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arXiv 1007.48682010-07-28cs.AI

Predicting Suicide Attacks: A Fuzzy Soft Set Approach

National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST)（国立科技大学（NUST））

Athar Kharal

备注：: Submitted manuscript

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This paper models a decision support system to predict the occurance of suicide attack in a given collection of cities. The system comprises two parts. First part analyzes and identifies the factors which affect the prediction. Admitting incomplete information and use of linguistic terms by experts, as two characteristic features of this peculiar prediction problem we exploit the Theory of Fuzzy Soft Sets. Hence the Part 2 of the model is an algorithm vz. FSP which takes the assessment of factors given in Part 1 as its input and produces a possibility profile of cities likely to receive the accident. The algorithm is of O(2^n) complexity. It has been illustrated by an example solved in detail. Simulation results for the algorithm have been presented which give insight into the strengths and weaknesses of FSP. Three different decision making measures have been simulated and compared in our discussion.

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