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arXiv 0707.2113math.STmath.PRstat.MEstat.TH
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二项参数估计最小样本量的精确计算

Exact Computation of Minimum Sample Size for Estimation of Binomial Parameters

Xinjia Chen

摘要:

人们普遍认为,在规定的误差幅度和置信水平下,准确确定用于估计二项式参数的最小样本量是一项"不可能的任务“。在本文中,我们调查这样一个非常古老,但也非常重要的问题,并证明,困难获得精确解不是不可逾越的。与经典的基于中心极限定理的近似样本量方法不同,我们提出了一种新的计算最小样本量的方法,该方法不需要任何近似。此外,我们的方法克服了现有的严格的样本量的方法来自伯努利定理或Barnoff界的保守性。我们的计算机器由两个基本成分组成。首先,我们证明了关于一个区间内有界的二项式参数的覆盖概率的最小值是在一个由有限多个二项式参数值组成的离散集上得到的。这允许将覆盖概率的无限多个评估减少到有限多个评估。其次,递归定界技术的发展,以进一步提高计算效率。

英文摘要:

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such a very old but also extremely important problem and demonstrate that the difficulty for obtaining the exact solution is not insurmountable. Unlike the classical approximate sample size method based on the central limit theorem, we develop a new approach for computing the minimum sample size that does not require any approximation. Moreover, our approach overcomes the conservatism of existing rigorous sample size methods derived from Bernoulli's theorem or Chernoff bounds. Our computational machinery consists of two essential ingredients. First, we prove that the minimum of coverage probability with respect to a binomial parameter bounded in an interval is attained at a discrete set of finite many values of the binomial parameter. This allows for reducing infinite many evaluations of coverage probability to finite many evaluations. Second, a recursive bounding technique is developed to further improve the efficiency of computation.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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