在棒球比赛中得分20分或更多的模型
Building a model for scoring 20 or more runs in a baseball game
摘要:
我们多久能期望一个美国职业棒球大联盟球队在一场比赛中得到至少20分?自1901年以来,在美国和国家联盟的常规赛中,在一场比赛中得分至少20分的结果已经发生了224次。每个结果都被建模为泊松过程;其中一个事件的发生时间不会影响下一个未来事件的发生。使用各种分布,生成事件的概率,进行拟合优度测试,并提供对未来事件的预测。采用统计软件包R进行分析。
英文摘要:
How often can we expect a Major League Baseball team to score at least 20 runs in a single game? Considered a rare event in baseball, the outcome of scoring at least 20 runs in a game has occurred 224 times during regular season games since 1901 in the American and National Leagues. Each outcome is modeled as a Poisson process; the time of occurrence of one of these events does not affect the next future occurrence. Using various distributions, probabilities of events are generated, goodness-of-fit tests are conducted, and predictions of future events are offered. The statistical package R is employed for analysis.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。