Many decision-support settings require systems that adapt to individual users, but evaluation data for this problem remain limited. Existing benchmarks for user understanding often rely on simulated users or model-generated behavior, even though recent work cautions that model-based simulations can diverge systematically from human behavior. We introduce \textsc{BehaviorBench}, a benchmark for evaluating personalized decision modeling from real-world behavioral traces. \textsc{BehaviorBench} reconstructs wallet-level decision histories from observed public prediction-market and on-chain records, and organizes them into two complementary task layers: \emph{Belief prediction}, which predicts a user's final revealed stance and confidence in a market, and \emph{Trade prediction}, which predicts the direction and amount of individual transactions. Across 2,000 evaluation wallets, the benchmark contains 141,445 Belief instances and 1,485,972 Trade instances, with disjoint support pools for retrieval-based evaluation. We evaluate frontier and open-weight generative models under four history interfaces: no personalization, direct recent history, generated user profiles, and retrieved support-wallet evidence. Personalization improves Belief prediction more consistently than Trade prediction, model rankings change across task layers and metrics, and different history interfaces expose different failure modes. \textsc{BehaviorBench} provides an evaluation setting for studying whether personalized methods can use real-world behavioral evidence rather than simulated users alone.

Alternatives to soil-based horticulture, such as hydroponics, have been developed to respond to food distribution concerns for dense urban centers. A new system was developed to track an individual lettuce plant's growth in a hydroponic environment, utilizing streams of measured information and available models to continuously update the growth trajectory estimates for a plant. These "digital twin" models were integrated into an operating hydroponic greenhouse, with custom horticultural and sensor hardware to grow and measure relevant information. To aid in updating model parameters, plant yield was continuously measured with a custom neural network, using RGB-D images of the plants as an input. The network, trained on a collected dataset of 1300 images, was able to estimate mass within 1.5 g of the ground-truth value. After integration into the custom system, digital twin growth projections could approximate future yield between one and four days in the future, maintaining around a 2 g forecasting error.

Watershed networks exhibit convergent topologies in which multiple tributaries merge into downstream channels,integrating diverse upstream hydrological processes. In ungauged basins, the absence of direct observations increases uncertainty and limits the ability to anticipate extreme events. This study evaluates whether an encoder-only Transformer provides an advantage over an LSTM for upstream streamflow inference under limited hydrologic information, using retrospective simulations from the NOAA National Water Model (NWM). Across both upstream-only and combined configurations, the LSTM showed stronger overall performance than the Transformer model across the two configurations. Incorporating downstream information further boosted performance for all models, increasing median NNSE by more than 60%. Rather than treating this as a leaderboard-style comparison, we interpret the experiments as a test of architectural inductive bias for hydrologic sequence inference. The results indicate that recurrent memory remains better aligned with this upstream reconstruction task than an encoder-only Transformer, while downstream hydrologic context provides a strong auxiliary constraint that substantially improves prediction skill across architectures

Large machine learning models benefit substantially from multimodal inputs that provide a complementary view of the same example. We introduce QUIVER (QUantum-Informed Views for Enhanced Representations, a paradigm that enriches classical data-driven features with a quantum Fisher view: a geometrically motivated, basis-independent summary of higher-order correlations captured by a variational quantum circuit (VQC) trained to perform the same task. Unlike classical feature augmentation, the quantum Fisher information matrix encodes the intrinsic geometry of the learned quantum state manifold. While this feature map, motivated by quantum information theory, is ordinarily non-trivial to model classically, it can surface statistical structure that additional classical data or model capacity finds difficult to learn. This makes the quantum Fisher view a genuinely complementary modality rather than a redundant one. We demonstrate that QUIVER improves standard performance metrics on two benchmark datasets from very different fields: QM9 for predicting molecule properties, and JetClass for predicting jet flavor at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). The core contribution, however, is domain-agnostic: the quantum Fisher view can be fused into a broad class of model architectures via targeted modifications to the base architecture, to incorporate information about the quantum geometry of the problem. These results demonstrate that quantum-geometric features, extracted from simulated variational circuits, can deliver measurable value for standard machine learning tasks, well before the advent of fault-tolerant quantum hardware.

The KV-cache is the right memory for datacenters but the wrong memory for robots. Datacenter inference batches many short requests and resets them, amortizing an attention cache across a crowd. Embodied agents instead run one long, non-resetting episode on bandwidth-limited edge hardware, where high-bandwidth memory and flash are scarce, flash has finite write endurance, and memory writes rather than compute can become the binding constraint. AURA-Mem (Action-Utility Recurrent Adaptive Memory) targets this regime. It wraps a frozen vision-language-action backbone with a constant-size recurrent memory and a learned gate that writes only when the current observation would change the next action: memory that knows when to stay silent. Unlike reconstruction-based memory, the gate is trained directly against a closed-loop action-error signal. Its inference state is fixed at 4,224 bytes regardless of horizon, while a KV-cache grows to 6,061 times larger at 100,000 steps. On a controlled synthetic benchmark, AURA-Mem matches the best O(1) baseline in accuracy while using 5.19-6.13 times fewer writes, and up to 9.19 times fewer writes on easier configurations. Budget-matched random and periodic schedules do not recover this gain, isolating the benefit to the action-surprise signal. On a trained closed-loop OpenVLA-OFT 7B panel on LIBERO-Long (n=60 episodes per arm), the gate does not hurt success: AURA-Mem matches the ungated base policy (0.233) and slightly exceeds an always-write KV arm (0.217), while using 7.0 times fewer writes and constant memory. We also instantiate an approximate-information-state value-loss bound as a methodology demonstration; at this scale, the bound is vacuous rather than a guarantee.

Vision-language models (VLMs) for autonomous driving have shown promising performance, but their ability to handle region-specific traffic rules remains underexplored, raising uncertainties about their deployment across diverse global settings. We therefore introduce GeoDrive-Bench, a novel benchmark that enables the systematic investigation of VLMs' geo-culturally grounded driving reasoning. We curated 5,053 human-validated multiple-choice QA pairs across six countries covering diverse driving cultures. Specifically, we emphasize four driving tasks: perception, prediction, planning, and region reasoning. Each question requires models to infer the correct driving behavior from visual evidence and local traffic conventions without explicit country labels. Beyond evaluation, we further design a distillation algorithm that injects region-specific traffic-rule knowledge into the internal representations of VLMs, enabling models to better align visual scene understanding with local driving policies. Experiments on nine state-of-the-art VLMs show substantial performance variations across geo-driving cultures for each task, while our proposed baseline models exhibit improved geo-cultural reasoning across regions. These results suggest that current VLMs still lack robust region-aware driving intelligence and highlight GeoDrive-Bench as a diagnostic and training-oriented testbed for deployable autonomous driving foundation models.

Kalman filtering performance is highly sensitive to model mismatch and noise covariance tuning. Learning-based approaches address these limitations but typically rely on supervised training with large datasets and do not produce consistent uncertainty estimates. In this paper, we propose a self-supervised Hybrid Adaptive Kalman Filter that learns structured corrections to system dynamics and process noise covariance from measurements alone while preserving the probabilistic structure of the filter. This allows the innovation likelihood to be computed and subsequently used for model classification via generalized Bayesian inference. Experimental results on real-world and simulated datasets demonstrate improved estimation accuracy and statistical consistency as well as robust classification performance across both low-data and large-data scenarios.

Model dimension ($d_{model}$) is a fundamental hyperparameter in transformer language models, yet its role in setting the geometric limits of feature representation remains under-explored. Grounded in the Linear Representation and Superposition Hypotheses - which propose that models encode features as near-orthogonal directions in latent space - we develop a framework for estimating how many such directions a model can support. We first establish the embedding matrix as a measurable proxy for near-orthogonality constraints across the latent space: the boundary between meaningful token relationships and incidental similarity in the pairwise cosine similarity distribution gives a concrete estimate of the model's accepted deviation $\varepsilon$ from perfect orthogonality. Applying this metric across dozens of open-source models reveals two classes: models with high $\varepsilon$ whose embeddings lack near-orthogonal structure, and models with low $\varepsilon$ that maintain it. We then show that the standard Johnson-Lindenstrauss lemma greatly underestimates the packing efficiency of trained representations, and derive an adjusted capacity formula in which the number of near-orthogonal directions depends on the ratio of vectors to dimensions ($k/d$) rather than the raw count - a single modification that cuts prediction error by two orders of magnitude with no extra parameters. Combining these results, we define representational capacity as an upper bound on the number of distinguishable directions available for features and embeddings in a model's latent space. Capacity is exponentially sensitive to $\varepsilon$, and larger models favor tighter orthogonality constraints over maximizing raw capacity - a pattern compatible with several explanations (a stability-capacity trade-off, a ceiling on usable concepts, or confounds with model scale) that we leave to future work.

Satellite-derived bathymetry (SDB) from multispectral imagery is cost-effective but scales poorly across regions, especially in optically complex coastal environments. We evaluate machine learning and deep learning for transferable SDB over the 0-20 m depth range using Sentinel-2 imagery. A Random Forest baseline and four CNNs (ResNet-50, ResNet-101, EfficientNet-B4, ConvNeXt-Large) are trained on Pratas Island and selected Great Barrier Reef regions, then evaluated on spatially independent intra- and cross-regional test areas. Preserving spatial continuity during training, by keeping contiguous reef blocks rather than random patches, is the single most impactful design choice; we further introduce a Smooth Weight Function (SWF)-weighted RMSE loss that emphasizes near-surface depths. With these choices, intra-regional RMSE ranges from 1.15 to 1.92 m over 0-20 m and is as low as 0.26 m for depths <= 3 m. Random Forest degrades sharply under cross-regional transfer (RMSE 1.53 m -> 2.99-3.78 m), while the deep models stay more robust (2.46-2.98 m). On the public MagicBathyNet aerial-RGB benchmark (0-16 m) the proposed networks reach 0.19-0.22 m RMSE, outperforming a U-Net baseline and a task-specific transformer architecture with substantially fewer parameters. We further exploit multi-temporal repeat imagery: training on it broadens diversity, and median-aggregating predictions across passes at inference reduces noise from changing sun angles, atmospheric conditions, water properties, and tides. We release optimized architectures and pretrained weights to enable scalable transfer to new sites.

Knowledge of real-time road slipperiness, or even better, a refined estimate of peak grip potential, is a critical input for vehicle warning and intervention control systems. Typically, friction is estimated through dynamics-based recursive estimators by calculating the slip slope; however, its efficacy is heavily constrained by the vehicle dynamic scenario. When the vehicle is cruising and there is little to no slip, these methods become ineffective due to the inability of present-day production-grade sensors, such as wheel speed sensors, and methods to either measure or accurately estimate micro slip, which is crucial for distinguishing different surfaces. To address this challenge, the correlation between vehicle signals and road surface condition during cruising needs to be uncovered using machine learning. In this paper, a feature-based framework and an end-to-end data-driven framework are used to correlate the statistics of vehicle dynamics behavior with the condition of the road surface and perform binary classification into grip, dry or damp, and slip, snow or ice, conditions. A sliding-window approach is adopted to batch a short buffered window of wheel speeds, wheel torques, longitudinal acceleration, steering angle, and yaw rate, which are fed into a machine learning module for predicting the road state. Validation results on public-road data show scenarios where the data-driven method identifies the road surface correctly even during cruising, showing promise for accurate data-driven friction-related state estimators in the field of tire and vehicle dynamics.

Personalization is a crucial capability of modern language agents. However, current research primarily positions personalized agents as passive responders to user preferences, limiting their ability to interact with users and provide suggestions or guidance proactively. To systematically evaluate such proactive personalization in realistic interactions, we propose $Ψ$-Bench, a benchmark for assessing LLMs' ability to influence realistic users through conversation. We design three real-world interaction scenarios that involve persuasion in $Ψ$-Bench, and endow simulated clients with personal characteristics through explicit user profiles derived from dialogue histories. We evaluate 10 frontier LLMs on $Ψ$-Bench and find that while most models can produce coherent and reasonable arguments, even state-of-the-art models still leave considerable room for improvement in persuasion. We also find that providing access to client profiles yields an average performance gain of 18.24\%, highlighting the importance of user-specific information for effective persuasion. Overall, our work highlights persona-sensitive influencing as a challenging yet practical direction for evaluating and developing more proactive personalized LLM agents. Codes are available at: https://github.com/Hanpx20/Psi-Bench.

Video world models are a foundational generative technology for embodied AI and the Metaverse, yet existing approaches are inherently limited to a single agent observing from a single perspective. Extending these models to multi-agent settings introduces two critical challenges: data scarcity (coordinated multi-view recordings are prohibitively expensive to collect for general open-domain scenarios) and world state alignment (independently generated video streams cannot ensure that shared physical environments and events evolve consistently across views). To address these challenges, we propose MetaWorld, a novel framework that scales multi-agent video world models to open-domain environments directly from single-view videos. First, we introduce Monocular World-State Unrolling (MWSU) to explicitly decompose monocular footage into the camera operator's ego-motion and the visible subject's spatial trajectory. This camera-trajectory decomposition naturally extracts synchronized multi-agent motion data within a shared 3D space, completely bypassing the need for multi-camera setups. Second, for precise visual control, we develop the Subject-Aware World Generator to enable appearance-driven simulation conditioned on per-agent identity images. Finally, to ensure both views are grounded in the identical physical reality, we propose World-State Alignment, a per-frame inter-branch cross-attention mechanism inserted at every transformer layer of the video DiT. By jointly synchronizing the denoising process, WSA enforces both static geometric consistency and dynamic motion consistency, encouraging that the shared 3D environment and physical events remain well-aligned across both egocentric views. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MetaWorld achieves superior cross-view consistency and identity fidelity, establishing a highly scalable, physics-driven paradigm for multi-agent video world modeling.

Vision-language-action models (VLAs) are promising general-purpose robot policies, but adapting them to new tasks typically requires costly task-specific teleoperation data. As an alternative, we study one-shot demo-conditioned VLAs, where a robot policy is conditioned on a single demonstration video of an unseen task. We find that existing end-to-end approaches often struggle when successful execution requires precisely localizing small target regions. To address this limitation, we propose SeeTraceAct, a demo-conditioned VLA framework that encourages precise spatial grounding through visibility-aware prediction of future end-effector traces. To enable reproducible evaluation with cross-embodiment demonstrations, we introduce and release RoboCasa-DC, a demo-conditioned extension of RoboCasa with episode-paired humanoid videos. Experiments on RoboCasa-DC and a real-world benchmark, where a Franka Panda arm is conditioned on human demonstrations, show that SeeTraceAct outperforms baselines, achieving the best success rate across all four RoboCasa-DC settings and improving real-world average success by 12.5 percentage points.

Spatial reasoning is fundamental to robotics, autonomy, and embodied AI, yet modern vision-language models (VLMs) remain unreliable on metric distance queries. A common assumption is that consistent predictions across viewpoints reflect geometric grounding. We test this assumption and find the opposite: leading VLMs often produce view-invariant and consistent answers even when those answers are incorrect, indicating weak coupling between predictions and viewpoint-specific visual evidence. We introduce \textbf{ViewDiag}, a controlled multi-view evaluation protocol built from Hypersim, ScanNet, and KITTI360, comprising 176 object-pair tracks across 80 scenes with 2--10 views per track. The protocol evaluates models along three axes: metric accuracy, distributional concentration, and a latent feature probe for internal collapse that distinguishes decision collapse from representation collapse. Across diverse models, we observe a consistent pattern of high prediction stability paired with substantial error, clustering in a regime characterized by strong consistency but low accuracy. \noindent These results challenge the common use of cross-view consistency as a proxy for geometric understanding. Instead, we show that stable predictions may reflect prior-driven collapse rather than evidence-sensitive reasoning. ViewDiag provides a controlled benchmark and diagnostic framework for evaluating spatial VLMs beyond accuracy alone. The code and data can be found \href{https://github.com/SDivakarBhat/Consistent_Yet_Wrong.git}{here}

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in sustainability-related decision support, reporting, and public communication, yet little systematic evidence exists on the environmental attitudes embedded in their outputs. This paper develops a benchmark for evaluating environmental cognition, affect, and behavioural recommendations in LLMs and applies it to 31 widely used proprietary and open-weight models. Drawing on questions from established environmental awareness surveys and additional sustainability-related behavioural measures, we compare LLM responses 1) among models and 2) between models and human survey benchmarks from Germany. We assess their robustness across prompting conditions. We find that many LLMs align more closely with environmentally progressive attitudes than the average survey respondent, exhibiting higher levels of environmental affect and cognition and recommending behaviours associated with substantial potential CO2 reductions. At the same time, we observe no systematic relationship between sustainability-oriented responses and model origin, size, or release context. However, models exhibit contextual sensitivity, controlled by persona-based prompting and show sycophantic shifts mirroring user-specified ideological positions, which raises concerns about steerability and normative reliability in real-world deployments. Our findings provide a reusable evaluation framework for assessing sustainability-related value alignment in LLMs and highlight the importance of governance, transparency, and critical oversight as AI systems become increasingly embedded in sustainability transformations and public decision-making.

Audio tokenizers serve as the discrete interface between continuous audio and Audio Language Models (ALMs), but existing tokenizers often struggle to support both understanding and generation. Reconstruction-oriented codecs preserve acoustic fidelity but lack rich semantics, while semantic-aware tokenizers typically rely on separate semantic and acoustic streams, introducing redundancy or misalignment. We propose \textbf{EntangleCodec}, a unified discrete audio tokenizer that learns caption-aligned semantic-acoustic representations before quantization. By aligning audio with rich captions rather than ASR transcripts, EntangleCodec captures linguistic content, speaker identity, emotion, prosody, and acoustic scenes within a compact token stream. A flow-matching diffusion decoder further enables high-quality reconstruction across speech, music, and general audio. EntangleCodec achieves reconstruction quality competitive with specialized codecs, outperforms all codec-based baselines on audio understanding by up to \textbf{+7.4\%} on MMAR, and supports both TTS and TTA generation in a unified framework. Furthermore, EntangleCodec-based audio language models demonstrate strong scaling behavior: even at \textit{0.6B} parameters, the model surpasses specialized continuous-representation LLMs with over \textit{13B} parameters across three benchmarks using \textbf{22$\times$} fewer parameters; scaling to \textit{8B} further establishes new state-of-the-art results on MMAR, highlighting that representation quality is as critical as model scale in audio language modeling. Code and model weights are available at https://github.com/luckyerr/EntangleCodec.

Audio-visual speaker tracking aims to localize and track active speakers by leveraging auditory and visual cues, enabling fine-grained, human-centric scene understanding. This capability is essential for real-world applications such as intelligent video editing, surveillance, and human-computer interaction. However, existing datasets are largely limited to simple or homogeneous audio-visual scenes with coarse annotations. Such oversimplified settings bias evaluation toward static audio-visual co-occurrence, rather than rigorously assessing robust spatiotemporal modeling and cross-modal reasoning in complex, dynamic scenes. To address these limitations, we introduce AVTrack, a human-centric audio-visual instance segmentation (AVIS) dataset designed for dynamic real-world scenarios. AVTrack features diverse and challenging conditions, including camera motion, visual occlusions, and position changes. Evaluations of representative AVIS methods on AVTrack reveal substantial performance degradation, establishing AVTrack as a challenging benchmark for robust human-centric audio-visual scene understanding in complex environments. We further provide a simple yet effective baseline to facilitate future research. Project website: https://FudanCVL.github.io/AVTrack/

Sparse causal attention is usually described by sequence locality: nearby tokens should remain easy to access, while distant tokens may be dropped to reduce cost. This paper studies a mismatch between sequence locality and attention-graph reachability. In fixed block causal attention, two adjacent tokens can be disconnected in the attention graph at every depth. We formalize this boundary artifact through structural dependency sets: if every attention layer uses the same fixed block causal mask and all remaining operations are positionwise, a target representation can depend only on tokens in its own block prefix. This yields an architecture-level boundary-copy separation for a constructed K-way boundary-copy distribution, with top-1 accuracy upper bound 1/K and expected cross-entropy lower bound log K. We then derive phase-conditioned coverage functions showing that reachability depends on both source-target distance and the target's offset within its block. These coverage laws predict when a sparse pattern should fail, when a repair can help, and why sliding-window attention and boundary repair are not interchangeable. Boundary Bridge Attention is treated as a constructive witness: it preserves the fixed block path and adds zero-additional-parameter auxiliary causal edges near block boundaries using shared projections. Controlled 1024-token experiments show that gains concentrate in coverage-aligned diagnostics. As secondary external-validity evidence, a fixed-checkpoint 8K-token Qwen2.5-7B probe shows the same coverage-incomparability pattern. The contribution is a theory-guided diagnostic framework for locality-reachability mismatch in block-sparse causal attention, together with phase-conditioned coverage analysis and a minimal constructive repair.

Multimodal systems often benefit from combining information across language, sound, and visual streams, but this benefit is not guaranteed. A modality that is useful for one input may become distracting for another, and local feature responses within the same modality can disagree with evidence from other sources. This work investigates how to adjust multimodal representations before they are merged by a downstream predictor. We develop a compact calibration module that compares each modality with the others at the summary level, extracts cues of cross-source support and conflict, and converts these cues into instance-wise and dimension-wise modulation signals. The calibration is applied to the original modality features rather than to already fused representations, enabling the model to suppress misleading components, preserve weak but useful evidence, and emphasize responses that are better supported by the current multimodal context. The module is designed as a plug-in component and can be attached to different fusion backbones without changing their prediction heads. Across five benchmarks covering sentiment understanding, action recognition, audio-visual event detection, and audio-visual emotion classification, the proposed pre-combination calibration strategy improves performance under both sequence-based and convolutional fusion settings. Additional analyses under modality removal, synthetic corruption, training dynamics, and feature-level visualization show that calibrating signals before fusion can reduce interference from unreliable modalities and produce more stable multimodal optimization.

Motion planning in dynamic environments requires robots to continuously adapt their paths in response to environmental changes for safe and uninterrupted navigation. While many surveys have reviewed planning in static settings, systematic reviews focused on dynamic environments remain limited. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of 138 works, primarily published between 2015 and 2025, spanning both classical and learning-based approaches. The motion planning methods are grouped into five categories based on the concepts of sampling, graph search, model predictive control, learning, and additional classical local planning approaches, including velocity obstacles, potential fields and dynamic windows. The learning techniques include supervised learning and reinforcement learning. We also discuss the role of dynamic perception in motion planning, covering techniques for detecting and modeling moving obstacles using cameras, LiDAR, and event-based sensors. The survey analyzes the principles, strengths, and limitations of each method, with particular attention to challenges unique to dynamic environments, such as prediction uncertainty, human-robot interaction, and the freezing robot problem. The survey provides researchers with a structured understanding of motion planning methods in dynamic environments.

Graphs have been used to enhance large language models (LLMs) for structured reasoning, mostly as external knowledge sources are provided to models at test time. In this paper, we take a different view: the value of graphs for LLMs lie not only in supplying information, but also in organizing reasoning. Inspired by how humans use graph-structured mind maps to organize branching and converging thoughts, we ask whether graphs can serve as an internal form of reasoning assistance. We study this question on multi-hop question answering tasks, where teacher-provided reasoning traces are rewritten as graph mind maps and used to guide a student model. Our experiments reveal a clear modality gap. When graph structures are flattened into text, their benefits become limited once direct answer hints are removed. Under this abstract guidance setting, both reasoning efficiency and answer quality degrade substantially. In contrast, visual graph guidance remains effective without direct answer clues, and its advantage persists after supervised fine-tuning and KL-based distillation. The above findings support the claim that graphs should be studied not only as external knowledge structures for LLMs, but also as visual scaffolds for organizing reasoning.

Machine learning predictors have become essential tools for guiding automated decision making. However, a major misalignment persists: predictive models are typically optimized in terms of standard statistical metrics in isolation from the algorithmic tasks they inform. We highlight this incongruity in the high-stakes domain of organ allocation by demonstrating that any algorithm relying on (even highly accurate) survival predictors optimized for standard metrics -- such as the Concordance index (C-index) -- can yield arbitrarily poor outcomes when used for allocation, failing to guarantee utility better than a uniform random selection. To bridge the gap between survival analysis and policy optimization, we introduce a decision-focused learning approach based on optimizing normalized discounted cumulative gain (NDCG), a mainstay metric in information retrieval. We establish the utility of NDCG in survival analysis by proving that it translates to guarantees on the performance of allocation. Empirically, we propose a bootstrapping approach to optimize the NDCG of existing survival models. Unlike prior work, we also address the challenge of right censorship when evaluating ranking. On historical heart transplant data from the US, our method dramatically boosts the NDCG of baseline models by 50-100%, which translates to tens of thousands of additional life years gained annually when deployed for transplant allocation. We anticipate that our framework will find broader applications in decision making with predictions.

Recent advances in machine learning have produced probabilistic weather forecasting models comparable to state-of-the-art numerical weather predictors. But no model consistently dominates spatio-temporally, and relative performance is highly context-dependent. This motivates adaptive methods for combining multiple forecasts to obtain improvements and robustness. While combined forecasts have been proposed in the literature, these are achieved either through supervised learning or through prediction with expert advice methods. We introduce AdaWeather, an adaptive framework that combines many probabilistic forecasts using both machine learning as well as mixture of experts to arrive at a unified improved probabilistic forecast. While traditional expert methods develop the regret bounds with respect to the best single expert in hindsight, we extend the algorithm and analysis to show our method has logarithmic regret compared to the best static mixture of experts in hindsight. Empirically, we focus on forecasting temperature, and observe improvements over existing methods.

Machine learning has accelerated quantum chemistry but is hindered by the prohibitive cost of generating high fidelity training data. Multifidelity machine learning (MFML) mitigates this overhead by systematically combining abundant low fidelity data with sparse high fidelity data. In spite of its success, standard MFML schemes rely on pre-defined scaling factors to determine sparse data ratio across fidelities, often generating redundant multifidelity data resulting in a loss of efficiency. Here, we introduce an adaptive on-the-fly multifidelity framework for machine learning that autonomously determines training dataset composition. By dynamically querying training samples at each fidelity, the algorithm saturates model accuracy at lower fidelities before moving up to more expensive reference calculations. We benchmark the novel adaptive-MFML across diverse chemical properties including the computational chemistry gold standard coupled cluster energies, and the more chemically challenging excitation energies. In our numerical experiments we show that our adaptive algorithm reduces data generation costs by up to a factor of 30 compared to single fidelity methods and improves upon standard MFML by up to a factor of 5. The mitigation of data redundancy establishes a high-accuracy low-cost pathway for sustainable cost-aware machine learning in quantum chemistry.

Multimodal data fusion involves integrating and analyzing information from multiple modalities to uncover latent correlations and complementary patterns, thereby enhancing data processing and decision-making. While existing methods for structured multimodal inputs are typically designed around specific tasks and assume fully observed modalities, real-world applications often suffer from uncertain or missing modality inputs due to various factors. Some traditional models overly emphasize local interactions within missing modalities, neglecting the global complementary cues embedded in multimodal representations. To overcome these limitations, we propose a Dynamic Multimodal Data Fusion model based on Contrastive Learning (CL-DMDF). CL-DMDF introduces a novel attention mechanism that operates across both feature and modality dimensions to compute reliable attention scores, effectively reflecting importance at each level. The CL-DMDF further incorporates an entity-centroid contrastive learning module that constructs centroid-based positive samples from entity features to enhance discriminative learning. Additionally, an adaptive fusion module is employed to improve the efficiency and accuracy of dynamic fusion strategies. Extensive experiments conducted on three datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the CL-DMDF across diverse multimodal fusion tasks.

This paper introduces an estimation and control framework for dynamic landing of multi-rotor uncrewed aerial vehicles on moving platforms. The proposed method integrates nonlinear model predictive control with a real-time minimum-jerk trajectory planner that enforces a prescribed touchdown time, enabling consistent timing during the terminal descent. To enhance robustness in the presence of time-varying sensing quality, we utilize an adaptive unscented kalman filter that updates the process and measurement noise statistics online. In addition, we provide a reference feasibility analysis showing that minimum-jerk references induce bounded thrust and torque commands under standard tracking hypotheses. The proposed framework is evaluated in simulation and hardware experiments, and it is shown to achieve repeatable landings and improved platform velocity prediction accuracy relative to EKF/UKF-based methods.

The standard generalization bounds assume that the training and deployment distributions are the same, or are static, and don't consider regime switching environments where the ratio of calm vs crisis states is different. This paper proposes a framework that generalizes regime-aware models by quantifying the extra risk due to regime composition mismatch, when distribution shifts are Markov-switching. We obtain an exact decomposition, separating regime mismatch from regime sensitivity; we extend the bound to beta-mixing data using the effective sample size corrected for the spectral gap; and we show a minimax lower bound for synthetic data and on 25 years of global equity indices. The proposed penalty is an ex post realized generalization gap, whereas the training-only estimator does not show significant correlation: the feature geometry of crises can be detected, but not the temporal arrival. Thus, the framework is not a forecast machine. Forecasting the composition of the future regime is an open question in the rare cases of regime change.

Interactive driving exposes a failure mode that is easy to miss in rule-aware autonomous-driving stacks: a hard-rule margin can be negative for an ego candidate even though a small lawful accommodation by a non-priority agent would restore feasibility. Existing rulebooks, shields, and reachability filters are strong at vetoing unsafe actions, while prediction-based planners model likely responses. Neither returns a runtime proof object that states which bounded multi-agent edit repairs the maneuver, who owns the edit, whether the request is right-of-way affordable, and what ego fallback remains if the request is not observed. We formulate this missing object as *interactive repair certification* and introduce *CARVE*, a prediction-free certificate layer over a finite lattice of ego-owned and agent-owned tactical operators. Agent-owned requests are admissible only inside \(B_j(s) = β(π_j)α_j^{\max}(s)\), a cooperation envelope that separates kinematic reachability from normative priority. The resulting certificate records the binding rule, repair category, repair set, responsibility-weighted cost split, and fallback. On 589 Lanelet2-geometry-grounded INTERACTION replay episodes, CARVE-Greedy accepts 98.64% of initially vetoed maneuvers and recovers 370/378 human-resolved false vetoes, while preserving 589/589 right-of-way respect, zero priority-agent false positives, and 400/400 negative-stress vetoes. We prove certificate soundness, structural right-of-way respect, exact finite-lattice minimality, fallback contingency, and blame-consistency conditions. CARVE does not predict or require another driver's compliance; it certifies whether a proposed interaction is bounded, attributable, and normatively admissible under declared assumptions.

Recent advances in neural song generation have enabled high-quality synthesis from lyrics and global textual prompts. However, most systems fail to model temporally varying attributes of songs, severely limiting fine-grained control over musical structure and dynamics. To address this, we propose SegTune, a Diffusion Transformer-based framework enabling structured and fine-grained controllability by allowing users or large language models (LLMs) to specify local musical descriptions aligned to song segments. These segment prompts are temporally broadcast to corresponding time windows, while global prompts ensure stylistic coherence. To support precise lyric-to-music alignment, we introduce an LLM-based duration predictor that autoregressively generates sentence-level timestamps in LyRiCs format. We further construct a large-scale data pipeline for high-quality song collection with aligned lyrics and prompts, and propose new metrics to evaluate segment alignment and vocal consistency. Experiments demonstrate that SegTune outperforms existing baselines in both musicality and controllability. Visit our project page (https://github.com/KlingAIResearch/SegTune) for codes and more generated songs.

We investigate whether open-source LLMs encode a linearly separable truthfulness signal in their hidden states, and at which network depth this signal is strongest. Across three $7$B--$8$B instruction-tuned models (Llama-3.1-8B, Mistral-7B, Qwen2.5-7B) loaded in $4$-bit NF4 quantization, we extract per-layer hidden states on four hallucination benchmarks (TruthfulQA, HaluEval-QA, FEVER, and a controlled synthetic set) and compare four detection approaches: linear and MLP probes, INSIDE EigenScore, self-consistency, and attention entropy. A linear probe on a single mid-network layer achieves $0.904$--$1.000$ AUROC on held-out splits, while sampling-based detectors do not exceed $0.541$ AUROC under the same protocol. The truthfulness signal is approximately linear: MLP probes rarely surpass linear probes by more than $0.01$ AUROC. Peak probing layers fall in a consistent band across model families on natural-language benchmarks -- blocks~$13$--$18$ of~$32$ for Llama and Mistral, and blocks~$19$--$25$ of~$28$ for Qwen. First-block attention entropy provides a complementary signal in knowledge-grounded settings ($0.866$--$0.941$ AUROC on HaluEval-QA) at no additional inference cost. The low discriminability of sampling methods under this protocol reflects a structural mismatch between paired-label evaluation and the information these methods access, rather than an inherent limitation of those methods. Code and data are released for full reproducibility on a single $8$\,GB GPU.