使用QBO预测袭击美国的飓风数量
Using the QBO to predict the number of hurricanes hitting the U.S
摘要：
对QBO和大西洋飓风数量之间关系的简单研究表明，QBO并不是一个特别有用的指数，可以帮助预测五年时间尺度上的飓风数量。结果表明，在赤道平流层中，东风之后的飓风数量与西风之后的飓风数量几乎没有差别。考虑到这一点，人们可以合理地使用飓风的平均数量来代替使用QBO来做出更好的预测，这里也简单地证明了这一点。
英文摘要：
A simple study of the relationship between the QBO and the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic, both in the Basin and hitting the U.S. coastline, demonstrates that the QBO is not a particularly useful index to help predict hurricane numbers on five-year time scales. It is shown that there is very little difference between the number of hurricanes following easterly winds in the equatorial stratosphere and the number that follow westerly winds. Given this it is reasonable one would make better predictions just using the mean number of hurricanes in lieu of using the QBO and this is also simply demonstrated here.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
