arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 0810.3591astro-ph
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从一个周期到下一个周期,低阶p模式频率是可预测的吗?

Are low-degree p mode frequencies predictable from one cycle to the next?

A. M. Broomhall, W. J. Chaplin, Y. Elsworth, R. New, G. A. Verner

摘要:

伯明翰太阳振荡网络(BiSON)已经收集了30多年的数据,因此观测跨越了近三个11年的太阳活动周期。这使我们能够解决有关太阳周期及其对太阳振荡的影响的重要问题,例如:从一个周期到下一个周期的声学行为有多一致?我们已经使用了从一个太阳活动周期(周期22)的BiSON数据中观察到的p模式频率来预测在下一个活动周期(周期23)中观察到的模式频率。当使用短的108d时间序列进行预测时,观察到预测频率的一些偏差。我们还发现,预测的准确性取决于使用哪种活动代理进行预测以及相关时间序列的长度。

英文摘要:

The Birmingham Solar-Oscillations Network (BiSON) has been collecting data for over 30yrs and so observations span nearly three 11yr solar activity cycles. This allows us to address important questions concerning the solar cycle and its effect on solar oscillations, such as: how consistent is the acoustic behaviour from one cycle to the next? We have used the p-mode frequencies observed in BiSON data from one solar activity cycle (cycle 22) to predict the mode frequencies that were observed in the next activity cycle (cycle 23). Some bias in the predicted frequencies was observed when short 108d time series were used to make the predictions. We also found that the accuracy of the predictions was dependent on which activity proxy was used to make the predictions and on the length of the relevant time series.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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