arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv周末暂无论文更新,休息一下吧,周末愉快~~
arXiv 1203.5643astro-ph.IMastro-ph.HE
收藏

处理大气切伦科夫望远镜的系统非相干和组合源分析

Handling Systematic Uncertainties and Combined Source Analyses for Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes

Hugh Dickinson, Jan Conrad

摘要:

为了应对越来越多的统计丰富的观测数据集的可用性,传统的大气切伦科夫望远镜的性能和适用性分析制度的系统占主导地位的测量不确定性进行检查。特别是,系统的不确定性影响的相对标准化的基准ON和OFF源采样区域-通常表示为α -的效果进行了研究,使用组合源分析作为一个代表性的例子。传统的累计ON和OFF源事件计数的总和被发现在所研究的上下文中执行次优,并且需要仔细校准以校正意外的和潜在的误导性统计行为。更具体地说,发现未能识别和纠正α的错误估计会导致对组合群体显著性的大幅高估,这种情况会随着目标多样性的增加而恶化。另一种联合似然技术的介绍,这是为了处理系统的不确定性,在一个统一的和统计上的鲁棒性的方式。这种替代方法被证明是产生显着增强的性能和可靠性相对于更传统的方法。

英文摘要:

In response to an increasing availability of statistically rich observational data sets, the performance and applicability of traditional Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescope analyses in the regime of systematically dominated measurement uncertainties is examined. In particular, the effect of systematic uncertainties affecting the relative normalisation of fiducial ON and OFF-source sampling regions - often denoted as α - is investigated using combined source analysis as a representative example case. The traditional summation of accumulated ON and OFF-source event counts is found to perform sub-optimally in the studied contexts and requires careful calibration to correct for unexpected and potentially misleading statistical behaviour. More specifically, failure to recognise and correct for erroneous estimates of α is found to produce substantial overestimates of the combined population significance which worsen with increasing target multiplicity. An alternative joint likelihood technique is introduced, which is designed to treat systematic uncertainties in a uniform and statistically robust manner. This alternate method is shown to yield dramatically enhanced performance and reliability with respect to the more traditional approach.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑