农村社区活动动态的双重模型
Double Modelling of the Dynamic of Activities in Rural Municipalities
摘要：
在一个选定的领土上，土地使用选择和活动的普遍性取决于受分析区特征限制的个人偏好：人口密度、土壤特性、城市化水平和其他类似因素可以促使个人对其职业作出不同的决定。可以用不同的方法来描述土地利用变化、占用流行率及其相互关系。在本文中，我们描述了两种不同的方法：代理为基础的模型，集中在个人的选择和一个聚合模型描述的活动流行的演变耦合微分方程。我们使用和比较这两个模型来分析地域限制的影响，如在确定的部门缺乏就业机会，对可能的活动流行情况。
英文摘要：
Land use choices and activity prevalence in a selected territory are determined by individual preferences constrained by the characteristic of the analysed zone: population density, soil properties, urbanization level and other similar factors can drive individuals to make different kind of decisions about their occupations. Different approaches can be used to describe land use change, occupation prevalence and their reciprocal inter-relation. In this paper we describe two different kinds of approaches: an agent based model, centred on individual choices and an aggregated model describing the evolution of activity prevalence in terms of coupled differential equation. We use and we compare the two models to analyse the effect of territorial constraints, like the lack of employment in determined sectors, on the possible activity prevalence scenarios.
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