战略决策建模中的问题
Issues in Strategic Decision Modelling
AI总结：
本文探讨传统战略规划建模的局限，提出引入实物期权方法以应对当今世界日益增长的不确定性。
摘要：
电子表格模型是战略规划的宝贵工具。模型帮助关键决策者建立对复杂决策的共同概念性理解，识别敏感性因素并测试管理情景。不同的建模方法本身就是专业领域。模型开发可能繁重、昂贵、耗时，且常常令人困惑。它也是一个迭代过程，其中所需的努力、时间和数据的真实规模往往直到过程深入后才被充分理解。本文探讨了组织中常用的战略规划建模传统方法，并考虑了实物期权方法的应用，以匹配并受益于当今快速变化世界中日益增加的不确定性。
英文摘要：
[Spreadsheet] Models are invaluable tools for strategic planning. Models help key decision makers develop a shared conceptual understanding of complex decisions, identify sensitivity factors and test management scenarios. Different modelling approaches are specialist areas in themselves. Model development can be onerous, expensive, time consuming, and often bewildering. It is also an iterative process where the true magnitude of the effort, time and data required is often not fully understood until well into the process. This paper explores the traditional approaches to strategic planning modelling commonly used in organisations and considers the application of a real-options approach to match and benefit from the increasing uncertainty in today's rapidly changing world.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
