Lipschitz Parametrization of Probabilistic Graphical Models

Structured variational approximations with skew normal decomposable graphical models

Although there is much recent work developing flexible variational methods for Bayesian computation, Gaussian approximations with structured covariance matrices are often preferred computationally in high-dimensional settings. This paper considers approximate inference methods for complex latent variable models where the posterior is close to Gaussian, but with some skewness in the posterior marginals. We consider skew decomposable graphical models (SDGMs), which are based on the closed skew normal family of distributions, as variational approximations. These approximations can reflect the tru…

Mixtures and products in two graphical models

We compare two statistical models of three binary random variables. One is a mixture model and the other is a product of mixtures model called a restricted Boltzmann machine. Although the two models we study look different from their parametrizations, we show that they represent the same set of distributions on the interior of the probability simplex, and are equal up to closure. We give a semi-algebraic description of the model in terms of six binomial inequalities and obtain closed form expressions for the maximum likelihood estimates. We briefly discuss extensions to larger models.

Bayesian Analysis of Marginal Log-Linear Graphical Models for Three Way Contingency Tables

This paper deals with the Bayesian analysis of graphical models of marginal independence for three way contingency tables. We use a marginal log-linear parametrization, under which the model is defined through suitable zero-constraints on the interaction parameters calculated within marginal distributions. We undertake a comprehensive Bayesian analysis of these models, involving suitable choices of prior distributions, estimation, model determination, as well as the allied computational issues. The methodology is illustrated with reference to two real data sets.

概率图模型概率分布估计的快速Wasserstein速率

Fast Wasserstein rates for estimating probability distributions of probabilistic graphical models

本文研究了利用独立同分布数据在Wasserstein距离下估计高维分布时，如何通过概率图模型的结构知识克服维度诅咒，证明了局部图结构对估计速率的影响，以及不同光滑条件下的精确速率结果。

Graphical tools for model-based mixture discriminant analysis

The paper introduces a methodology for visualizing on a dimension reduced subspace the classification structure and the geometric characteristics induced by an estimated Gaussian mixture model for discriminant analysis. In particular, we consider the case of mixture of mixture models with varying parametrization which allow for parsimonious models. The approach is an extension of an existing work on reducing dimensionality for model-based clustering based on Gaussian mixtures. Information on the dimension reduction subspace is provided by the variation on class locations and, depending on the …

Bayesian nonparametric graphical models for time-varying parameters VAR

Over the last decade, big data have poured into econometrics, demanding new statistical methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A common approach for addressing dimensionality issues relies on the use of static graphical structures for extracting the most significant dependence interrelationships between the variables of interest. Recently, Bayesian nonparametric techniques have become popular for modelling complex phenomena in a flexible and efficient manner, but only few attempts have been made in econometrics. In this paper, we provide an innovative…