巴勒斯坦领土人口变化模拟
Simulation of Demographic Change in Palestinian Territories
摘要：
死亡率、出生率和退休率在人口变化中起着重要作用。在大多数情况下，死亡率在过去一个世纪下降，但生育率没有明显下降，这导致人口增长显著增加。在许多贫穷国家，如巴勒斯坦领土，出生人数下降，预期寿命增加。在这篇文章中，我们专注于测量，分析和推断的年龄结构在巴勒斯坦几十年前到未来。设计了一个Fortran程序，并用于模拟和分析我们的统计数据。这项关于巴勒斯坦人口变化的研究表明，巴勒斯坦人今后将面临问题，因为最强壮的年龄组群是60岁以上的人。因此，我们建议提高退休年龄和妇女就业。
英文摘要：
Mortality, birth rates and retirement play a major role in demographic changes. In most cases, mortality rates decreased in the past century without noticeable decrease in fertility rates, this leads to a significant increase in population growth. In many poor countries like Palestinian territories the number of births has fallen and the life expectancy increased. In this article we concentrate on measuring, analyzing and extrapolating the age structure in Palestine a few decades ago into future. A Fortran program has been designed and used for the simulation and analysis of our statistical data. This study of demographic change in Palestine has shown that Palestinians will have in future problems as the strongest age cohorts are the above-60-year olds. We therefore recommend the increase of both the retirement age and women employment.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
