两个包络参数的一个简明解法
A Concise Resolution to the Two Envelope Paradox
摘要:
在本文中,我将展示一个新的角度对两个信封的问题。我希望能令人信服地清楚地表明,悖论是如何从贝叶斯概率解释的固有问题中产生的。具体而言,与现实不一致的主观概率可能会误导基于贝叶斯决策理论的推理。
英文摘要:
In this paper, I will demonstrate a new perspective on the Two Envelope Problem. I hope to show with convincing clarity how the paradox results from an inherent problem pertaining to the interpretation of Bayesian probability. Specifically, a subjective probability that is inconsistent with reality can mislead reasoning based on Bayesian decision theory.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。