arXiv 1111.48522011-11-21q-fin.GNcs.SIphysics.soc-ph

Biased diffusion on Japanese inter-firm trading network: Estimation of sales from network structure

Hayafumi Watanabe, Hideki Takayasu, Misako Takayasu

发表信息：: New J. Phys. 14 (2012) 043034
DOI：: 10.1088/1367-2630/14/4/043034

英文摘要：

To investigate the actual phenomena of transport on a complex network, we analysed empirical data for an inter-firm trading network, which consists of about one million Japanese firms and the sales of these firms (a sale corresponds to the total in-flow into a node). First, we analysed the relationships between sales and sales of nearest neighbourhoods from which we obtain a simple linear relationship between sales and the weighted sum of sales of nearest neighbourhoods (i.e., customers). In addition, we introduce a simple money transport model that is coherent with this empirical observation. In this model, a firm (i.e., customer) distributes money to its out-edges (suppliers) proportionally to the in-degree of destinations. From intensive numerical simulations, we find that the steady flows derived from these models can approximately reproduce the distribution of sales of actual firms. The sales of individual firms deduced from the money-transport model are shown to be proportional, on an average, to the real sales.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。

阅读原文

阅读 PDF ↗

arXiv 页面 ↗HTML 原文 ↗

本文内容

英文摘要相关论文

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。

继续探索

相关论文

Mean field approximation for biased diffusion on Japanese inter-firm trading network

By analysing the financial data of firms across Japan, a nonlinear power law with an exponent of 1.3 was observed between the number of business partners (i.e. the degree of the inter-firm trading network) and sales. In a previous study using numerical simulations, we found that this scaling can be explained by both the money-transport model, where a firm (i.e. customer) distributes money to its out-edges (suppliers) in proportion to the in-degree of destinations, and by the correlations among the Japanese inter-firm trading network. However, in this previous study, we could not specifically i…

2014-02-15physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Statistical Properties of Business Firms Structure and Growth

We analyze a database comprising quarterly sales of 55624 pharmaceutical products commercialized by 3939 pharmaceutical firms in the period 1992--2001. We study the probability density function (PDF) of growth in firms and product sales and find that the width of the PDF of growth decays with the sales as a power law with exponent $β= 0.20 \pm 0.01$. We also find that the average sales of products scales with the firm sales as a power law with exponent $α= 0.57 \pm 0.02$. And that the average number products of a firm scales with the firm sales as a power law with exponent $γ= 0.42 \pm 0.02$. …

2005-02-15physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Re-examination of the size distribution of firms

In this paper we address the question of the size distribution of firms. To this aim, we use the Bloomberg database comprising multinational firms within the years 1995-2003, and analyze the data of the sales and the total assets of the separate financial statement of the Japanese and the US companies, and make a comparison of the size distributions between the Japanese companies and the US companies. We find that (i) the size distribution of the US firms is approximately log-normal, in agreement with Gibrat's observation (Gibrat 1931), and in contrast (ii) the size distribution of the Japanes…

2006-03-17physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

A transactional theory of fluctuations in company size

Detailed empirical studies of publicly traded business firms have established that the standard deviation of annual sales growth rates decreases with increasing firm sales as a power law, and that the sales growth distribution is non-Gaussian with slowly decaying tails. To explain these empirical facts, a theory is developed that incorporates both the fluctuations of a single firm's sales and the statistical differences among many firms. The theory reproduces both the scaling in the standard deviation and the non-Gaussian distribution of growth rates. Earlier models reproduce the same empirica…

2007-03-02physics.data-anphysics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Network analysis of Japanese global business using quasi-exhaustive micro-data for Japanese overseas subsidiaries

Network analysis techniques remain rarely used for understanding international management strategies. Our paper highlights their value as research tool in this field of social science using a large set of micro-data (20,000) to investigate the presence of networks of subsidiaries overseas. The research question is the following: to what extent did/do global Japanese business networks mirror organizational models existing in Japan? In particular, we would like to assess how much the links building such business networks are shaped by the structure of big-size industrial conglomerates of firms h…

2017-07-18cs.SIq-fin.GN

Backbone of credit relationships in the Japanese credit market

We detect the backbone of the weighted bipartite network of the Japanese credit market relationships. The backbone is detected by adapting a general method used in the investigation of weighted networks. With this approach we detect a backbone that is statistically validated against a null hypothesis of uniform diversification of loans for banks and firms. Our investigation is done year by year and it covers more than thirty years during the period from 1980 to 2011. We relate some of our findings with economic events that have characterized the Japanese credit market during the last years. Th…

2015-11-21physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

更多相关论文收起更多论文

Hierarchical communities in the walnut structure of the Japanese production network

This paper studies the structure of the Japanese production network, which includes one million firms and five million supplier-customer links. This study finds that this network forms a tightly-knit structure with a core giant strongly connected component (GSCC) surrounded by IN and OUT components constituting two half-shells of the GSCC, which we call a\textit{walnut} structure because of its shape. The hierarchical structure of the communities is studied by the Infomap method, and most of the irreducible communities are found to be at the second level. The composition of some of the major c…

2018-08-30physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

竞争市场中微观经济系统确定性模型的跃迁现象

Leapfrogging of a deterministic model for microeconomic systems in competitive markets

本文研究Behrens-Feichtinger模型中两家企业交替主导市场的跃迁机制，通过引入销售差与总销售变量分析不动点稳定性与分岔图，发现特定参数值与较高弹性系数可稳定该周期振荡机制。

2025-03-17nlin.AOnlin.CDq-fin.GN

Agent Simulation of Chain Bankruptcy

We have conducted an agent-based simulation of chain bankruptcy. The propagation of credit risk on a network, i.e., chain bankruptcy, is the key to nderstanding largesized bankruptcies. In our model, decrease of revenue by the loss of accounts payable is modeled by an interaction term, and bankruptcy is defined as a capital deficit. Model parameters were estimated using financial data for 1,077 listed Japanese firms. Simulations of chain bankruptcy on the real transaction network consisting of those 1,077 firms were made with the estimated model parameters. Given an initial bankrupt firm, a li…

2007-09-27physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Many-to-one contagion of economic growth rate across trade credit network of firms

We propose a novel approach and an empirical procedure to test direct contagion of growth rate in a trade credit network of firms. Our hypotheses are that the use of trade credit contributes to contagion (from many customers to a single supplier - "many to one" contagion) and amplification (through their interaction with the macrocopic variables, such as interest rate) of growth rate. In this paper we test the contagion hypothesis, measuring empirically the mesoscopic "many-to-one" effect. The effect of amplification has been dealt with in another paper. Our empirical analysis is based on the …

2015-06-04q-fin.GN

Inventory growth cycles with debt-financed investment

We propose a continuous-time stock-flow consistent model for inventory dynamics in an economy with firms, banks, and households. On the supply side, firms decide on production based on adaptive expectations for sales demand and a desired level of inventories. On the demand side, investment is determined as a function of utilization and profitability and can be financed by debt, whereas consumption is independently determined as a function of income and wealth. Prices adjust sluggishly to both changes in labour costs and inventory. Disequilibrium between expected sales and demand is absorbed by…

2016-10-04q-fin.GN

An Empirical Investigation of Cash Conversion Cycle of Manufacturing Firms and its Association with Firm Size and Profitability

The purpose of this empirical study is to investigate Cash Conversion Cycle of thirty manufacturing firms listed in Dhaka Stock Exchanges under six different categories, which are, Food and allied, Pharmaceuticals and chemical, Cement, Textile, Engineering and Miscellaneous. This paper sets industry average Cash Conversion Cycle for these six industries and examines the relationship of Cash Conversion Cycle with firm size and profitability. This study did not find statistically significant differences among the Cash Conversion Cycle of varying manufacturing industries. The result of this study…

2020-05-15q-fin.GN

Bank-firm credit network in Japan. An analysis of a bipartite network

We present an analysis of the credit market of Japan. The analysis is performed by investigating the bipartite network of banks and firms which is obtained by setting a link between a bank and a firm when a credit relationship is present in a given time window. In our investigation we focus on a community detection algorithm which is identifying communities composed by both banks and firms. We show that the clusters obtained by directly working on the bipartite network carry information about the networked nature of the Japanese credit market. Our analysis is performed for each calendar year d…

2014-07-21physics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Structure and temporal change of the credit network between banks and large firms in Japan

We present a new approach to understanding credit relationships between commercial banks and quoted firms, and with this approach, examine the temporal change in the structure of the Japanese credit network from 1980 to 2005. At each year, the credit network is regarded as a weighted bipartite graph where edges correspond to the relationships and weights refer to the amounts of loans. Reduction in the supply of credit affects firms as debtor, and failure of a firm influences banks as creditor. To quantify the dependency and influence between banks and firms, we propose a set of scores of banks…

2009-05-28q-fin.GNq-fin.ST

Econophysics on Real Economy -The First Decade of the Kyoto Econophysics Group-

Research activities of Kyoto Econophysics Group is reviewed. Strong emphasis has been placed on real economy. While the initial stage of research was a first high-definition data analysis on personal income, it soon progressed to firm dynamics, growth rate distribution and establishment of Pareto's law and Gibrat's law. It then led to analysis and simulation of firm dynamics on economic network. Currently it covers a wide rage of dynamics of firms and financial institutions on complex network, using Japanese large-scale network data, some of which are not available in other countries. Activiti…

2010-07-02physics.hist-phq-fin.GN

基于全国企业层面排放估算的供应链网络与金融系统联合气候压力测试

Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates

该研究利用匈牙利410,523家企业的排放估算，通过经济ABM和碳利润比联合压力测试供应链与金融系统，量化碳定价引发的直接损失及违约级联放大效应。

2025-02-25q-fin.GN

Characterization of the community structure in a large-scale production network in Japan

Inter-firm organizations, which play a driving role in the economy of a country, can be represented in the form of a customer-supplier network. Such a network exhibits a heavy-tailed degree distribution, disassortative mixing and a prominent community structure. We analyze a large-scale data set of customer-supplier relationships containing data from one million Japanese firms. Using a directed network framework, we show that the production network exhibits the characteristics listed above. We conduct detailed investigations to characterize the communities in the network. The topology within s…

2018-09-18physics.data-anphysics.soc-phq-fin.GN

Scaling behavior in economics: I. Empirical results for company growth

We address the question of the growth of firm size. To this end, we analyze the Compustat data base comprising all publicly-traded United States manufacturing firms within the years 1974-1993. We find that the distribution of firm sizes remains stable for the 20 years we study, i.e., the mean value and standard deviation remain approximately constant. We study the distribution of sizes of the ``new'' companies in each year and find it to be well approximated by a log-normal. We find (i) the distribution of the logarithm of the growth rates, for a fixed growth period of one year, and for compan…

1997-02-10cond-mat.stat-mechq-fin.GN