In the training data used by large language models (LLMs), the same latent concept is often presented in multiple distinct ways: the same facts appear in English and Swahili; many functions can be expressed in both Python and Haskell; we can express propositions in both formal and natural language. We show that LLMs can exhibit compartmentalization, where they fail to identify and share statistical strength between distinct presentations of unified concepts. In the worst case, LLMs simply learn parallel internal representations of each presentation of the concept, saturating model capacity with redundancies and decreasing sample efficiency with the number of such presentations. We also demonstrate that synthetic parallel data can fail to improve this despite being easily learned itself. Under this framework, we find that, for small models, early multilingual learning is nearly entirely compartmentalized. Finally, all interventions that we study exhibit a phase transition in which their effectiveness depends on the number of distinct presentations, suggesting that the language modeling objective may only inconsistently unify representations.

Sequential prediction is challenging in regimes of delayed disambiguation, where early observations are ambiguous and multiple latent explanations remain plausible until sufficient evidence accumulates. Standard approaches based on marginal inference struggle in this setting, either collapsing uncertainty prematurely or failing to recover once informative evidence arrives. We introduce EviTrack, a test-time inference framework that operates over latent trajectories rather than marginal states. EviTrack maintains a set of competing trajectory hypotheses and applies evidence- and likelihood-ratio-based selection to delay commitment until supported by data, drawing inspiration from hypothesis management in multiple hypothesis tracking and track-before-detect. To evaluate this setting, we construct a controlled synthetic benchmark with known latent ground truth that explicitly exhibits delayed disambiguation. At matched inference budget, EviTrack substantially outperforms sampling-based baselines, achieving faster post-disambiguation recovery. These results show that, in delayed disambiguation regimes, moderate trajectory-level selection is more effective than increasing sampling coverage, highlighting selection over sampling as a key principle for reliable sequential inference.

Muon is a matrix-aware optimizer that leverages Newton-Schulz (NS) iterations to enforce spectral gradient orthogonalization by driving all singular values of the momentum matrix toward 1. While this uniform spectral whitening enhances exploration and outperforms AdamW in LLM pretraining, we show it could lead to fundamental limitations beyond pretraining in two regimes: (i) cross-modality vision-language-action (VLA) training, where inherently low-rank action-module gradients cause amplification of noisy tail directions, and (ii) reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR), where low-SNR gradients and the need to preserve per-head specialization from prior training make whitening unstable. To address these challenges, we propose Pion, a drop-in replacement for Muon that preserves its computational efficiency while replacing uniform spectral whitening with a two-stage Promotion+Suppression mechanism, which we call the high-pass NS iteration. This design induces a sharp spectral high-pass effect, anchoring dominant singular values at 1 while suppressing noisy tail components toward 0, with controllable filter strength. To preserve pretrained per-head heterogeneity, Pion also supports a per-head mode that applies updates independently across attention heads via a simple reshape, at no extra cost. In VLA training on LIBERO and LIBERO-Plus, Pion consistently outperforms both baselines across l_1-regression (VLA-Adapter) and flow-matching (VLANeXt) architectures, e.g., reaching 100% success rate on LIBERO Object after 1,500 training steps with VLA-Adapter, vs. 97.0% for Muon and only 32.2% for AdamW. The advantage of Pion further extends to a real Franka Research 3 robot with a pi_0.5 backbone under the DROID setup on three grasp-and-place tasks. In RLVR post-training on Qwen3-1.7B/4B with GRPO and GMPO, Pion also outperforms AdamW on MATH and GSM8K while Muon collapses to zero.

Visual image reconstruction from functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is a fundamental task in brain decoding, providing a crucial pathway for understanding human perceptual mechanisms and developing advanced brain-computer interfaces (BCIs). However, most current methods simply flatten fMRI signals from localized visual cortices into one-dimensional (1D) vectors, mapping them directly into latent spaces such as that of Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (CLIP). This paradigm not only disrupts the inherent network topology of the brain-leading to limited neuroscientific interpretability-but also overlooks the synergistic contributions of other distributed functional networks in processing high-level visual semantics. To address these limitations, we propose FPED, a Functional-Network Prior-Guided Mixture of Experts (MoE) framework for interpretable brain decoding. FPED explicitly models different functional brain networks as specialized experts and employs adaptive routing to capture their complementary contributions to visual semantic understanding. Unlike conventional homogeneous decoding paradigms, our framework incorporates neurobiologically grounded priors to enable structured and interpretable network-level representation learning. Experimental results demonstrate that FPED achieves highly competitive semantic reconstruction performance with only 0.68B parameters. The learned routing dynamics reveal biologically meaningful correspondence between functional brain networks and modality-specific semantic processing, providing transparent neuroscientific interpretability. This suggests that brain network-aware expert modeling is a promising direction for bridging neural decoding and biologically inspired artificial intelligence.

LLMs deployed multilingually are often audited via English explanations for non-English inputs. We evaluate extractive explanations ''where the model identifies input token spans as evidence alongside a generated rationale'' and uncover a systematic trade-off: English-pivot explanations can achieve higher span agreement with human rationales while their evidence becomes less causally grounded in the model's prediction, as measured by both comprehensiveness and sufficiency. Across 3 tasks, 5~languages, and 2~multilingual LLM families, we find that English explanations frequently produce fluent but loosely anchored rationales, with comprehensiveness degrading by up to 5.7x relative to native-language conditions - even as task accuracy remains stable across settings. For socially nuanced classification, English pivots also fail to preserve pragmatic cues, reducing both faithfulness and span agreement. We recommend auditing explanations in the input language, reporting multi-faceted faithfulness metrics beyond lexical overlap, and treating English rationales as communication summaries rather than faithful decision traces.

Large language models can deceive by subtly manipulating truthful information -- omitting key facts, shifting focus, or obscuring meaning -- making such behavior difficult to detect. Existing black-box methods rely on coarse-grained judgments, offering limited interpretability and failing to pinpoint which facts were distorted and how. We introduce DECOR, a multi-agent framework grounded in Information Manipulation Theory for fine-grained auditing of strategic deception in LLM responses. DECOR decomposes input contexts into atomic informational units and scores each unit against the response across four dimensions of manipulation, producing interpretable manipulation profiles that are aggregated into a global deception index. We comprehensively evaluate DECOR on both single-turn and multi-turn deception detection benchmarks spanning real-world domains, and show that DECOR achieves state-of-the-art performance on both, outperforming competitive baselines. The framework generalizes across 15 frontier models, and ablation studies confirm the contribution of each key design component. Our findings demonstrate that fine-grained, theory-grounded auditing of information manipulation offers an effective and interpretable path for LLM deception detection.

Voting methods weighted by stakes are the fundamental governance paradigm in Proof-of-Stake (PoS) blockchains. Such a paradigm is known to be prone to power distortions: a few users possessing large stakes may completely control decision making, even without owning the totality of the stakes. We study this phenomenon through the lens of computational social choice, focusing on the extent of power imbalances in stake-weighted voting when power is quantified using the Penrose-Banzhaf power index. Our work presents both analytical and empirical contributions. Analytically, we demonstrate that while a perfect alignment between power and relative stake ownership is generally unattainable, it can be approximated in expectation under specific conditions. Empirically, using data from a real-world on-chain governance system (Project Catalyst), we provide a more fine-grained understanding of the power imbalances that are likely to occur in current stake-weighted governance systems.

Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) have recently emerged as promising backbones for GUI-agent models, where high-resolution GUI screenshots are introduced to the prompts at each iteration step. However, these screenshots exhibit highly non-uniform spatial information density: large regions may carry little information and are visually homogeneous, while key text and icons may require high visual fidelity. Existing approaches to this problem either require additional training or rely on attention-based token compression, ignoring the structured layout and spatial redundancy of GUI screenshots. To fill the gap, this paper proposes AquaUI, a training-free inference-time token reduction method for GUI agent models that utilizes the non-uniform information density in screenshots. AQuaUI constructs an adaptive quadtree on each screenshot input and keeps one representative merged token per leaf of the quadtree. AQuaUI preserves the spatial positions of retained tokens throughout the pipeline to ensure that all position-encoding stages remain consistent. To further improve temporal consistency across multi-step GUI interactions, we propose a conditional quadtree algorithm that leverages the continuity between consecutive screenshots within a single request. Specifically, it refines the current quadtree using previous quadtrees as references, helping preserve fine-grained regions across static or mildly shifted GUI states. We implement AQuaUI on state-of-the-art GUI agent models and conduct experiments on standard grounding and navigational benchmarks. AQuaUI consistently shows improved accuracy-efficiency trade-offs over prior baselines. Notably, on GUI-Owl-1.5-32B-Instruct, AQuaUI achieves up to 13.22% speedup and 29.52% fewer visual tokens while retaining 99.06% of full-token performance, suggesting that the spatial redundancy of GUI screenshots can be exploited at inference without retraining.

Deep learning has enabled ECG diagnostic models with strong performance in tasks such as arrhythmia classification and abnormality detection. However, accuracy alone is insufficient for clinical deployment because it does not explain why a specific output was produced, limiting justification, error analysis, and trust. Although ECG XAI has been extensively investigated and steadily improved, practical pipelines and reporting conventions vary across studies, hindering reuse and reproducibility. To address these issues, we present Explainable AI framework for ECG models (ExECG), a Python framework that provides a three-stage pipeline: Wrapper standardizes access across heterogeneous ECG formats and intermediate representations, Explainer unifies diverse XAI methods under a shared execution protocol, and Visualizer supports consistent cross-method comparison within a unified interface. We demonstrate end-to-end usage with concise examples and two case studies, highlighting interoperable and reproducible ECG explainability.

Distribution Matching Distillation (DMD) provides an effective distribution-level correction for few-step generation, while relying on an auxiliary fake-score network to track the evolving generative distribution. Recent work combines DMD-style objectives with flow-map generators to exploit both forward-divergence training and reverse-divergence correction. The fake-score estimator remains an additional component with memory and update overhead. In this work, we study whether this explicit tracker can be avoided when the generator itself has a flow-map structure. We propose Fake-Score-network-Free DMD (FSF-DMD), a DMD formulation for flow-map generators that replaces the auxiliary fake-score estimator with a generator-induced pseudo-velocity surrogate. The key observation is that the endpoint pseudo-velocity of a flow-map generator provides a tractable proxy for fake-velocity estimation, allowing the generator itself to supply the reverse-divergence signal. Building on this observation, we derive a practical objective, extend it with flow-map-consistent backward simulation, and introduce a self-teacher variant for training from scratch. In our ImageNet-1K $256 \times 256$ experiments, FSF-DMD improves flow-map baselines, reaches lower FID than the listed DMD2 comparisons in the flow-map-initialized setting, and remains effective under flow-matching initialization and training from scratch.

Existing bilateral teleoperation platforms still rely on costly rigid six-axis force/torque sensors, tightly coupled leader-follower hardware, and kilohertz control loops. We present a Cartesian bilateral framework built on the hardware-agnostic WinGs Operating Studio (WOS) middleware, in which a low-cost compliant 6-DOF pose-and-force sensing end-effector, Delta6, is mounted on both sides so that each manipulator behaves as an end-effector 6-DOF series elastic actuator (SEA). The leader runs a damping-only admittance loop with a 6-D biquad notch filter; the follower realizes a stiffness-damping impedance through a position-based outer loop with a PID wrench-to-pose mapping. Three time scales (hardware I/O, mid-rate impedance/admittance, low-rate teleoperation messages) are explicitly decoupled, enabling the same application to drive heterogeneous arms. On a Lite6/FR3 testbed at 150 Hz, the system tracks stably under delays up to $120\pm40$ ms and 1% packet loss, matches the prescribed virtual stiffness in contact, and shows a favorable cumulative energy signature in passivity-style tests.

Modality-conflict hallucination occurs when multimodal large language models (MLLMs) prioritize erroneous textual premises over contradictory visual evidence. To understand why visual evidence fails to prevail during generation, we take a mechanistic perspective and examine which internal components drive or resist this failure. We perform head-level causal analysis using path patching across five open-source MLLMs and identify two groups of attention heads with opposing causal roles: hallucination-driving heads and hallucination-resisting heads. We find a consistent asymmetry: driving effects are more broadly distributed and carry greater aggregate weight, whereas resisting effects concentrate in a small number of high-importance heads. Ablation experiments further confirm that these groups exert opposing effects during generation: distributed driving influence and localized resistance together form an imbalanced routing structure that biases generation toward the erroneous premise. Motivated by this finding, we propose MACI (Modality-conflict-Aware Causal Intervention), a conditional intervention that suppresses causally identified hallucination-driving heads only when conflict is detected. Across five MLLMs, MACI achieves the largest hallucination reduction among compared inference-time baselines on the MMMC benchmark with a favorable hallucination-accuracy trade-off, and transfers zero-shot to the SCI-SemanticConflict test.

Time-series forecasting is critical in various scenarios, such as energy, transportation, and public health. However, most existing forecasters rely primarily on one-way inference, \textit{i.e.}, mapping \textbf{history} to \textbf{target}, and overlook the structural information provided by a revised natural chain (``\textbf{history} (model input) -- \textbf{target} (ground-truth output) -- \textbf{post-target continuation}''). The post-target continuation records how trajectories evolve after the target, which can help stabilize forecasting, but it is not observable at inference time. In this work, we aim to obtain an approximate proxy of the post-target continuation for the current input, providing structural knowledge for bidirectional forecasting. This idea is instantiated as KUP-BI (Knowledge Utilization Paradigm with Bidirectional Inspiration), a new time-series modeling paradigm that distills continuation-style knowledge (as an approximate post-target continuation proxy) from a \emph{train-only} historical library and integrates it into standard forecasting backbones. The input stream and the continuation-proxy stream are fused via a lightweight feature-level gating module. This design does not introduce information beyond what is already contained in the training trajectories; instead, it provides a structured inductive bias that helps backbones exploit typical continuation patterns rather than relying solely on parametric extrapolation. Experimental results on six public datasets show that KUP-BI consistently improves the forecasting performance of state-of-the-art models, with small additional overhead.

Current neural architecture search (NAS) methods are often limited by their predefined, restrictive search spaces. While recent large language model (LLM)-assisted NAS methods enable open-ended search spaces, they often suffer from inefficient exploration due to biased or low-quality design ideas. To address these issues, we propose to semi-automatically structure model design knowledge to guide the search process. Our approach first defines a high-level structural template of architectural attributes. An LLM then populates this template by analyzing papers, creating a rich and diverse search space that embodies this structured design knowledge. To efficiently explore this vast space, we introduce FairNAD, using a multi-type mutation that enables broad exploration through mutation with fair idea sampling, Pareto-aware mutation, LLM-driven iterative mutation, and a fine-grained feedback loop. We demonstrate the effectiveness of FairNAD in discovering high-performing architectures that yield 0.84, 2.17, and 2.35 points improvement on CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and ImageNet16-120, respectively, compared to current state-of-the-art methods.

We study the problem of recovering a globally consistent Euclidean embedding of data, given only a local distance graph and propose a method that optimally represents these distances. The method operates solely on a neighborhood graph weighted by pairwise distances, without requiring any prior vector representation of the data. The embedding is obtained by solving a variational problem that matches local, on-graph distances to the Euclidean metric, induced by the differentials of the embedding functions. The resulting Euler-Lagrange equations are derived in a coordinate-free form, enabling direct evaluation of all operators from the distance graph alone. Though non-linear and missing an explicit expression for their non-linearity, these equations are shown to be resolved as an iteratively updated sparse linear problem. The main contributions of the proposed approach are (a) the derivation of the functional equations governing the optimal Euclidean embedding in the continuum, (b) a representation-free formulation that requires only a neighborhood distance graph and no feature vectors and (c) an estimation procedure based exclusively on local graph operations. We experimentally evaluate the resulting non-parametric algorithm on synthetic manifolds and real datasets, demonstrating consistent preservation of local metric structure and neighboring relations, while approximating the global isometric embedding.

World simulators can provide safe and scalable environments for training Physical AI systems before real-world deployment. Large video generation models are emerging as a promising basis for such simulators because they can generate diverse and realistic visual futures. However, using them as world simulators requires physically faithful video continuations, namely, generated videos that preserve the physical state implied by the conditioning input, and evolve in ways consistent with basic physical principles. We propose PhyWorld, a video generation world model designed to produce temporally coherent and physically faithful scene continuations through two-stage post-training. In the first stage, we improve video-to-video continuation with flow matching fine-tuning, encouraging stable visual attributes and coherent motion dynamics across frames. In the second stage, we align generated dynamics with physical principles using Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) over physics preference pairs, guiding the model toward outputs with higher physical plausibility. To evaluate PhyWorld, we use both standard video-quality benchmarks and a dedicated physical-faithfulness benchmark with per-law scoring. Experiments show that PhyWorld improves video consistency, achieving an average score of 0.769 on VBench compared with 0.756 or below for state-of-the-art baselines. PhyWorld also improves physical plausibility, reaching an average score of 3.09 on our physical-faithfulness benchmark compared with 2.99 for the strongest baseline. These results suggest that post-training large video generation models with continuation and physics-preference signals can make them more effective world simulators for Physical AI.

Competitive multi-agent reinforcement learning in imperfect-information games requires agents to act under partial observability and against adversarial opponents, necessitating stochastic policies. While self-play reinforcement learning with Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) has achieved strong empirical success, its standard advantage estimator, generalized advantage estimation, suffers from additional variance due to the sampling of stochastic future actions. This variance is amplified in equilibrium self-play because of the stochastic nature of the equilibrium policy and persists even when the critic is exact. We address this bottleneck by introducing $Q$-boosting, a variance-reduced advantage estimator based on a centralized action-value critic, and propose Variance-Reduced Policy Optimization (VRPO), incorporating this new estimator. The algorithm replaces sampled multi-step backups with a multi-step Expected SARSA$(λ)$ trace, computing policy expectations at each step to average out action-sampling noise, while retaining PPO's clipped objective and on-policy actor updates. Empirically, VRPO consistently achieves strong performance from mid-sized to large-scale games including Dou Dizhu and Heads-Up No-Limit Texas Hold'em.

The rapid emergence of AI technologies is reshaping translation practices and theory across the board. This paper deals with the impact of AI in language access. This area is characterized by the need to serve broad and diverse user populations, within a context where efficiency and access are shaped by legal mandates, ethical and commercial tensions, and safety concerns. This paper reports on the attitudes and perceptions of language access managers towards the AI and the human value in the AI age. Methodologically, this paper presents an analysis of a subset of a broader study on language access and technology, specifically a qualitative thematic analysis of ten semi-structured interviews with language access managers in the USA working in healthcare, court, public service and local government contexts. The results indicate that language access managers show conditional optimism towards the inevitable AI implementations, are strongly risk aware, and deeply committed to the human value and human oversight of AI implementations and output.

We introduce DeRegiME -- Deep Regime Mixture of Experts -- a direct multi-horizon probabilistic forecaster that separates latent uncertainty regimes from the underlying signal and softly assigns each forecast location to learned recurring regimes using a sparse variational Gaussian process (GP) whose nonstationary regime-mixing kernel and Student-t likelihood combine per-regime sub-kernels and noise processes via a shared gate. This yields a single sparse-GP posterior, not a mixture of GP experts. DeRegiME addresses a key limitation of neural forecasters: point forecasts discard residual uncertainty, and probabilistic heads -- whether single marginals, uninterpreted mixtures, quantile sets, or diffusion samples -- rarely expose the regime structure of the residual. Yet distribution shift in noisy heteroskedastic time series may be abrupt, gradual, or horizon-dependent and often appears in residual uncertainty rather than the conditional mean. DeRegiME yields an interpretable mean-residual-noise decomposition with a direct-sum feature-space representation that anchors regimes as clusters of residual similarity whose transitions surface as implicit changepoints. The effective number of regimes is pruned by the stick-breaking gate. We prove kernel validity and predictive-density propriety, and across ten benchmarks and three encoder grids DeRegiME improves negative log predictive density (NLPD) by 20.3% over the strongest encoder-matched baseline, a DeepAR/GluonTS-style dynamic Student-t head, with parallel gains on CRPS (3.0%) and MSE (4.7%). Improvements are consistent across all datasets, which span abrupt, gradual, and seasonal shifts.

Age dependent performance disparities in medical image classification often arise because age acts as a confounder, linking imaging morphology with disease prevalence. In practice, disparities can manifest as overdiagnosis at ages where disease prevalence is higher and underdiagnosis at ages where prevalence is lower, and can worsen under train test shifts in the age distribution. Conventional mitigation approaches that enforce strict age invariance may suppress diagnostically meaningful information encoded in age. We therefore propose a robust framework that mitigates the effects of age-dependent confounding by targeting spurious age linked trends rather than enforcing invariance. Following a warm-up phase, we characterize sample difficulty and model its age-dependent trends in a label-conditioned manner. We decorrelate age from dominant age difficulty trends using robust, Huber weighted affinity weights, attenuating confounding-driven shortcuts while preserving clinically meaningful, nonlinear age information. We further introduce an Age Coverage Score that scales the decorrelation penalty by minibatch age variance to ensure stable optimization under limited age diversity. Across two radiology datasets, our approach reduces age dependent true and false positive disparities with minimal AUC impact and remains robust to increasing train test age distribution shifts.

Survey research faces mounting structural challenges: declining response rates, sample bias, block-wise missingness among at-risk respondents, and AI-assisted fraudulent completions in online panels. Large language models (LLMs) have been proposed as a remedy, yet rigorous evaluations across the full survey workflow remain scarce, particularly in disaster contexts where data quality matters most. We present and evaluate a five-stage framework for LLM integration covering questionnaire design, sample selection, pilot testing, missing-data imputation, and post-collection analysis, using the 2024 Hurricane Milton preparedness survey of Florida residents (n=946) as a shared empirical testbed. We introduce a Protection Motivation Theory (PMT)-constrained co-occurrence knowledge graph and develop seven LLM configurations spanning zero-shot inference, retrieval-augmented baselines, and novel theory-informed variants. Our proposed Anchored Marginal Theory-Informed LLM (A-TLM) outperforms all three classical imputation baselines (IPW/MI, MICE+PMM, missForest) on RMSE under disaster-relevant block-wise MNAR conditions (S4 RMSE 1.439 vs. 1.496 for the next-best), while achieving near-zero signed bias (-0.121) where the random-forest imputer produces the largest absolute bias (-0.631). Organizing retrieval around PMT causal structure and integrating all evidence in a single model call outperforms unstructured retrieval and staged sequential inference (MAE 0.993 vs. 1.097 for standard RAG). We document that near-zero aggregate bias can mask opposing subgroup errors and propose subgroup-stratified bias auditing as a reporting standard. A retrieval-constrained knowledge-graph chatbot demonstrates that hallucination is architecturally manageable through grounded refusal.

Neuroscientists have recently turned to intracranial brain recording methods, like electrocorticography (ECoG), for human experiments because of the fine spatial and temporal resolution that they afford. Models trained on this data, however, are fundamentally restricted by the patient populations that can receive the implants necessary for recording. We propose using non-invasive fMRI to bridge the gap in training data. Using spoken language representations fine-tuned on fMRI, we build encoding models of ECoG. These representations showed improved prediction performance in ECoG, even though the temporal resolution of fMRI is two orders of magnitude worse. Prediction improved in frequency bands well beyond what is directly measured in fMRI. Next, to test the procedure's generalization ability, we fine-tuned models on fMRI responses that were temporally downsampled by a factor of 2. Despite the loss in resolution, these models were able to predict fMRI and ECoG responses at levels comparable to the original fMRI-tuned models. Finally, we showed that ECoG performance steadily scales with the amount of fMRI-tuning data. Our results show that "slow" data like fMRI can be a valuable resource for building better models of "fast" brain data like ECoG. In the future, integrating across multiple recording methods may further improve performance in other applications, like decoding.

While Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) exhibit strong performance on standard video tasks, their ability to faithfully summarize and reason over complex narratives remains poorly evaluated. Existing summarization benchmarks fragment supervision across isolated granularities, such as keyframes, key shots, or disjointed text summaries, failing to capture the inherently hierarchical structure of cross-modal alignment. To address this critical gap, we introduce HAVEN, a hierarchically aligned multimodal benchmark for unified video understanding. HAVEN pioneers a fully granular (frame, shot, and video levels) and fully multimodal (video and text) dataset architecture, complete with explicit, continuous alignment between modalities. Built upon this unified annotation paradigm, we propose a comprehensive evaluation suite spanning summarization, temporal reasoning, multimodal grounding, and saliency ranking. Extensive benchmarking of state-of-the-art MLLMs exposes a persistent gap between surface-level textual fluency and grounded multimodal understanding. Ultimately, HAVEN advances the evaluation of multimodal systems beyond traditional QA formats, offering a rigorous, standardized testbed to drive future research in interpretable, hierarchical video understanding. We publicly release the dataset, benchmark suite, and evaluation protocols.

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is widely regarded as the primary safeguard for deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in high-stakes domains. However, we argue that the field suffers from a category error: mainstream UQ methods for LLMs are just unsupervised clustering algorithms. We demonstrate that most current approaches inherently quantify the internal consistency of the model's generations rather than their external correctness. Consequently, current methods are fundamentally blind to factual reality and fail to detect ``confident hallucinations,'' where models exhibit high confidence in stable but incorrect answers. Therefore, the current UQ methods may create a deceptive sense of safety when deploying the models with uncertainty. In detail, we identify three critical pathologies resulting from this dependence on internal state: a hyperparameter sensitivity crisis that renders deployment unsafe, an internal evaluation cycle that conflates stability with truth, and a fundamental lack of ground truth that forces reliance on unstable proxy metrics to evaluate uncertainty. To resolve this impasse, we advocate for a paradigm shift to UQ and outline a roadmap for the research community to adopt better evaluation metrics and settings, implement mechanism changes for native uncertainty, and anchor verification in objective truth, ensuring that model confidence serves as a reliable proxy for reality.

A/B testing remains the gold standard for evaluating modifications to e-commerce storefronts, yet it diverts traffic, requires weeks to reach statistical significance, and risks degrading user experience. We present SimGym, a framework for simulating A/B tests on e-commerce storefronts using vision-language model (VLM) agents operating in a live browser. The framework comprises three key components: (a) a traffic-grounded persona generation pipeline that derives per-shop buyer archetypes and intents from production clickstream data; (b) a live-browser agent architecture that combines multimodal perception over visual and browser-structured observations with episodic memory and guardrails to conduct coherent shopping sessions across control and treatment storefronts; and (c) an evaluation protocol that compares simulated outcome shifts with observed shifts in real buyer behavior. We validate SimGym on A/B tests of visually driven UI theme changes from a major e-commerce platform across diverse storefronts and product categories. Empirical results show that SimGym agents achieve strong agreement with observed outcome shifts, attaining 77% directional alignment with add-to-cart shifts observed across interface variants in real-buyer traffic. It reduces experimental cycles from weeks to under an hour, enabling rapid experimentation without exposing real buyers to candidate variants.

Vision-Language Models suffer severe KV cache pressure at inference, as a single image often encodes into thousands of tokens. Most existing methods exploit token sparsity through token pruning, but permanently discarding visual content causes substantial degradation on fine-grained perception tasks. This motivates a complementary axis, feature sparsity: under a fixed KV cache budget, compressing the channel dimension preserves more visual tokens at the same memory cost. Prior Key channel pruning methods, however, face a structural trade-off: token-wise channel pruning is expressive but unstructured and slow, while head-wise approach is hardware-friendly but less robust. We resolve this with RotateK, a rotation-based structured Key channel pruning framework. RotateK applies an online PCA-based rotation that aligns token-dependent channel importance into a shared low-dimensional subspace, enabling accurate pruning under lightweight head-wise masks; a fused Triton attention kernel operates directly on sparse-channel Keys for efficient decoding. Experiments on two representative VLM backbones show that RotateK consistently outperforms prior Key channel pruning in both accuracy and decoding latency, while joint token-channel pruning improves over token-only baselines at matched KV cache budgets.

Adaptive decision-making in biological and artificial intelligence requires balancing the exploitation of known outcomes with the exploration of uncertain alternatives. Although prior work suggests that uncertainty generally promotes exploration, it has typically treated distinct sources of environmental uncertainty as equivalent. We consider environments with latent reward states that drift over time (volatility) and are observed through noisy outcomes (stochasticity). Both increase posterior uncertainty, yet we show they drive optimal exploration in opposite directions: volatility enhances it, stochasticity suppresses it. We establish this asymmetry formally by extending the Gittins index framework to Gaussian state-space bandits with latent dynamics. We further derive Cause-Aware Uncertainty-Sensitive Exploration (CAUSE), a closed-form exploration bonus obtained via control-as-inference that inherits the same monotonicities. CAUSE outperforms standard exploration strategies in environments with heterogeneous noise structure, and also improves on a Gittins-per-arm policy whose rested-bandit optimality does not transfer to restless settings. Learning and exploration are governed by the same noise-inference asymmetry, and the framework predicts that pathological noise inference produces \emph{reversed} rather than merely impaired exploration, with implications for computational accounts of psychiatric conditions.

Diagnostic performance in medical AI varies systematically across demographic groups, yet subgroup AUC can mask clinically important disparities. At a fixed inference-time operating point, some groups may exhibit over-diagnostic behaviour, characterized by elevated true and false positive rates, while others show under-diagnostic patterns with reduced true and false positive rates. These opposing tendencies can cancel in aggregate AUCs while producing meaningful inequities in clinical decision-making. Motivated by the need to assess and mitigate such disparities at the operating point and across multiple demographic attributes simultaneously, we propose a worst-group equalized-odds margin regularizer. The proposed regularizer explicitly targets subgroup-level deviations on both the true positive and false positive sides at inference. At each update, the method identifies subgroups defined by explicit demographic attributes (e.g., age, sex, and race) that exhibit the most extreme margin deviations and applies a unified penalty, enabling fairness optimization across multiple demographic axes without requiring explicit intersectional constraints. Across two medical imaging datasets in realistic multi-label settings, our method consistently reduces disparities in Equalized Odds and Equalized Opportunity with minimal impact on AUC, preserving diagnostic performance while improving fairness.

Circular sample plots are a cornerstone of forest inventory, yet accurate measurement of tree diameter at breast height (DBH) and spatial location within such plots remains challenging. Conventional approaches rely either on costly terrestrial LiDAR systems or labor-intensive manual methods involving calipers and compass bearings, limiting their scalability and accessibility in large scale environments. We present a lightweight, smartphone-based pipeline that enables complete plot sampling based tree measurement from a single walkthrough video, requiring no specialized hardware beyond a consumer smartphone mounted on a portable stand. The proposed method integrates pretrained monocular depth estimation and tree instance segmentation with a simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) framework to jointly refine camera trajectories and depth across the video sequence. Tree positions and DBH estimates are recovered by fusing SLAM-derived camera poses with segmented depth maps, with absolute real-world scale anchored via a calibrated reference length. The system was evaluated in both managed forest plots and natural forest plot, achieving a mean absolute error of 1.51 cm (MARE 3.98%) and 2.30 cm (MARE 5.69%) respectively, with consistent performance across varying starting directions and positions. Cross-video consistency analysis further demonstrated stable and reproducible tree localization across measurements initiated from different starting positions. The proposed approach achieves accuracy comparable to established field methods while substantially reducing equipment cost and operational complexity, making it accessible to both professional researchers and non-expert forest managers in diverse operational settings.

Convexity is a fundamental geometric prior that underlies many natural and man-made structures, yet remains challenging to impose effectively in end-to-end trainable segmentation networks. We revisit convexity from a functional perspective and propose a unified, threshold-free convexity prior based on the quasi-concavity of the network's output mask function u. Instead of constraining a single binary segmentation, we require all super-level sets of u to be convex, transforming global shape constraints into local, differentiable inequalities on u and its derivatives. From this principle, we derive zero, first, and second-order characterizations, yielding respectively a local midpoint convexification algorithm, a gradient-based condition linked to supporting hyperplanes, and a sufficient second-order inequality expressed as a quadratic form on the tangent plane. The first and second-order formulations produce a compact convolutional loss that can be densely applied across the image without thresholding. Our quasi-concavity losses integrate seamlessly with modern segmentation networks via the proposed convex gradient projection module (CGPM). They consistently enforce convexity and improve shape regularity across multiple datasets, outperforming networks tailored for retinal segmentation and surpassing previous shape-aware methods. Remarkably, our analysis unifies a wide spectrum of previous convex shape models, from discrete 1-0-1 line constraints and graph-cuts convexity formulations to curvature or signed distance Laplacian based level-set priors, within a single continuous and differentiable framework.