best prediction for sea level in the future is simply a linear projection of the history of sea level at the same location in the past. For Long Island, that is about 7-8 inches by 2080.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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